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Aris vs Panionios Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 75-65
19-15 12-16 20-18 24-16
Position#5
Record13-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game81.7
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#13
Record6-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game86.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 26· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Aris v Panionios
25 Apr 2026
ARI75
PAN65
08 Feb 2025
ARI80
PAN72
10 Apr 2021
ARI v PAN
upcoming
08 Dec 2019
ARI80
PAN86
02 Feb 2019
ARI79
PAN56
05 May 2018
ARI60
PAN48
21 Mar 2015
ARI67
PAN63
22 Dec 2013
ARI88
PAN79
10 Nov 2013
ARI63
PAN65
23 May 2013
ARI75
PAN66
10 Nov 2012
ARI60
PAN82
28 Jan 2012
ARI63
PAN69
12 Jan 2011
ARI84
PAN89
06 Mar 2010
ARI95
PAN78
26 Apr 2009
ARI75
PAN74
03 Jan 2009
ARI71
PAN59
19 Nov 2008
ARI94
PAN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panionios winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#14
W
83-64
83
64
+19
78avg 78
H04/02
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
92-111
92
111
-19
91avg 78
A11/02
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 78
A14/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#12
W
102-76
102
76
+26
97avg 78
H07/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
78-55
78
55
+23
78avg 78
H21/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
96-92
96
92
+4
95avg 78
A28/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
82-78
82
78
+4
72avg 78
H04/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
62avg 78
A15/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
71avg 78
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 78
A22/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
19-13
25-8
18-22
21-31
22-24
22-28
27-28
24-25
19-18
25-16
15-15
25-16
24-27
23-15
30-18
20-17
25-12
19-7
14-19
29-36
17-18
26-12
24-26
22-21
22-18
24-18
14-21
19-29
25-20
15-21
18-18
23-15
17-25
18-31
23-21
18-21
21-24
22-18
14-15
165.7Avg total
84.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.381.7166.0+2.657%
Season at home (11)83.576.6160.2+6.973%
Season away (12)85.086.4171.4-1.442%
Last 10 (10)84.980.8165.7+4.160%
Last 5 (5)82.285.6167.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.893.7177.4-9.917%
vs Similar (7)81.079.0160.0+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)91.080.6171.6+10.4100%
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanionios
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#12
W
105-97
105
97
+8
102avg 69
A01/02
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#16
L
62-89
62
89
-27
56avg 69
A04/02
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
W
87-76
87
76
+11
88avg 69
H07/02
Basket League
Besiktas
#2
L
74-114
74
114
-40
68avg 69
H10/02
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 69
A07/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
59avg 69
H15/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
64avg 69
H22/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
72-85
72
85
-13
66avg 69
A29/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
103-77
103
77
+26
98avg 69
H04/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
57-71
57
71
-14
41avg 69
H19/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
22-18
28-29
29-21
16-26
11-20
15-19
20-24
22-15
16-22
26-21
23-18
26-31
11-28
15-24
22-31
20-16
23-19
15-26
16-21
15-23
20-16
19-19
17-21
14-19
13-23
18-28
23-14
19-18
21-22
10-18
22-27
28-20
23-22
29-11
23-24
7-21
22-17
13-21
15-12
162.7Avg total
77.3Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.186.0164.1-8.026%
Season at home (12)78.582.8161.3-4.333%
Season away (11)77.689.5167.2-11.918%
Last 10 (10)77.385.4162.7-8.130%
Last 5 (5)74.279.2153.4-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.488.8162.2-15.411%
vs Similar (11)86.986.2173.1+0.755%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
ArisPanionios
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#14
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H04/02
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A11/02
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A14/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#12
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H07/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H21/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A28/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H04/04
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A15/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/04
Basket League
86.4Avg total
43.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.686.1+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.539.181.5+3.473%-
Last 30 away (15)44.546.190.7-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.186.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.488.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.944.586.4-2.642%-
vs Similar (7)41.740.782.4+1.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.441.788.1+4.673%-
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#12
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A01/02
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#16
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A04/02
Eurocup
Mykonos
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H07/02
Basket League
Besiktas
#2
L
37-59
37
59
-22
H10/02
Eurocup
Peristeri
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A07/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H15/03
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H22/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A29/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H04/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/04
Basket League
80.0Avg total
37.5Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.043.981.9-5.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.742.279.9-4.538%-
Last 30 away (14)38.445.984.3-7.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.542.580.0-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.276.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.644.780.4-9.116%-
vs Similar (11)42.242.584.6-0.364%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.8
53.0%
54.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.1
38.7%
34.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.513.7
66.8%
74.4%13.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panioniostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panionios: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.5
52.4%
54.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.0
34.8%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.313.1
71.6%
74.4%13.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
LLLWWWWWLW
Panionios
LWLLLLLWLW
#5
League position
#13
+4.6
Net rating
-9.0
96.8
Offensive rating
92.8
92.2
Defensive rating
101.8
55.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.7%
3-point %
34.8%
66.6%
Assist %
69.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 92.8Defence92.2 · 101.8Shooting55.2% · 52.3%3-point %38.7% · 34.8%Ball care16.1% · 16.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Aris   ■ Panionios
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Aris wins
4
Panionios wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Panionios v Aris73-90
29/03/25Panionios v Aris92-78
08/02/25Aris v Panionios80-72
16/11/24Panionios v Aris79-62
08/12/19Aris v Panionios80-86
02/02/19Aris v Panionios79-56
21/10/18Panionios v Aris70-66
05/05/18Aris v Panionios60-48
06/01/18Panionios v Aris81-87
21/03/15Aris v Panionios67-63
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/26APeristeri75-78
19/04/26AOlympiacos81-92
15/04/26APAOK77-88
04/04/26HAEK Athens82-78
28/03/26AKolossos Rhodes96-92
21/03/26HAS Karditsas78-55
07/03/26HMaroussi102-76
14/02/26AMykonos83-74
11/02/26ACluj-Napoca92-111
04/02/26HNeptunas83-64
Panionioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26HAEK Athens57-71
04/04/26HIraklis103-77
29/03/26AAS Karditsas72-85
22/03/26HPanathinaikos68-84
15/03/26HOlympiacos71-79
07/03/26APeristeri74-82
10/02/26HBesiktas74-114
07/02/26HMykonos87-76
04/02/26ALietkabelis62-89
01/02/26AMaroussi105-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%73%42%
Points / game84.383.585.0
Allowed / game81.776.686.4
Point differential+2.6+6.9-1.4
Avg total166.0160.2171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %13%18%8%
Panionios
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL26%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLWWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%33%18%
Points / game78.178.577.6
Allowed / game86.082.889.5
Point differential-8.0-4.3-11.9
Avg total164.1161.3167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos23230100%97.479.2+18.3
2 Panathinaikos2419579%91.177.7+13.4
3 AEK Athens2316770%83.678.7+4.8
4 PAOK2316770%83.380.6+2.7
5 Peristeri24141058%78.979.2-0.3
6 Aris23131057%84.381.7+2.6
7 Mykonos2491538%80.087.4-7.3
8 Iraklis2381535%79.884.0-4.3
9 Kolossos Rhodes2371630%82.085.9-3.9
10 AS Karditsas2371630%79.084.5-5.5
11 Promitheas2371630%83.490.4-7.0
12 Maroussi2361726%85.991.7-5.9
13 Panionios2361726%78.186.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1912202475
Panionios1516181665
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