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Pavlodar vs Arlans Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 55-93
7-28 13-21 17-25 18-19
Position#14
Record2-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game53.5
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Position#11
Record5-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game79.4
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pavlodar v Arlans
12 Feb 2026
PAVL57
ARLA86
10 Feb 2026
PAVL55
ARLA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arlans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
60-126
60
126
-66
45avg 48
H27/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
52-109
52
109
-57
28avg 48
A28/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
35-94
35
94
-59
15avg 48
H29/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
63-111
63
111
-48
53avg 48
A30/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
35-92
35
92
-57
25avg 48
A15/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
93-63
93
63
+30
89avg 48
H16/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
55-86
55
86
-31
54avg 48
A17/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
47avg 48
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
52-112
52
112
-60
no box
A18/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
52-86
52
86
-34
no box
H19/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-36
21-22
16-40
14-28
8-35
10-27
18-36
16-11
7-22
7-22
14-28
7-22
15-31
11-26
13-31
24-23
11-27
11-23
8-20
5-22
21-17
26-14
22-14
24-18
7-27
17-20
14-20
17-19
12-15
9-21
23-11
16-11
15-35
2-27
23-26
12-24
17-16
13-28
8-23
14-19
149.4Avg total
55.7Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)53.588.9142.3-35.413%
Season at home (8)55.185.0140.1-29.925%
Season away (7)51.693.3144.9-41.70%
Last 10 (10)55.793.7149.4-38.020%
Last 5 (5)62.481.0143.4-18.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)62.891.4154.2-28.64%
vs Similar (2)76.560.5137.0+16.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arlans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArlans
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
84-94
84
94
-10
79avg 63
A08/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
56-76
56
76
-20
45avg 63
H09/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
97-113
97
113
-16
79avg 63
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
75-94
75
94
-19
65avg 63
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
57-104
57
104
-47
41avg 63
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
63-77
63
77
-14
48avg 63
H09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H18/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
93-66
93
66
+27
no box
A19/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 63
H20/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
56-88
56
88
-32
49avg 63
A21/01
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
20-27
21-31
21-17
11-19
15-20
18-22
12-15
29-32
16-33
24-24
28-24
18-28
24-28
16-17
17-21
15-34
14-30
18-27
10-13
18-13
19-17
14-25
12-22
17-16
19-12
17-22
20-27
20-20
30-13
27-27
16-6
15-19
15-16
20-18
19-18
19-25
15-23
9-22
13-18
158.3Avg total
72.3Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.979.4153.3-5.533%
Season at home (7)69.977.9147.7-8.014%
Season away (8)77.480.8158.1-3.450%
Last 10 (10)72.386.0158.3-13.710%
Last 5 (5)70.875.8146.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.589.5164.0-15.017%
vs Similar (6)71.578.8150.3-7.317%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.360.3137.7+17.0100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-17-9+0+9+17Q1Q1: -13.9-13.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -10.3-10.3Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -9.0-9.0Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-17-9+0+9+17Q1Q1: -13.9-13.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -10.3-10.3Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -9.0-9.0Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
PavlodarArlans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#1
L
30-58
30
58
-28
H27/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
18-62
18
62
-44
A28/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
14-44
14
44
-30
H29/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A30/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A15/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H16/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A17/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
17-62
17
62
-45
A18/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H19/01
Higher League
74.0Avg total
24.9Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.346.978.2-15.717%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.344.877.2-12.533%-
Last 30 away (18)30.648.378.9-17.86%-
Last 10 (10)24.949.174.0-24.210%-
Last 5 (5)27.844.071.8-16.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)31.147.979.0-16.814%-
vs Similar (2)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Arlans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArlansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A08/11
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H09/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A06/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H07/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
29-64
29
64
-35
A08/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H18/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A19/01
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A21/01
Higher League
81.5Avg total
37.1Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)36.539.575.9-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (7)31.036.767.7-5.729%-
Last 30 away (8)41.241.983.1-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)37.144.481.5-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.872.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.347.278.5-15.80%-
vs Similar (6)38.238.376.5-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.326.369.7+17.0100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pavlodartheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Arlanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arlans: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.5
48.0%
49.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.36.0
23.7%
28.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.712.5
60.5%
63.9%12.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
0
Arlans wins
No previous meetings.
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/26HAktobe52-86
18/01/26AAktobe52-112
18/12/25HKaspiy Aktau 260-58
17/12/25AAtyrau 255-86
16/12/25HKaspiy Aktau 293-63
15/12/25AAtyrau 235-92
30/11/25AShymkent63-111
29/11/25HTuran35-94
28/11/25AShymkent52-109
27/11/25HTuran60-126
Arlanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26ATobol Kostanay 256-88
20/01/26HChelSU Kostanay69-71
19/01/26ATobol Kostanay 293-66
18/01/26HChelSU Kostanay73-77
09/01/26HCHAMP1ON63-77
08/01/26ABC Almaty 257-104
07/01/26HCHAMP1ON75-94
06/01/26ABC Almaty 297-113
09/11/25HAktobe56-76
08/11/25AAktobe84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL13%
HomeLLWWL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %13%25%0%
Points / game53.555.151.6
Allowed / game88.985.093.3
Point differential-35.4-29.9-41.7
Avg total142.3140.1144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arlans
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%14%50%
Points / game73.969.977.4
Allowed / game79.477.980.8
Point differential-5.5-8.0-3.4
Avg total153.3147.7158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%14%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan18180100%89.660.4+29.2
2 Aktobe1615194%86.966.7+20.2
3 Shymkent1816289%97.669.8+27.7
4 Atyrau 21914574%77.670.3+7.3
5 Bars Petropavlovsk1712571%83.364.1+19.2
6 ChelSU Kostanay1812667%75.775.9-0.2
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
9 Tigers-KazATU1761135%68.078.4-10.4
10 Arlans1551033%73.979.4-5.5
11 Karaganda1651131%77.080.9-3.9
12 Tobol Kostanay 21841422%71.681.0-9.4
13 Pavlodar1521313%53.588.9-35.4
14 AiRom1621412%61.178.9-17.9
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2191185%55.783.9-28.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar713171855
Arlans2821251993
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