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Promitheas vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 106-96 (OT)
16-16 21-14 21-22 19-25 29-19
Position#5
Record7-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#7
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game87.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 14· Dimitris Tofalos Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Promitheas v Aris
06 Feb 2027
PRO v ARI
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
PRO97
ARI103
11 Jan 2025
PRO106
ARI96
23 May 2024
PRO87
ARI88
17 May 2024
PRO79
ARI60
07 Apr 2024
PRO84
ARI51
02 Mar 2024
PRO70
ARI57
07 Jan 2023
PRO64
ARI61
06 Nov 2021
PRO62
ARI82
31 Mar 2021
PRO90
ARI69
28 Dec 2019
PRO95
ARI79
15 Dec 2018
PRO71
ARI61
03 Oct 2018
PRO86
ARI65
02 Dec 2017
PRO70
ARI40
29 Oct 2016
PRO79
ARI89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Promitheas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PromitheasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPromitheas
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
78avg 73
H16/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
78-64
78
64
+14
76avg 73
H30/11
Basket League
Vechta
#40
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 73
H04/12
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 73
A09/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 73
A14/12
Basket League
Nymburk
#3
W
85-75
85
75
+10
85avg 73
A17/12
Champions League
Panionios
#8
L
85-87
85
87
-2
71avg 73
H21/12
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
63-76
63
76
-13
51avg 73
H28/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
92-78
92
78
+14
89avg 73
A04/01
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#16
W
81-77
81
77
+4
73avg 73
A08/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
15-23
32-18
17-21
23-18
14-21
20-14
21-11
19-20
15-16
19-24
25-26
32-28
4-21
27-16
10-21
30-14
21-16
11-22
20-23
19-16
23-19
23-18
20-22
29-19
18-26
17-16
21-26
10-17
21-19
15-26
17-14
22-18
21-23
26-19
23-18
21-16
21-23
22-21
17-17
158.1Avg total
80.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.882.2162.1-2.454%
Season at home (6)83.277.7160.8+5.567%
Season away (7)77.086.1163.1-9.143%
Last 10 (10)80.178.0158.1+2.160%
Last 5 (5)81.278.6159.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.884.1158.9-9.225%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.180.6161.7+0.656%
vs Weaker (9)86.977.2164.1+9.767%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Venezia
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
57avg 64
H04/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#12
L
84-93
84
93
-9
72avg 64
A07/12
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#8
L
77-87
77
87
-10
62avg 64
A11/12
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
55avg 64
H14/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
W
81-66
81
66
+15
75avg 64
H17/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-126
74
126
-52
59avg 64
A22/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 64
A28/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
76avg 64
A02/01
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-88
77
88
-11
76avg 64
H04/01
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
79-98
79
98
-19
68avg 64
A08/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
22-17
18-15
16-19
25-24
16-21
19-20
24-28
22-14
21-31
17-18
17-24
11-19
18-24
17-25
23-28
18-19
14-15
24-20
25-12
24-33
15-24
18-36
17-33
18-23
24-31
28-22
19-26
19-18
22-19
30-26
14-27
22-16
20-30
14-25
21-17
21-25
14-25
22-24
22-24
171.6Avg total
78.9Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.587.8164.3-11.431%
Season at home (7)75.479.4154.9-4.043%
Season away (6)77.797.7175.3-20.017%
Last 10 (10)78.992.7171.6-13.810%
Last 5 (5)80.8100.8181.6-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)75.584.5160.0-8.918%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.982.9158.8-7.038%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Promitheas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
PromitheasAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PromitheasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H16/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H30/11
Basket League
Vechta
#40
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/12
Champions League
PAOK
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A09/12
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A14/12
Basket League
Nymburk
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A17/12
Champions League
Panionios
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H21/12
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H28/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A04/01
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A08/01
Champions League
78.5Avg total
39.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.279.9-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.778.4-1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.642.681.2-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.778.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.280.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.042.878.8-6.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.941.683.4+0.344%-
vs Weaker (9)38.938.877.7+0.156%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H04/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/12
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/12
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#4
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H14/12
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#18
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H17/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A22/12
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A28/12
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/01
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H04/01
Basket League
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A08/01
Eurocup
84.2Avg total
38.4Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.142.179.3-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.138.375.4-1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)37.245.582.7-8.319%-
Last 10 (10)38.445.884.2-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)39.848.888.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)37.241.778.9-4.532%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.943.480.2-6.525%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Promitheas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Promitheastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Promitheas: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.1
53.1%
53.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.8
32.0%
34.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.713.9
70.6%
73.3%13.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.1
50.9%
53.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.3
31.8%
34.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.214.6
72.3%
73.3%14.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Promitheas
WWLLWWLLWW
Aris
LLLLLWLLLL
#5
League position
#7
+3.4
Net rating
-19.5
107.1
Offensive rating
102.8
103.7
Defensive rating
122.3
51.2%
Effective FG%
49.6%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
60.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
19.7%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.0%
3-point %
31.8%
67.1%
Assist %
55.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 102.8Defence103.7 · 122.3Shooting51.2% · 49.6%3-point %32.0% · 31.8%Ball care16.1% · 19.7%Off. rebounds27.4% · 30.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Promitheas   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Promitheas wins
5
Aris wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Aris v Promitheas86-75
23/05/24Promitheas v Aris87-88
20/05/24Aris v Promitheas89-85 OT
17/05/24Promitheas v Aris79-60
07/04/24Promitheas v Aris84-51
02/03/24Promitheas v Aris70-57
25/11/23Aris v Promitheas73-77
09/04/23Aris v Promitheas95-79
07/01/23Promitheas v Aris64-61
27/03/22Aris v Promitheas76-73
Promitheaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25AKarsiyaka81-77
04/01/25ALavrio92-78
28/12/24HMaroussi63-76
21/12/24HPanionios85-87
17/12/24ANymburk85-75
14/12/24APeristeri82-75
09/12/24APAOK73-86
04/12/24HVechta78-86
30/11/24HKolossos Rhodes78-64
16/11/24HAEK Athens84-76
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25ACedevita Olimpija79-98
04/01/25HOlympiacos77-88
02/01/25AHapoel Jerusalem85-90
28/12/24AAEK Athens89-102
22/12/24APanathinaikos74-126
17/12/24HLietkabelis81-66
14/12/24HAS Karditsas69-96
11/12/24ATurk Telekom77-87
07/12/24ALavrio84-93
04/12/24HVenezia74-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Promitheas
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW54%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%67%43%
Points / game79.883.277.0
Allowed / game82.277.786.1
Point differential-2.4+5.5-9.1
Avg total162.1160.8163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game76.575.477.7
Allowed / game87.879.497.7
Point differential-11.4-4.0-20.0
Avg total164.3154.9175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos13130100%94.475.0+19.4
2 Olympiacos1312192%90.274.3+15.8
3 AEK Athens137654%83.381.6+1.7
4 AS Karditsas137654%78.879.2-0.3
5 PAOK137654%80.482.7-2.3
6 Promitheas137654%79.882.2-2.4
7 Panionios136746%76.174.9+1.2
8 Peristeri135838%76.681.5-4.8
9 Lavrio134931%80.885.8-4.9
10 Aris134931%76.587.8-11.4
11 Kolossos Rhodes1331023%76.579.6-3.2
12 Maroussi1331023%74.883.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Promitheas1621211929106
Aris161422251996
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