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Aris vs Promitheas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#14
Record1-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game88.3
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 11· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Aris v Promitheas
19 Dec 2026
ARI v PRO
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
ARI96
PRO80
19 Oct 2024
ARI86
PRO75
20 May 2024
ARI89
PRO85
25 Nov 2023
ARI73
PRO77
09 Apr 2023
ARI95
PRO79
27 Mar 2022
ARI76
PRO73
05 Dec 2020
ARI94
PRO83
15 Apr 2020
ARI v PRO
upcoming
06 Apr 2019
ARI66
PRO65
24 Mar 2018
ARI68
PRO64
11 Feb 2017
ARI80
PRO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Promitheas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#10
W
88-58
88
58
+30
84avg 81
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
88-68
88
68
+20
85avg 81
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
65avg 81
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
110-79
110
79
+31
109avg 81
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
88-72
88
72
+16
87avg 81
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 81
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
101-91
101
91
+10
96avg 81
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
no box
A07/11
Basket League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
105-81
105
81
+24
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
19-11
22-14
24-23
31-21
14-23
17-11
26-13
15-13
22-15
23-15
14-14
29-20
29-17
25-14
27-28
28-21
21-15
15-20
24-16
21-19
17-20
19-18
21-16
18-15
28-29
33-24
22-23
19-18
21-17
16-22
17-27
32-23
19-12
17-19
20-23
28-14
35-18
25-20
17-29
163.3Avg total
89.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.571.5156.0+13.083%
Season at home (3)87.768.7156.3+19.0100%
Season away (3)81.374.3155.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)89.374.0163.3+15.390%
Last 5 (5)89.081.2170.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.594.8183.2-6.225%
vs Similar (9)84.683.7168.2+0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.573.6162.1+14.894%
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
Trier
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 73
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
78avg 73
A17/10
Basket League
Batumi
#50
W
91-76
91
76
+15
84avg 73
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
45-85
45
85
-40
31avg 73
H25/10
Basket League
Split
#20
L
82-88
82
88
-6
77avg 73
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#11
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 73
A31/10
Basket League
Opava
#44
W
112-92
112
92
+20
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
H07/11
Basket League
Trepca
#29
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Iraklis
#8
L
92-99
92
99
-7
no box
H14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
22-24
29-24
13-14
17-25
23-20
27-18
13-16
23-30
31-18
21-15
16-13
12-16
17-25
8-21
8-23
22-19
18-19
21-31
21-19
9-25
12-22
23-23
32-17
20-24
34-24
25-35
33-9
17-15
20-32
14-20
22-23
17-9
20-22
16-16
28-24
23-26
24-24
25-33
20-16
166.9Avg total
81.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.388.3161.6-15.014%
Season at home (5)71.490.4161.8-19.00%
Season away (2)78.083.0161.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)81.585.4166.9-3.940%
Last 5 (5)86.887.8174.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.992.9170.8-15.111%
vs Similar (6)86.092.3178.3-6.333%
vs Weaker (5)91.480.8172.2+10.680%
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.0+7.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
ArisPromitheas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#10
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H10/10
Basket League
Tortona
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Rostock
#28
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A20/10
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A24/10
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/10
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/11
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A04/11
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A07/11
Basket League
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
63-32
63
32
+31
H11/11
Eurocup
82.0Avg total
46.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.084.8+4.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.836.180.9+8.779%-
Last 30 away (16)44.843.488.2+1.438%-
Last 10 (10)46.935.182.0+11.890%-
Last 5 (5)47.637.084.6+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.844.085.8-2.225%-
vs Similar (9)43.443.787.1-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.237.183.4+9.165%-
This opponent (Promitheas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/10
Basket League
Batumi
#50
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H25/10
Basket League
Split
#20
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#11
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A31/10
Basket League
Opava
#44
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H07/11
Basket League
Trepca
#29
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Iraklis
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H14/11
Basket League
84.4Avg total
40.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.846.787.4-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.546.588.1-5.032%-
Last 30 away (11)39.546.986.4-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.044.484.4-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.683.8-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.949.186.9-11.211%-
vs Similar (6)44.546.390.8-1.817%-
vs Weaker (5)46.040.886.8+5.2100%-
This opponent (Aris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
50.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.2
36.6%
34.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.719.5
78.9%
71.8%19.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.5
50.3%
50.6%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.3
36.3%
34.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.615.9
70.4%
71.8%15.9
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WWLWWWWWWW
Promitheas
LWLWLLLWWL
#4
League position
#14
+16.5
Net rating
-10.3
96.8
Offensive rating
88.5
80.3
Defensive rating
98.7
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.1%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
20.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.6%
3-point %
36.3%
71.6%
Assist %
71.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 88.5Defence80.3 · 98.7Shooting52.7% · 52.1%3-point %36.6% · 36.3%Ball care15.6% · 20.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Aris   ■ Promitheas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Aris wins
5
Promitheas wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26Promitheas v Aris97-103
22/11/25Aris v Promitheas96-80
11/01/25Promitheas v Aris106-96 OT
19/10/24Aris v Promitheas86-75
23/05/24Promitheas v Aris87-88
20/05/24Aris v Promitheas89-85 OT
17/05/24Promitheas v Aris79-60
07/04/24Promitheas v Aris84-51
02/03/24Promitheas v Aris70-57
25/11/23Aris v Promitheas73-77
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRigas Zelli105-81
07/11/26ALefkadas88-77
04/11/26AHapoel Jerusalem73-84
01/11/26HPanathinaikos101-91
28/10/26HCedevita Olimpija78-73
24/10/26AMykonos88-72
20/10/26ARostock110-79
17/10/26HMaroussi74-57
14/10/26HTortona88-68
10/10/26HAEK Athens88-58
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIraklis92-99
11/11/26HTrepca81-71
07/11/26HAS Karditsas73-90
04/11/26HOpava112-92
31/10/26AMaroussi76-87
28/10/26ASplit82-88
25/10/26HOlympiacos45-85
21/10/26HBatumi91-76
17/10/26ALefkadas80-79
14/10/26HTrier83-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game84.587.781.3
Allowed / game71.568.774.3
Point differential+13.0+19.0+7.0
Avg total156.0156.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Promitheas
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %14%0%50%
Points / game73.371.478.0
Allowed / game88.390.483.0
Point differential-15.0-19.0-5.0
Avg total161.6161.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK770100%79.670.4+9.1
3 Panathinaikos65183%89.074.5+14.5
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas74357%73.771.9+1.9
6 Kolossos Rhodes63350%80.781.8-1.2
7 Peristeri63350%80.587.5-7.0
8 Iraklis73443%80.176.4+3.7
9 Lefkadas73443%78.380.4-2.1
10 AEK Athens72529%75.179.6-4.4
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Mykonos61517%73.584.5-11.0
13 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
14 Promitheas71614%73.388.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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