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Astana 2 vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-68
20-15 25-15 22-21 15-17
Position#3
Record9-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#8
Record4-21
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game85.3
KazakhstanNational League· Sports hall Astana Academy
Other2024-25
Meetings · Astana 2 v Pavlodar
12 Mar 2025
ASTA82
PAVL68
11 Mar 2025
ASTA66
PAVL70
13 Jan 2024
ASTA101
PAVL72
12 Jan 2024
ASTA90
PAVL68
19 Apr 2019
ASTA52
PAVL78
23 Mar 2019
ASTA50
PAVL99
26 Feb 2019
ASTA42
PAVL69
30 Jan 2019
ASTA38
PAVL90
31 Oct 2018
ASTA70
PAVL94
17 Mar 2018
ASTA74
PAVL63
26 Mar 2017
ASTA69
PAVL64
04 Mar 2017
ASTA65
PAVL72
12 Feb 2017
ASTA81
PAVL69
19 Feb 2016
ASTA70
PAVL39
27 Jan 2016
ASTA70
PAVL62
15 Dec 2015
ASTA70
PAVL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Astana 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
87-70
87
70
+17
no box
H22/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
73-79
73
79
-6
58avg 65
H07/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
99-82
99
82
+17
101avg 65
H08/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
70-114
70
114
-44
61avg 65
A24/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
73-112
73
112
-39
68avg 65
A25/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
69-60
69
60
+9
66avg 65
H02/02
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
79-60
79
60
+19
73avg 65
H03/02
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
64-95
64
95
-31
64avg 65
A01/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
79-90
79
90
-11
82avg 65
A02/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
66-70 OT
66
70
-4
56avg 65
H11/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
32-17
12-18
18-12
23-30
10-16
19-16
21-17
25-17
29-19
26-21
19-25
18-32
15-21
18-35
19-26
16-23
21-40
16-31
20-18
21-17
19-19
13-13
16-11
20-9
16-12
21-16
22-23
10-35
21-14
15-21
18-25
31-23
16-26
18-27
14-14
18-10
16-25
8-15
21-13
159.1Avg total
75.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.480.8155.1-6.436%
Season at home (11)80.172.8152.9+7.355%
Season away (14)69.987.0156.9-17.121%
Last 10 (10)75.983.2159.1-7.340%
Last 5 (5)71.475.0146.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)68.889.0157.8-20.211%
vs Similar (16)75.977.8153.8-1.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)75.073.6148.6+1.460%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
65avg 62
H22/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
69-87
69
87
-18
61avg 62
A05/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
75-89
75
89
-14
76avg 62
A06/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
58avg 62
A11/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 62
A12/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
74-105
74
105
-31
60avg 62
A15/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
64-96
64
96
-32
57avg 62
A16/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
69avg 62
A08/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
75-96
75
96
-21
67avg 62
A09/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
59avg 62
A11/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
20-17
17-19
10-22
16-19
20-21
6-27
27-20
21-16
21-30
22-23
11-20
18-20
17-22
15-21
20-27
27-31
21-29
21-25
20-17
10-38
25-16
24-23
15-28
19-21
14-25
15-20
16-30
25-22
11-26
21-12
17-14
21-29
16-16
17-29
21-22
10-18
25-16
15-8
13-21
162.6Avg total
73.4Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.985.3156.2-14.416%
Season at home (12)68.185.4153.5-17.38%
Season away (13)73.585.2158.8-11.723%
Last 10 (10)73.489.2162.6-15.810%
Last 5 (5)72.489.0161.4-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)70.087.4157.4-17.413%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astana 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -5.1-5.1
Astana 2Pavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Astana 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H22/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H07/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H08/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A24/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
37-63
37
63
-26
A25/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H02/02
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H03/02
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A01/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A02/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H11/03
National League
83.0Avg total
40.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.977.4-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.237.277.5+3.038%-
Last 30 away (17)35.441.977.3-6.529%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.883.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.075.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.744.880.4-9.122%-
vs Similar (16)38.738.777.4+0.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.034.871.8+2.240%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H22/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A05/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A06/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A11/01
National League
Almaty
#4
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A12/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A15/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A16/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A08/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A09/03
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/03
National League
83.2Avg total
37.9Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.045.279.2-11.313%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.946.178.9-13.213%-
Last 30 away (15)35.144.479.5-9.313%-
Last 10 (10)37.945.383.2-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.245.480.6-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)34.045.279.2-11.313%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astana 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Astana 2 wins
5
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
11/03/25Astana 2 v Pavlodar66-70 OT
02/12/24Pavlodar v Astana 262-71
01/12/24Pavlodar v Astana 266-89
13/01/24Astana 2 v Pavlodar101-72
12/01/24Astana 2 v Pavlodar90-68
02/12/23Pavlodar v Astana 286-77
01/12/23Pavlodar v Astana 276-90
19/04/19Astana 2 v Pavlodar52-78
18/04/19Pavlodar v Astana 283-49
23/03/19Astana 2 v Pavlodar50-99
Astana 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25HPavlodar66-70 OT
02/03/25AAtyrau79-90
01/03/25AAtyrau64-95
03/02/25HAtyrau79-60
02/02/25HAtyrau69-60
25/01/25ATobol Kostanay73-112
24/01/25ATobol Kostanay70-114
08/01/25HIrbis Almaty99-82
07/01/25HIrbis Almaty73-79
22/12/24HKaspiy Aktau87-70
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25AAstana 270-66 OT
09/03/25AKaspiy Aktau75-96
08/03/25AKaspiy Aktau79-82 OT
16/01/25AIrbis Almaty64-96
15/01/25AIrbis Almaty74-105
12/01/25AAlmaty89-102
11/01/25AAlmaty70-90
06/01/25ATobol Kostanay75-89
05/01/25ATobol Kostanay69-87
22/12/24HIrbis Almaty69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana 2
National League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeLWWWL55%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %36%55%21%
Points / game74.480.169.9
Allowed / game80.872.887.0
Point differential-6.4+7.3-17.1
Avg total155.1152.9156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%36%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Pavlodar
National League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW16%
HomeLWLLL8%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %16%8%23%
Points / game70.968.173.5
Allowed / game85.385.485.2
Point differential-14.4-17.3-11.7
Avg total156.2153.5158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty2218482%81.569.8+11.7
2 Tobol Kostanay2218482%87.377.0+10.3
3 Almaty2415962%77.273.0+4.2
4 Atyrau24141058%81.576.2+5.2
5 Kaspiy Aktau24101442%73.476.0-2.6
6 Astana 22591636%74.480.8-6.4
7 Aktobe1631319%67.575.6-8.1
8 Pavlodar2542116%70.985.3-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astana 22025221582
Pavlodar1515211768
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