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Arkansas State vs Old Dominion Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 71-75
33-38 38-37
Position#98
Record13-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#300
Record6-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game77.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arkansas State v Old Dominion
28 Jan 2026
ARKA71
OLD 75
06 Jan 2024
ARKA90
OLD 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Old Dominion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
W
89-70
89
70
+19
A18/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A20/12
NCAA
Arkansas Tech
#580
W
107-63
107
63
+44
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H03/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H10/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
74-99
74
99
-25
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-32
48-38
39-32
54-54
51-25
56-38
34-39
40-39
45-32
41-42
43-37
40-45
36-32
45-49
35-44
39-55
39-35
46-33
36-38
45-44
165.2Avg total
85.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.079.3162.3+3.762%
Season at home (8)85.971.2157.1+14.688%
Season away (13)81.284.3165.5-3.146%
Last 10 (10)85.979.3165.2+6.660%
Last 5 (5)82.084.4166.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.085.0159.0-11.033%
vs Similar (11)77.878.8156.6-1.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.575.3158.8+8.269%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H20/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A28/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A09/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A16/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-22
43-46
29-34
45-42
18-45
40-28
19-37
54-44
30-47
56-46
28-24
42-42
44-27
25-43
48-39
36-48
36-17
39-56
35-35
29-29
151.3Avg total
74.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.177.6151.7-3.429%
Season at home (8)78.570.9149.4+7.650%
Season away (13)71.581.7153.2-10.215%
Last 10 (10)74.377.0151.3-2.730%
Last 5 (5)75.075.8150.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.777.9147.6-8.327%
vs Similar (12)74.575.2149.8-0.833%
vs Weaker (2)62.561.0123.5+1.550%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -1.5-1.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -1.5-1.5
Arkansas StateOld Dominion
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A18/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A20/12
NCAA
Arkansas Tech
#580
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H03/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A16/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A23/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/01
NCAA
74.5Avg total
39.9Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.835.173.9+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.231.372.5+9.883%-
Last 30 away (18)37.237.774.9-0.456%-
Last 10 (10)39.934.674.5+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.275.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.342.779.0-6.333%-
vs Similar (11)37.134.571.6+2.573%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.535.173.6+3.562%-
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Old DominionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H18/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H20/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
18-45
18
45
-27
A28/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A09/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A16/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
36-17
36
17
+19
A17/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H22/01
NCAA
64.8Avg total
32.1Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.434.667.0-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (11)32.032.964.9-0.945%-
Last 30 away (19)32.635.668.3-3.037%-
Last 10 (10)32.132.764.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.228.466.6+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.835.467.2-3.627%-
vs Similar (12)34.034.568.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (2)23.534.057.5-10.550%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Arkansas State wins
0
Old Dominion wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AGeorgia State81-82
23/01/26AGeorgia Southern85-68
17/01/26ATroy74-99
16/01/26ASouth Alabama87-91 OT
10/01/26HTexas State83-82
08/01/26HTroy86-74
03/01/26HJames Madison74-78
31/12/25HArkansas Tech107-63
20/12/25ASouthern Miss93-86
18/12/25ATexas State89-70
Old Dominionlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HTroy77-83 OT
17/01/26AAppalachian State75-73
16/01/26AGeorgia Southern84-87
10/01/26AJames Madison69-70
09/01/26ACoastal Carolina70-66
03/01/26HGeorgia Southern86-93
31/12/25HAppalachian State73-81
28/12/25AMaryland58-73
20/12/25HCoastal Carolina74-76
18/12/25HJames Madison77-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWLLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %62%88%46%
Points / game83.085.981.2
Allowed / game79.371.284.3
Point differential+3.7+14.6-3.1
Avg total162.3157.1165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %10%12%8%
Old Dominion
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayLWLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %29%50%15%
Points / game74.178.571.5
Allowed / game77.670.981.7
Point differential-3.4+7.6-10.2
Avg total151.7149.4153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %5%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2115671%86.576.3+10.2
2 Marshall2013765%81.274.8+6.5
3 Arkansas State2113862%83.079.3+3.7
4 South Alabama2012860%74.269.3+4.8
5 Appalachian State2213959%72.265.5+6.6
6 Georgia Southern2213959%82.580.3+2.1
7 Coastal Carolina2213959%73.972.2+1.7
8 Texas State22111150%73.171.5+1.5
9 Southern Miss22111150%74.073.7+0.3
10 James Madison21101148%75.076.4-1.5
11 Georgia State2191243%71.173.7-2.6
12 Old Dominion2161529%74.177.6-3.4
13 Louisiana Lafayette2151624%60.169.2-9.1
14 Louisiana Monroe2131814%70.882.8-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State333871
Old Dominion383775
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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