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Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 90-79
42-32 48-47
Position#280
Record4-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#330
Record4-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game82.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arkansas-Pine Bluff v Alabama State
05 Jan 2026
ARKA90
ALAB79
15 Feb 2025
ARKA63
ALAB75
08 Jan 2024
ARKA72
ALAB83
11 Feb 2023
ARKA71
ALAB74
05 Jan 2022
ARKA70
ALAB68
09 Jan 2021
ARKA91
ALAB82
10 Feb 2020
ARKA49
ALAB57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas-Pine Bluff winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas-Pine BluffUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
75-104
75
104
-29
A15/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
60-106
60
106
-46
A19/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
70-98
70
98
-28
A20/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
84-111
84
111
-27
A23/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A03/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
84-117
84
117
-33
A11/12
NCAA
Ecclesia
#602
W
114-64
114
64
+50
H16/12
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#678
W
138-73
138
73
+65
H17/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-43
44-61
26-45
34-61
37-35
33-63
36-56
48-55
35-26
28-36
37-28
35-48
36-51
48-66
47-38
67-26
67-33
71-40
41-41
54-42
174.9Avg total
85.5Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.090.0170.0-10.029%
Season at home (3)115.773.3189.0+42.3100%
Season away (11)70.394.5164.8-24.39%
Last 10 (10)85.589.4174.9-3.940%
Last 5 (5)100.682.6183.2+18.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)68.386.0154.3-17.89%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.076.2153.2+0.850%
vs Weaker (4)102.868.5171.2+34.275%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A12/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
51-88
51
88
-37
A18/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A23/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
56-94
56
94
-38
A30/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
89-69
89
69
+20
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-32
25-34
59-45
42-35
37-28
31-55
51-38
36-55
35-30
29-44
39-52
38-33
25-50
26-38
33-42
34-46
31-49
25-45
41-38
48-31
154.4Avg total
72.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.482.6158.0-7.329%
Season at home (2)112.574.0186.5+38.5100%
Season away (12)69.284.1153.2-14.917%
Last 10 (10)72.482.0154.4-9.620%
Last 5 (5)68.084.8152.8-16.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.583.7153.3-14.227%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.670.5139.2-1.973%
vs Weaker (8)82.163.9146.0+18.262%
This opponent (Arkansas-Pine Bluff) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: -8.2-8.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: -8.2-8.2
Arkansas-Pine BluffAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas-Pine BluffLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A15/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A19/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A23/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A03/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A11/12
NCAA
Ecclesia
#602
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H16/12
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#678
W
67-33
67
33
+34
H17/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H03/01
NCAA
78.9Avg total
39.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.837.570.2-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.634.570.1+1.142%-
Last 30 away (18)30.939.470.3-8.628%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.678.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.638.283.8+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)30.338.468.7-8.123%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.836.570.2-2.850%-
vs Weaker (4)45.533.278.8+12.275%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A19/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H21/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A23/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A12/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A18/12
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A23/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A30/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/01
NCAA
79.4Avg total
39.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.435.570.9-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (9)38.833.372.1+5.456%-
Last 30 away (21)34.036.470.4-2.448%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.479.4-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.846.280.0-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.539.574.0-4.955%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.535.168.6-1.527%-
vs Weaker (8)39.230.669.9+8.675%-
This opponent (Arkansas-Pine Bluff) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HAlabama A&M Bulldogs95-83
17/12/25HChampion Christian Tigers138-73
16/12/25HEcclesia114-64
11/12/25ATulsa84-117
07/12/25ADePaul72-76
03/12/25AIllinois (Chi.)63-62
23/11/25AMiami (Ohio)84-111
20/11/25AMarshall70-98
19/11/25ASMU Mustangs60-106
15/11/25AVanderbilt75-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AMiss. Valley St.89-69
30/12/25AMississippi St.56-94
23/12/25AMemphis67-88
18/12/25ACincinnati51-88
12/12/25AMissouri77-85
07/12/25AUT Martin64-74
27/11/25ANew Mexico87-93
23/11/25ASiu Edwardsville68-83
21/11/25HIU Indy101-80
19/11/25AAir Force64-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas-Pine Bluff
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW29%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14311
Win %29%100%9%
Points / game80.0115.770.3
Allowed / game90.073.394.5
Point differential-10.0+42.3-24.3
Avg total170.0189.0164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14212
Win %29%100%17%
Points / game75.4112.569.2
Allowed / game82.674.084.1
Point differential-7.3+38.5-14.9
Avg total158.0186.5153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%100%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grambling St.147750%72.572.4+0.1
2 Alabama A&M Bulldogs147750%69.172.6-3.5
3 Prairie View A&M145936%83.380.6+2.7
4 Southern Univ.145936%83.182.4+0.6
5 Alabama State1441029%75.482.6-7.3
6 Arkansas-Pine Bluff1441029%80.090.0-10.0
7 Bethune-Cookman1441029%72.385.4-13.1
8 Florida A&M112918%66.283.6-17.5
9 Texas Southern1221017%71.884.9-13.1
10 Jackson State1421214%63.090.5-27.5
11 Alcorn State131128%65.491.1-25.7
12 Miss. Valley St.151147%64.990.4-25.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas-Pine Bluff424890
Alabama State324779
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