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Astana vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 95-45
39-11 20-16 20-8 16-10
Position#1
Record5-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game79.1
Astana 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#3
Record10-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game84.1
KazakhstanNational League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Astana v Tobol Kostanay
16 Mar 2026
AST101
TOBO48
15 Mar 2026
AST88
TOBO73
16 Dec 2025
AST108
TOBO67
15 Dec 2025
AST85
TOBO64
31 Mar 2023
AST88
TOBO71
30 Mar 2023
AST84
TOBO51
29 Dec 2022
AST114
TOBO56
28 Dec 2022
AST95
TOBO45
26 Apr 2022
AST101
TOBO60
25 Apr 2022
AST95
TOBO69
13 Dec 2021
AST112
TOBO49
12 Dec 2021
AST107
TOBO48
07 Apr 2021
AST0
TOBO20
06 Apr 2021
AST107
TOBO57
10 Dec 2019
AST101
TOBO72
09 Dec 2019
AST98
TOBO77
19 May 2019
AST122
TOBO74
24 Apr 2019
AST93
TOBO76
23 Apr 2019
AST91
TOBO72
24 Oct 2018
AST78
TOBO72
23 Oct 2018
AST80
TOBO45
14 Dec 2017
AST89
TOBO59
13 Dec 2017
AST110
TOBO48
21 Apr 2017
AST99
TOBO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstanaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#5
L
53-74
53
74
-21
A25/11
National League
Enisey
#8
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A27/11
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A04/12
VTB United League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A06/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A07/12
National League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A07/12
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H13/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A17/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
41-79
41
79
-38
H22/12
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A25/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
7-16
15-20
12-15
17-23
18-20
10-25
31-21
22-23
14-31
15-18
15-16
19-24
22-16
14-21
15-17
19-18
22-25
20-18
26-7
12-16
16-15
21-22
10-28
21-19
12-23
19-20
18-7
19-23
24-26
16-18
15-27
11-21
8-12
9-24
13-22
20-15
22-19
18-15
16-16
145.7Avg total
67.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.579.1158.6+0.450%
Season at home (4)87.569.0156.5+18.5100%
Season away (6)74.285.8160.0-11.717%
Last 10 (10)67.278.5145.7-11.330%
Last 5 (5)64.077.6141.6-13.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.587.4150.9-23.912%
vs Similar (1)76.065.0141.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.573.6154.1+6.862%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#5
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H02/11
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H03/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
H20/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H21/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A29/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A30/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H13/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H14/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
88-87
88
87
+1
A23/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
85-102
85
102
-17
A24/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
26-27
13-12
16-23
31-20
26-27
17-10
14-12
17-12
19-23
13-35
26-18
18-20
28-33
25-22
19-13
22-27
17-20
27-35
14-20
13-23
14-21
19-12
13-23
29-22
17-14
25-18
22-23
17-18
17-24
19-19
21-17
20-24
24-20
21-15
23-28
25-21
26-26
19-35
15-20
166.3Avg total
81.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.284.1167.2-0.962%
Season at home (8)87.180.0167.1+7.175%
Season away (8)79.288.1167.4-8.950%
Last 10 (10)81.784.6166.3-2.950%
Last 5 (5)79.884.6164.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)75.085.9160.9-10.930%
vs Similar (10)85.581.4166.9+4.170%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
AstanaTobol Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A25/11
National League
Enisey
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/11
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A04/12
VTB United League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A06/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/12
National League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A07/12
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H13/12
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A17/12
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H22/12
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A25/12
VTB United League
75.2Avg total
34.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.641.777.3-6.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.238.174.2-1.946%-
Last 30 away (17)35.244.579.7-9.424%-
Last 10 (10)34.440.875.2-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.037.870.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.245.176.2-13.96%-
vs Similar (1)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.538.278.8+2.362%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#5
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H02/11
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H03/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H20/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H21/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/11
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A30/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H13/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H14/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A23/12
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A24/12
National League
87.2Avg total
43.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.682.3-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.542.285.8+1.354%-
Last 30 away (17)36.942.879.7-5.924%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.687.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.683.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.043.080.0-6.025%-
vs Similar (10)45.341.887.1+3.560%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
50.5%27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
30.4%20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
69.6%7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tobol Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Astana wins
2
Tobol Kostanay wins
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/22AMinsk76-65
22/12/22HUnics Kazan41-79
17/12/22AParma Perm74-94
13/12/22HSaratov70-69
07/12/22AMBA Moscow59-81
07/12/22AIrbis Almaty87-68
06/12/22AIrbis Almaty70-78
04/12/22AZenit Petersburg66-88
27/11/22AEnisey76-89
25/11/22AAktobe53-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/22AIrbis Almaty85-102
23/12/22AIrbis Almaty88-87
14/12/22HIrbis Almaty74-78
13/12/22HIrbis Almaty93-77
30/11/22AAtyrau59-79
29/11/22AAtyrau80-102
21/11/22HAtyrau90-88
20/11/22HAtyrau75-88
03/11/22HAktobe88-69
02/11/22HAktobe85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana
National League 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%100%17%
Points / game79.587.574.2
Allowed / game79.169.085.8
Point differential+0.4+18.5-11.7
Avg total158.6156.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%75%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
Tobol Kostanay
National League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game83.287.179.2
Allowed / game84.180.088.1
Point differential-0.9+7.1-8.9
Avg total167.2167.1167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau1610662%78.773.1+5.6
2 Tobol Kostanay1610662%83.284.1-0.9
3 Astana105550%79.579.1+0.4
4 Irbis Almaty168850%78.780.9-2.2
5 Aktobe1851328%73.976.3-2.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astana3920201695
Tobol Kostanay111681045
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