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Arlans vs Karaganda Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 80-91
16-22 20-24 15-19 29-26
Position#11
Record6-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#7
Record5-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.9
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Arlans v Karaganda
05 May 2026
ARLA39
KARA94
13 Feb 2026
ARLA86
KARA97
11 Feb 2026
ARLA80
KARA91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arlans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karaganda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArlansKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArlans
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
56-76
56
76
-20
45avg 65
H09/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
97-113
97
113
-16
79avg 65
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 65
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
57-104
57
104
-47
41avg 65
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
63-77
63
77
-14
48avg 65
H09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H18/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
93-66
93
66
+27
no box
A19/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 65
H20/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
56-88
56
88
-32
49avg 65
A21/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
93-55
93
55
+38
93avg 65
A10/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
15-20
18-22
12-15
29-32
16-33
24-24
28-24
18-28
24-28
16-17
17-21
15-34
14-30
18-27
10-13
18-13
19-17
14-25
12-22
17-16
19-12
17-22
20-27
20-20
30-13
27-27
16-6
15-19
15-16
20-18
19-18
19-25
15-23
9-22
13-18
28-7
21-13
25-17
19-18
155.3Avg total
73.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.177.9152.9-2.838%
Season at home (7)69.977.9147.7-8.014%
Season away (9)79.177.9157.0+1.256%
Last 10 (10)73.282.1155.3-8.920%
Last 5 (5)76.871.4148.2+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.589.5164.0-15.017%
vs Similar (6)71.578.8150.3-7.317%
vs Weaker (4)81.259.0140.2+22.2100%
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaraganda
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
60-101
60
101
-41
39avg 62
A28/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
69avg 62
H29/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
59-84
59
84
-25
45avg 62
A30/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
112-72
112
72
+40
112avg 62
A15/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
55avg 62
H16/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
86-63
86
63
+23
84avg 62
A17/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
89avg 62
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
58-95
58
95
-37
no box
A16/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
no box
H17/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
84-58
84
58
+26
75avg 62
H10/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-30
19-27
15-27
14-17
20-23
17-24
26-33
15-14
19-25
12-25
19-20
9-14
25-12
31-19
33-22
23-19
20-23
25-9
13-26
14-22
15-12
35-21
14-17
22-13
18-26
27-17
24-11
19-34
10-19
11-32
21-22
16-22
13-18
22-14
15-15
26-29
24-14
22-17
19-12
19-15
160.9Avg total
78.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.080.9157.9-3.931%
Season at home (8)82.881.9164.6+0.925%
Season away (8)71.280.0151.2-8.838%
Last 10 (10)78.382.6160.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)80.479.0159.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)52.675.7128.3-23.15%
vs Similar (4)59.065.2124.2-6.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.766.7154.3+21.083%
This opponent (Arlans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.2-2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.2-2.2
ArlansKaraganda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArlansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H09/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
29-64
29
64
-35
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H18/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A19/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A21/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
49-20
49
20
+29
A10/02
Higher League
79.6Avg total
37.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)37.238.275.5-1.044%-
Last 30 at home (7)31.036.767.7-5.729%-
Last 30 away (9)42.139.481.6+2.756%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.879.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.832.872.6+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.347.278.5-15.80%-
vs Similar (6)38.238.376.5-0.250%-
vs Weaker (4)44.824.869.5+20.0100%-
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A28/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H29/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A30/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A15/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H16/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A17/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
21-51
21
51
-30
A16/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H17/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/02
Higher League
80.4Avg total
39.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)33.940.374.2-6.431%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.539.175.6-2.546%-
Last 30 away (13)31.241.572.8-10.315%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.780.4-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.077.4+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)28.243.872.1-15.66%-
vs Similar (3)42.031.773.7+10.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.834.780.5+11.267%-
This opponent (Arlans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Arlanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arlans: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.5
48.0%
49.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.36.0
23.7%
28.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.712.5
60.5%
63.9%12.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karagandatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arlans wins
0
Karaganda wins
No previous meetings.
Arlanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26APavlodar93-55
21/01/26ATobol Kostanay 256-88
20/01/26HChelSU Kostanay69-71
19/01/26ATobol Kostanay 293-66
18/01/26HChelSU Kostanay73-77
09/01/26HCHAMP1ON63-77
08/01/26ABC Almaty 257-104
07/01/26HCHAMP1ON75-94
06/01/26ABC Almaty 297-113
09/11/25HAktobe56-76
Karagandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26HAiRom84-58
17/01/26HAktobe79-82 OT
16/01/26AAktobe58-95
18/12/25HAtyrau 295-97 OT
17/12/25AKaspiy Aktau 286-63
16/12/25HAtyrau 272-80
15/12/25AKaspiy Aktau 2112-72
30/11/25ATuran59-84
29/11/25HShymkent78-94
28/11/25ATuran60-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arlans
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %38%14%56%
Points / game75.169.979.1
Allowed / game77.977.977.9
Point differential-2.8-8.0+1.2
Avg total152.9147.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%14%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karaganda
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW31%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%25%38%
Points / game77.082.871.2
Allowed / game80.981.980.0
Point differential-3.9+0.9-8.8
Avg total157.9164.6151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan18180100%89.660.4+29.2
2 Aktobe1615194%86.966.7+20.2
3 Shymkent1816289%97.669.8+27.7
4 Atyrau 22015575%78.268.7+9.5
5 Bars Petropavlovsk1813572%83.861.9+21.9
6 ChelSU Kostanay1812667%75.775.9-0.2
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
9 Arlans1661038%75.177.9-2.8
10 Tigers-KazATU1861233%66.379.1-12.7
11 Karaganda1651131%77.080.9-3.9
12 Tobol Kostanay 21841422%71.681.0-9.4
13 AiRom1621412%61.178.9-17.9
14 Pavlodar1621412%53.689.1-35.6
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2201195%54.284.3-30.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Arlans1620152980
Karaganda2224192691
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