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Tobol Kostanay vs Astana 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 95-88
24-21 29-15 18-20 24-32
Position#4
Record8-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#5
Record8-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game74.7
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Astana 2
20 Apr 2025
TOBO76
ASTA97
19 Apr 2025
TOBO70
ASTA93
25 Jan 2025
TOBO112
ASTA73
24 Jan 2025
TOBO114
ASTA70
24 Dec 2023
TOBO79
ASTA66
23 Dec 2023
TOBO95
ASTA88
22 Nov 2016
TOBO78
ASTA47
12 Nov 2015
TOBO103
ASTA32
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#3
W
96-88
96
88
+8
100avg 83
H08/11
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
101-76
101
76
+25
108avg 83
H09/11
National League
Almaty
#6
W
95-81
95
81
+14
83avg 83
A14/11
National League
Almaty
#6
L
65-79
65
79
-14
61avg 83
A15/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
73avg 83
A19/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
58-97
58
97
-39
48avg 83
A20/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
99-86
99
86
+13
104avg 83
A05/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
82-70
82
70
+12
90avg 83
A06/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
94-92
94
92
+2
100avg 83
H15/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
95-101
95
101
-6
101avg 83
H16/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
30-19
17-27
23-22
31-24
24-19
20-11
26-22
15-21
35-25
26-20
19-15
17-14
15-25
16-18
17-22
26-25
20-22
16-16
17-23
17-27
17-33
12-23
12-14
28-18
25-17
27-17
19-34
23-21
13-14
25-11
21-24
29-15
19-33
29-22
17-22
28-27
26-16
21-24
20-34
172.0Avg total
86.4Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.682.2166.9+2.457%
Season at home (4)96.589.2185.8+7.275%
Season away (10)79.979.4159.3+0.550%
Last 10 (10)86.485.6172.0+0.860%
Last 5 (5)85.689.2174.8-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.383.0154.3-11.711%
vs Similar (13)82.985.4168.3-2.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.876.4159.1+6.462%
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Astana 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
W
68-62
68
62
+6
68avg 73
H02/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
60-72
60
72
-12
56avg 73
H03/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
92-68
92
68
+24
96avg 73
A11/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
99-86
99
86
+13
93avg 73
A12/11
National League
Almaty
#6
W
85-73
85
73
+12
81avg 73
H20/11
National League
Almaty
#6
W
79-67
79
67
+12
79avg 73
H21/11
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
94avg 73
A01/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 73
A02/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
60avg 73
H09/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
55-71
55
71
-16
40avg 73
H10/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
19-11
13-21
15-15
13-21
18-16
20-15
9-20
27-14
22-28
21-7
22-19
26-14
28-24
19-29
26-19
27-18
12-20
28-18
18-17
24-24
19-20
16-8
20-15
23-22
24-22
23-16
20-16
26-19
15-35
11-16
25-16
10-18
15-26
17-20
28-18
13-24
17-12
14-18
11-17
151.8Avg total
77.5Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.974.7151.6+2.257%
Season at home (10)71.973.0144.9-1.150%
Season away (4)89.579.0168.5+10.575%
Last 10 (10)77.574.3151.8+3.260%
Last 5 (5)74.276.4150.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)54.974.9129.8-20.018%
vs Similar (2)73.083.0156.0-10.00%
vs Weaker (6)87.076.0163.0+11.083%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
Tobol KostanayAstana 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#3
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H08/11
National League
Aktobe
#3
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H09/11
National League
Almaty
#6
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A14/11
National League
Almaty
#6
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A15/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A19/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A20/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A05/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H15/12
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H16/12
National League
89.9Avg total
46.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.882.5-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.641.886.3+2.850%-
Last 30 away (18)38.141.980.0-3.828%-
Last 10 (10)46.443.589.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.289.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.244.981.1-8.711%-
vs Similar (13)43.241.184.2+2.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.839.681.4+2.162%-
This opponent (Astana 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Astana 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H02/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H03/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A11/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A12/11
National League
Almaty
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H20/11
National League
Almaty
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/11
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A01/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A02/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H09/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H10/12
National League
80.2Avg total
39.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.539.771.2-8.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.237.969.1-6.733%-
Last 30 away (15)31.741.573.3-9.827%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.380.2-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.244.481.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)27.039.065.9-12.018%-
vs Similar (2)39.037.076.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (6)45.543.388.8+2.267%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tobol Kostanay wins
2
Astana 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HAtyrau95-101
15/12/23HAtyrau94-92
06/12/23AKaspiy Aktau82-70
05/12/23AKaspiy Aktau99-86
20/11/23AIrbis Almaty58-97
19/11/23AIrbis Almaty79-86
15/11/23AAlmaty65-79
14/11/23AAlmaty95-81
09/11/23HAktobe101-76
08/11/23HAktobe96-88
Astana 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HIrbis Almaty55-71
09/12/23HIrbis Almaty70-82
02/12/23APavlodar77-86
01/12/23APavlodar90-76
21/11/23HAlmaty79-67
20/11/23HAlmaty85-73
12/11/23AKaspiy Aktau99-86
11/11/23AKaspiy Aktau92-68
03/11/23HAtyrau60-72
02/11/23HAtyrau68-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14410
Win %57%75%50%
Points / game84.696.579.9
Allowed / game82.289.279.4
Point differential+2.4+7.2+0.5
Avg total166.9185.8159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana 2
National League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %57%50%75%
Points / game76.971.989.5
Allowed / game74.773.079.0
Point differential+2.2-1.1+10.5
Avg total151.6144.9168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%30%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty1615194%88.472.1+16.3
2 Atyrau1410471%84.976.8+8.1
3 Tobol Kostanay148657%84.682.2+2.4
4 Astana 2148657%76.974.7+2.2
5 Aktobe157847%83.584.9-1.4
6 Almaty135838%78.581.8-3.3
7 Kaspiy Aktau1431121%74.987.6-12.6
8 Pavlodar141137%74.488.5-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay2429182495
Astana 22115203288
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