Olympiacos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 69-55

20-9 20-12 14-20 15-14

Position#2

Record16-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game66.4

Olympiacos 🏆

Aris

Position#5

Record10-7

FormLWLWW

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game70.1

Basket LeagueRound 18

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Olympiacos v Aris

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aris winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olympiacos Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

67-77

-10

H16/01

Greek Cup

Baskonia

92-62

+30

H20/01

Euroleague

Koroivos

#12

85-62

+23

H22/01

Basket League

Olimpia Milano

#16

83-99

-16

A25/01

Euroleague

Bamberg

#13

83-77

H27/01

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

59-72

-13

A30/01

Basket League

Unics Kazan

#15

90-75

+15

A02/02

Euroleague

Lefkadas

#14

84-60

+24

H05/02

Basket League

Zalgiris Kaunas

#10

73-64

H10/02

Euroleague

Kolossos Rhodes

70-59

+11

A13/02

Basket League

15-14

13-15

17-23

22-25

24-17

26-11

26-15

16-19

25-19

21-13

19-17

20-13

21-15

20-26

22-32

24-13

17-19

24-24

18-21

20-12

8-19

17-17

14-24

33-13

23-23

13-18

21-21

14-15

23-14

23-16

24-15

19-19

16-16

21-19

17-10

16-18

19-17

20-11

15-13

149.3Avg total

78.6Scored

70.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	81.6	66.4	148.1	+15.2	94%
Season at home (8)	83.2	61.9	145.1	+21.4	100%
Season away (9)	80.2	70.4	150.7	+9.8	89%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	70.7	149.3	+7.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	66.0	141.2	+9.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	75.4	68.3	143.7	+7.1	86%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	80.0	69.6	149.6	+10.5	78%

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aris

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEK Athens

61-81

-20

A07/01

Basket League

Nymburk

83-79

H11/01

Champions League

AEK Athens

77-76

H14/01

Greek Cup

Frankfurt

#26

58-64

-6

H17/01

Champions League

Trikala

#10

62-78

-16

A21/01

Basket League

Monaco

66-80

-14

A25/01

Champions League

Rethymno

98-50

+48

H28/01

Basket League

PAOK

58-62

-4

A04/02

Basket League

Strasbourg

71-52

+19

H07/02

Champions League

Promitheas

80-64

+16

H11/02

Basket League

20-23

16-23

12-17

13-18

19-22

26-22

17-19

21-16

26-17

20-27

15-17

16-15

19-13

17-21

11-17

11-13

14-16

11-22

17-22

20-18

23-18

14-20

17-22

12-20

23-6

23-20

29-14

23-10

21-17

15-12

9-15

13-18

19-8

19-20

17-11

16-13

19-18

21-9

17-19

23-18

140.0Avg total

71.4Scored

68.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	75.9	70.1	146.0	+5.9	59%
Season at home (9)	78.2	66.1	144.3	+12.1	67%
Season away (8)	73.4	74.5	147.9	-1.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	71.4	68.6	140.0	+2.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	61.6	136.2	+13.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	65.0	74.5	139.5	-9.5	25%
vs Similar (13)	77.7	70.5	148.2	+7.2	54%
vs Weaker (13)	80.8	69.8	150.6	+10.9	77%

This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OlympiacosAris

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	16.8	38.0	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	15.9	37.6	+5.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	15.5	36.6	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	15.4	35.8	+5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	21.1	15.9	37.0	+5.3	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.2	17.1	38.3	+4.1	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.3	16.6	36.9	+3.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	18.8	37.8	+0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	15.8	36.1	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	13.4	34.4	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.9	15.9	36.8	+5.0	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	14.9	34.9	+5.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	19.4	39.9	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.3	35.9	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	20.4	16.1	36.6	+4.3	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.1	17.3	37.4	+2.8	52%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	17.6	36.2	+0.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.5	69%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	62%	-

OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Panathinaikos

28-29

-1

H16/01

Greek Cup

Baskonia

50-28

+22

H20/01

Euroleague

Koroivos

#12

46-32

+14

H22/01

Basket League

Olimpia Milano

#16

41-41

A25/01

Euroleague

Bamberg

#13

41-32

H27/01

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

28-31

-3

A30/01

Basket League

Unics Kazan

#15

56-36

+20

A02/02

Euroleague

Lefkadas

#14

37-29

H05/02

Basket League

Zalgiris Kaunas

#10

35-35

H10/02

Euroleague

Kolossos Rhodes

35-35

A13/02

Basket League

72.5Avg total

39.7Scored

32.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	33.8	75.2	+7.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.7	30.9	72.6	+10.8	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.0	37.2	78.2	+3.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	32.8	72.5	+6.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	33.2	71.4	+5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	41.6	32.0	73.6	+9.6	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	41.3	34.4	75.7	+6.9	65%	-

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEK Athens

36-46

-10

A07/01

Basket League

Nymburk

45-44

H11/01

Champions League

AEK Athens

46-44

H14/01

Greek Cup

Frankfurt

#26

36-34

H17/01

Champions League

Trikala

#10

25-38

-13

A21/01

Basket League

Monaco

37-38

-1

A25/01

Champions League

Rethymno

46-26

+20

H28/01

Basket League

PAOK

36-29

A04/02

Basket League

Strasbourg

38-28

+10

H07/02

Champions League

Promitheas

40-27

+13

H11/02

Basket League

73.9Avg total

38.5Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	35.8	75.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.9	35.3	76.2	+5.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.5	36.5	73.9	+1.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	35.4	73.9	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	29.6	69.0	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	36.0	42.5	78.5	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.6	35.4	74.0	+3.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (13)	41.2	34.2	75.4	+7.1	77%	-

This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.4	36.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	16.4	35.4	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	16.7	16.3	33.0	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.8	17.7	37.6	+2.1	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	16.8	34.7	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.4	15.0	32.4	+2.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	17.3	33.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.2	34.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.2	15.8	31.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (13)	18.3	17.5	35.8	+0.8	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.0	17.2	35.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.6	34.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	17.1	20.0	37.1	-2.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	18.9	17.4	36.3	+1.5	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.1	35.8	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	15.7	34.1	+2.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	18.8	38.2	+0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	15.9	32.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	15.8	33.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	13.8	16.2	30.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	69%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.5	16.8	36.2	+2.7	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	35.4	73.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.0	33.6	70.6	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	37.5	75.8	+0.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	37.9	76.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	32.8	69.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	33.9	36.3	70.1	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	38.7	35.2	73.9	+3.6	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	33.9	70.6	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.8	30.7	66.5	+5.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.9	38.0	75.9	-0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.9	33.2	66.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	32.0	67.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	29.0	32.0	61.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.0	34.0	72.0	+4.0	77%	-
vs Weaker (13)	37.8	34.3	72.1	+3.5	46%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 77.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.0	50.0%	53.7%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.6	8.1	37.5%	34.8%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	20.7	14.8	71.5%	73.9%	14.8

They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.6	20.3	46.6%	53.7%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.5	5.9	31.9%	34.8%	17.7
🏀 Free throws	15.3	12.7	83.0%	73.9%	12.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	19.5	50.8%	53.7%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.2	8.3	35.7%	34.8%	24.8
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.8	73.8%	73.9%	14.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.3	19.3	44.5%	53.7%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.1	7.3	38.2%	34.8%	22.0
🏀 Free throws	16.2	12.3	75.9%	73.9%	12.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Olympiacos wins

Aris wins

Date	Game	Score
07/11/16	Aris v Olympiacos	63-70
04/06/15	Aris v Olympiacos	62-79
02/06/15	Aris v Olympiacos	84-74
29/05/15	Olympiacos v Aris	92-57
27/05/15	Olympiacos v Aris	98-53
06/05/15	Aris v Olympiacos	58-69
12/01/15	Olympiacos v Aris	84-68
08/05/14	Aris v Olympiacos	59-74
06/05/14	Olympiacos v Aris	77-44
17/03/14	Aris v Olympiacos	59-64

Olympiacoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/02/17	A	Kolossos Rhodes	70-59
10/02/17	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	73-64
05/02/17	H	Lefkadas	84-60
02/02/17	A	Unics Kazan	90-75
30/01/17	A	Panathinaikos	59-72
27/01/17	H	Bamberg	83-77
25/01/17	A	Olimpia Milano	83-99
22/01/17	H	Koroivos	85-62
20/01/17	H	Baskonia	92-62
16/01/17	H	Panathinaikos	67-77

Arislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/02/17	H	Promitheas	80-64
07/02/17	H	Strasbourg	71-52
04/02/17	A	PAOK	58-62
28/01/17	H	Rethymno	98-50
25/01/17	A	Monaco	66-80
21/01/17	A	Trikala	62-78
17/01/17	H	Frankfurt	58-64
14/01/17	H	AEK Athens	77-76
11/01/17	H	Nymburk	83-79
07/01/17	A	AEK Athens	61-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWLW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	94%	100%	89%
Points / game	81.6	83.2	80.2
Allowed / game	66.4	61.9	70.4
Point differential	+15.2	+21.4	+9.8
Avg total	148.1	145.1	150.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	88%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aris

Basket League 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	59%
Home	WWWWW	67%
Away	WWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	59%	67%	50%
Points / game	75.9	78.2	73.4
Allowed / game	70.1	66.1	74.5
Point differential	+5.9	+12.1	-1.1
Avg total	146.0	144.3	147.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	67%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Panathinaikos	17	16	1	94%	81.2	64.6	+16.6
2	Olympiacos	17	16	1	94%	81.6	66.4	+15.2
3	AEK Athens	18	14	4	78%	79.2	68.4	+10.8
4	Aris	17	10	7	59%	75.9	70.1	+5.9
5	PAOK	18	10	8	56%	76.4	76.4	+0.1
6	Kolossos Rhodes	17	9	8	53%	71.3	71.9	-0.6
7	Rethymno	18	8	10	44%	75.0	78.0	-3.0
8	Promitheas	18	7	11	39%	71.9	75.1	-3.1
9	Lavrio	18	7	11	39%	73.1	76.8	-3.7
10	Trikala	18	7	11	39%	70.6	75.6	-5.0
11	Koroivos	17	6	11	35%	75.6	84.2	-8.6
12	Apollon Patras	18	5	13	28%	67.9	74.8	-6.8
13	G.S. Kymis	18	5	13	28%	69.5	77.6	-8.1
14	Lefkadas	17	3	14	18%	69.9	78.4	-8.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Olympiacos	20	20	14	15	69
Aris	9	12	20	14	55

← all games of the day

Olympiacos vs Aris Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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