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Old Dominion vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 57-60
16-29 41-31
Position#111
Record8-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game65.1
vs
Position#278
Record8-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game64.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Old Dominion v Arkansas State
23 Jan 2027
OLD v ARKA
upcoming
02 Jan 2025
OLD 59
ARKA78
29 Dec 2022
OLD 57
ARKA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Old Dominion winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Old DominionUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VA Wesleyan
#392
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A17/11
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H18/11
NCAA
Davidson
#208
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A20/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
71-50
71
50
+21
H27/11
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A30/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H04/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#280
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H08/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#222
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-21
36-37
25-39
46-36
34-27
48-50
23-32
38-34
31-30
40-20
31-32
29-43
28-29
40-33
26-24
46-38
29-26
15-17
33-34
45-43
132.4Avg total
67.9Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)68.565.1133.6+3.467%
Season at home (8)71.461.8133.1+9.6100%
Season away (4)62.871.8134.5-9.00%
Last 10 (10)67.964.5132.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)64.463.8128.2+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.667.2130.8-3.750%
vs Similar ◀ (16)71.368.1139.4+3.250%
vs Weaker (1)83.051.0134.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#150
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H26/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/12
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-31
35-44
29-29
41-35
31-26
28-41
44-27
46-38
30-20
28-18
35-27
32-45
27-44
28-36
24-26
44-35
27-31
45-34
31-39
46-36
133.8Avg total
67.6Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)68.964.3133.2+4.662%
Season at home (9)73.660.9134.4+12.789%
Season away (4)58.572.0130.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)67.666.2133.8+1.460%
Last 5 (5)67.870.6138.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)65.370.4135.7-5.143%
vs Similar ◀ (11)65.667.4133.0-1.745%
vs Weaker (10)73.263.7136.9+9.580%
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +1.1+1.1
Old DominionArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Old DominionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VA Wesleyan
#392
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H15/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A17/11
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H18/11
NCAA
Davidson
#208
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A20/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A30/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H04/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#280
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H08/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#222
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H11/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H21/12
NCAA
59.0Avg total
29.6Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.831.563.3+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.928.162.0+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)29.136.065.1-6.915%-
Last 10 (10)29.629.459.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)29.429.058.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.234.264.3-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.830.863.6+1.950%-
vs Weaker (1)33.021.054.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#150
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H02/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H20/12
NCAA
UALR
#322
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H22/12
NCAA
60.3Avg total
30.3Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.832.564.4-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.130.363.3+2.850%-
Last 30 away (12)30.035.965.9-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)30.330.060.3+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)28.833.462.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.436.666.0-7.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)29.331.160.4-1.836%-
vs Weaker (10)34.231.565.7+2.760%-
This opponent (Old Dominion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Old Dominion wins
0
Arkansas State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HGeorge Mason78-77
11/12/22HGardner Webb44-43
08/12/22HWilliam & Mary72-62
04/12/22HNorfolk State68-62
30/11/22ACharleston60-75
27/11/22HEast Carolina71-50
20/11/22ADavidson61-66
18/11/22HFurman82-77
17/11/22AVirginia Tech71-75
15/11/22HVA Wesleyan72-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22HUALR77-75
20/12/22HAlabama State72-65
15/12/22HSoutheast Missouri State68-61
10/12/22AAir Force55-80
07/12/22ACentral Arkansas67-72
02/12/22HMiss. Valley St.58-38
27/11/22HBethel (TN)90-65
26/11/22HPrairie View A&M59-67
22/11/22HUT Martin70-64
19/11/22AUC Davis60-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Old Dominion
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game68.571.462.8
Allowed / game65.161.871.8
Point differential+3.4+9.6-9.0
Avg total133.6133.1134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %62%89%0%
Points / game68.973.658.5
Allowed / game64.360.972.0
Point differential+4.6+12.7-13.5
Avg total133.2134.4130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss1311285%79.160.7+18.4
2 Marshall1311285%83.669.5+14.2
3 Louisiana Lafayette1210283%83.472.2+11.2
4 James Madison139469%93.266.6+26.5
5 Old Dominion128467%68.565.1+3.4
6 Troy138562%79.566.5+12.9
7 Arkansas State138562%68.964.3+4.6
8 Georgia State127558%69.263.4+5.8
9 Coastal Carolina116555%78.667.0+11.6
10 Appalachian State137654%77.463.5+13.9
11 Georgia Southern137654%68.063.6+4.4
12 Texas State137654%67.866.9+0.8
13 South Alabama126650%72.268.1+4.1
14 Louisiana Monroe134931%71.870.8+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Old Dominion164157
Arkansas State293160
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