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Minsk vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 65-76
15-20 19-22 15-18 16-16
Position#12
Record1-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Astana 🏆
Russia
Position#11
Record2-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game87.4
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Minsk v Astana
27 Mar 2024
MIN60
AST58
07 Dec 2023
MIN84
AST89
26 Mar 2023
MIN84
AST69
25 Dec 2022
MIN65
AST76
13 Mar 2022
MIN66
AST60
21 Mar 2021
MIN78
AST80
02 Feb 2020
MIN96
AST77
13 Oct 2018
MIN86
AST93
22 Oct 2017
MIN75
AST66
19 Feb 2017
MIN70
AST80
05 Mar 2016
MIN87
AST83
05 Apr 2015
MIN94
AST86
17 Nov 2013
MIN82
AST68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H07/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A11/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H20/11
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A24/11
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
53-102
53
102
-49
A29/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H05/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
66-101
66
101
-35
H09/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A13/12
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H18/12
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A22/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
13-13
9-19
22-8
11-21
13-21
21-31
22-11
16-18
21-28
20-23
13-23
13-17
26-17
17-12
7-15
12-25
8-29
11-30
22-18
7-16
10-12
15-27
25-13
11-30
11-33
22-23
22-15
10-23
19-23
12-19
21-20
21-19
15-23
10-17
15-17
24-20
10-24
18-25
25-19
144.5Avg total
63.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)60.782.5143.2-21.86%
Season at home (9)59.178.1137.2-19.00%
Season away (8)62.587.4149.9-24.912%
Last 10 (10)63.081.5144.5-18.510%
Last 5 (5)64.683.6148.2-19.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)61.184.3145.4-23.25%
vs Similar ◀ (3)76.368.7145.0+7.7100%
vs Weaker (5)89.658.8148.4+30.8100%
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#5
L
71-103
71
103
-32
A24/11
National League
Aktobe
#5
L
53-74
53
74
-21
A25/11
National League
Enisey
#8
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A27/11
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A04/12
VTB United League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A06/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A07/12
National League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A07/12
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H13/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A17/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
41-79
41
79
-38
H22/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
12-22
20-26
19-23
19-23
7-16
15-20
12-15
17-23
18-20
10-25
31-21
22-23
14-31
15-18
15-16
19-24
22-16
14-21
15-17
19-18
22-25
20-18
26-7
12-16
16-15
21-22
10-28
21-19
12-23
19-20
18-7
19-23
24-26
16-18
15-27
11-21
8-12
9-24
13-22
149.0Avg total
66.7Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)63.587.4150.9-23.912%
Season at home (7)63.684.6148.1-21.029%
Season away (9)63.489.7153.1-26.20%
Last 10 (10)66.782.3149.0-15.620%
Last 5 (5)66.278.2144.4-12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.587.4150.9-23.912%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (14)82.172.6154.7+9.664%
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.2-7.2Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.2-7.2Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
MinskAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H07/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A11/11
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H20/11
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/11
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
20-54
20
54
-34
A29/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
17-28
17
28
-11
H05/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
22-63
22
63
-41
H09/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A13/12
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H18/12
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A22/12
VTB United League
71.1Avg total
28.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.440.673.0-8.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.138.069.1-6.933%-
Last 30 away (15)33.743.176.8-9.527%-
Last 10 (10)28.143.071.1-14.910%-
Last 5 (5)27.644.672.2-17.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)28.944.072.8-15.19%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.337.375.7+1.067%-
vs Weaker (5)44.427.672.0+16.8100%-
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#5
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A24/11
National League
Aktobe
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A25/11
National League
Enisey
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/11
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A04/12
VTB United League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A06/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/12
National League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A07/12
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H13/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A17/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H22/12
VTB United League
76.2Avg total
33.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.841.877.6-6.033%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.238.174.2-1.946%-
Last 30 away (17)35.644.680.2-9.124%-
Last 10 (10)33.442.876.2-9.410%-
Last 5 (5)32.839.672.4-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.245.176.2-13.96%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (14)41.138.179.2+3.164%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.2
48.3%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
-19.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
-9.6
They take 52.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
-20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
-7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minsk
LLLLLLWLLL
Astana
LLWLWLLLLL
#12
League position
#11
-33.5
Net rating
-32.5
91.1
Offensive rating
82.8
124.7
Defensive rating
115.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
45.4%
62.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
22.8%
Turnover %
26.7%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.9%
3-point %
30.4%
61.9%
Assist %
60.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Minsk   ■ Astana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minsk wins
5
Astana wins
DateGameScore
17/03/22Astana v Minsk64-65 OT
13/03/22Minsk v Astana66-60
25/04/21Astana v Minsk74-109
21/03/21Minsk v Astana78-80
02/02/20Minsk v Astana96-77
09/11/19Astana v Minsk91-89
17/03/19Astana v Minsk101-71
13/10/18Minsk v Astana86-93
04/03/18Astana v Minsk77-59
22/10/17Minsk v Astana75-66
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22ASaratov77-88
18/12/22HMBA Moscow61-76
13/12/22AParma Perm62-85
09/12/22HCSKA Moscow66-101
05/12/22HNizhny Novgorod57-68
29/11/22AUnics Kazan53-102
24/11/22AEnisey63-61
20/11/22HLokomotiv Kuban70-92
11/11/22ANizhny Novgorod67-84
07/11/22HUnics Kazan54-58
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22HUnics Kazan41-79
17/12/22AParma Perm74-94
13/12/22HSaratov70-69
07/12/22AMBA Moscow59-81
07/12/22AIrbis Almaty87-68
06/12/22AIrbis Almaty70-78
04/12/22AZenit Petersburg66-88
27/11/22AEnisey76-89
25/11/22AAktobe53-74
24/11/22AAktobe71-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minsk
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %6%0%12%
Points / game60.759.162.5
Allowed / game82.578.187.4
Point differential-21.8-19.0-24.9
Avg total143.2137.2149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %12%29%0%
Points / game63.563.663.4
Allowed / game87.484.689.7
Point differential-23.9-21.0-26.2
Avg total150.9148.1153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow18180100%97.173.4+23.7
2 Unics Kazan1816289%88.671.7+16.9
3 Zenit Petersburg1713476%82.669.1+13.5
4 MBA Moscow1812667%81.476.8+4.6
5 Lokomotiv Kuban1810856%78.878.9-0.1
6 Nizhny Novgorod1810856%74.574.8-0.3
7 Parma Perm1871139%77.681.3-3.7
8 Saratov1871139%78.982.7-3.8
9 Samara1861233%76.077.7-1.7
10 Enisey1841422%71.978.4-6.5
11 Astana1621412%63.587.4-23.9
12 Minsk171166%60.782.5-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minsk1519151665
Astana2022181676
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