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Tobol Kostanay vs Astana 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 114-70
32-18 21-15 35-18 26-19
Position#2
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#3
Record7-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.8
KazakhstanNational League· SEC Kostanay
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Astana 2
20 Apr 2025
TOBO76
ASTA97
19 Apr 2025
TOBO70
ASTA93
25 Jan 2025
TOBO112
ASTA73
24 Jan 2025
TOBO114
ASTA70
24 Dec 2023
TOBO79
ASTA66
23 Dec 2023
TOBO95
ASTA88
22 Nov 2016
TOBO78
ASTA47
12 Nov 2015
TOBO103
ASTA32
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#7
W
109-81
109
81
+28
110avg 89
H05/11
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
85-82
85
82
+3
89avg 89
H06/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
77avg 89
H14/12
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
75avg 89
H15/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
75avg 89
A23/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
84avg 89
A24/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
92avg 89
H05/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
89avg 89
H06/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
75-63
75
63
+12
74avg 89
A13/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
71-55
71
55
+16
73avg 89
A14/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
23-30
29-23
29-13
21-26
23-16
22-20
19-20
21-20
17-20
21-19
21-19
15-17
20-18
23-26
20-15
26-16
16-19
16-20
20-15
16-18
25-18
15-15
22-22
19-16
21-20
27-6
20-27
16-21
30-21
23-22
20-11
23-20
12-15
18-15
22-13
19-12
20-15
19-13
13-15
155.2Avg total
83.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.973.9158.8+11.188%
Season at home (8)85.478.5163.9+6.975%
Season away (8)84.569.2153.8+15.2100%
Last 10 (10)83.072.2155.2+10.8100%
Last 5 (5)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)83.385.4168.8-2.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.075.1166.1+15.890%
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Astana 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#8
W
89-66
89
66
+23
90avg 65
A01/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
71-62
71
62
+9
73avg 65
A02/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
39-87
39
87
-48
20avg 65
A10/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
58-88
58
88
-30
48avg 65
A11/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 65
A14/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
65avg 65
A15/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
98-60
98
60
+38
no box
H21/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
87-70
87
70
+17
no box
H22/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
73-79
73
79
-6
58avg 65
H07/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
99-82
99
82
+17
101avg 65
H08/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
22-19
30-18
17-14
23-14
13-10
10-18
25-20
11-30
8-16
13-16
7-25
15-23
14-18
16-26
13-21
19-22
8-23
13-11
32-29
20-28
17-25
23-17
17-26
20-16
30-12
20-11
28-21
25-23
32-17
12-18
18-12
23-30
10-16
19-16
21-17
25-17
29-19
26-21
19-25
153.8Avg total
76.3Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.578.8154.3-3.339%
Season at home (8)83.476.4159.8+7.050%
Season away (10)69.280.7149.9-11.530%
Last 10 (10)76.377.5153.8-1.250%
Last 5 (5)86.877.4164.2+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)66.581.9148.4-15.410%
vs Similar (12)77.078.3155.3-1.333%
vs Weaker (8)80.272.8153.0+7.575%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
Tobol KostanayAstana 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#7
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/11
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H06/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/12
National League
Atyrau
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H15/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A23/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A24/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H05/01
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A13/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A14/01
National League
78.4Avg total
41.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.240.285.4+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.440.886.2+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)44.939.584.4+5.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.378.4+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.275.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)42.842.385.1+0.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.239.385.5+6.976%-
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Astana 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A01/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A02/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
19-46
19
46
-27
A10/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A11/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A14/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A15/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H21/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H22/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H07/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H08/01
National League
77.7Avg total
38.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.976.8-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.637.979.5+3.742%-
Last 30 away (18)35.439.674.9-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.377.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.240.686.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.141.275.3-7.120%-
vs Similar (12)38.838.777.4+0.133%-
vs Weaker (8)41.236.477.6+4.962%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Tobol Kostanay wins
2
Astana 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25AKaspiy Aktau71-55
13/01/25AKaspiy Aktau75-63
06/01/25HPavlodar89-75
05/01/25HPavlodar87-69
24/12/24AAktobe78-73
23/12/24AAktobe78-70
15/12/24HAtyrau78-76
14/12/24HAtyrau80-78
06/11/24HAktobe85-82
05/11/24HAktobe109-81
Astana 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25HIrbis Almaty99-82
07/01/25HIrbis Almaty73-79
22/12/24HKaspiy Aktau87-70
21/12/24HKaspiy Aktau98-60
15/12/24AAlmaty77-96
14/12/24AAlmaty72-85
11/12/24AIrbis Almaty58-88
10/12/24AIrbis Almaty39-87
02/12/24APavlodar71-62
01/12/24APavlodar89-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game84.985.484.5
Allowed / game73.978.569.2
Point differential+11.1+6.9+15.2
Avg total158.8163.9153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana 2
National League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW39%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%50%30%
Points / game75.583.469.2
Allowed / game78.876.480.7
Point differential-3.3+7.0-11.5
Avg total154.3159.8149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay1614288%84.973.9+11.1
2 Irbis Almaty1713476%80.968.9+12.0
3 Almaty1712571%82.678.2+4.5
4 Atyrau1811761%81.576.4+5.1
5 Kaspiy Aktau2081240%72.175.1-3.0
6 Astana 21871139%75.578.8-3.3
7 Aktobe1431121%77.183.6-6.4
8 Pavlodar2231914%70.485.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay32213526114
Astana 21815181970
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