PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Astana vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 75-80 (OT)
14-16 22-17 13-22 18-12 8-13
Position#1
Record28-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game65.4
vs
Position#2
Record17-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game76.6
KazakhstanNational League· Saryarka Velodrome
Other2025-26
Meetings · Astana v Kaspiy Aktau
31 May 2026
AST87
KASP89
24 May 2026
AST85
KASP89
23 May 2026
AST72
KASP74
11 Apr 2026
AST75
KASP80
10 Apr 2026
AST91
KASP67
04 Nov 2025
AST87
KASP74
03 Nov 2025
AST84
KASP68
24 Mar 2022
AST85
KASP41
23 Mar 2022
AST88
KASP41
28 Apr 2021
AST88
KASP58
27 Apr 2021
AST91
KASP46
27 Oct 2020
AST99
KASP44
26 Oct 2020
AST87
KASP66
29 Jan 2020
AST102
KASP46
28 Jan 2020
AST93
KASP46
05 Mar 2019
AST110
KASP50
04 Mar 2019
AST86
KASP81
12 Dec 2018
AST104
KASP57
11 Dec 2018
AST95
KASP60
05 Apr 2018
AST92
KASP67
04 Apr 2018
AST104
KASP60
26 Jan 2018
AST101
KASP53
25 Jan 2018
AST85
KASP69
26 Jan 2017
AST92
KASP57
25 Jan 2017
AST83
KASP57
12 Jan 2017
AST72
KASP53
11 Jan 2017
AST77
KASP59
15 Oct 2016
AST76
KASP52
14 Oct 2016
AST80
KASP46
14 Apr 2016
AST78
KASP70
13 Apr 2016
AST75
KASP73
20 Jan 2016
AST88
KASP78
19 Jan 2016
AST75
KASP64
09 Apr 2015
AST79
KASP66
04 Feb 2015
AST76
KASP56
03 Feb 2015
AST76
KASP47
26 Nov 2014
AST70
KASP56
10 Apr 2014
AST82
KASP76
08 Apr 2014
AST90
KASP77
07 Apr 2014
AST86
KASP70
17 Mar 2014
AST110
KASP89
05 Feb 2014
AST82
KASP54
07 Nov 2013
AST83
KASP65
06 Nov 2013
AST100
KASP57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kaspiy Aktau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstanaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstana
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#4
W
79-72
79
72
+7
76avg 86
H26/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
75-53
75
53
+22
81avg 86
A02/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
68-73
68
73
-5
66avg 86
A03/03
National League
Almaty
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
74avg 86
H07/03
National League
Almaty
#3
L
69-72
69
72
-3
59avg 86
H08/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
88-73
88
73
+15
86avg 86
H15/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
101-48
101
48
+53
99avg 86
H16/03
National League
Almaty
#3
W
82-68
82
68
+14
77avg 86
A21/03
National League
Almaty
#3
W
81-54
81
54
+27
74avg 86
A22/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
91-67
91
67
+24
92avg 86
H10/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
22-10
16-24
21-23
21-17
25-12
19-14
10-10
12-22
22-14
10-20
24-17
23-24
21-20
18-19
15-23
6-12
24-23
20-18
19-19
27-22
19-23
21-19
21-9
23-21
26-5
27-9
25-13
16-17
18-15
24-15
24-21
18-17
24-14
21-15
18-8
24-13
23-23
21-14
23-17
147.7Avg total
81.1Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)88.365.4153.7+22.890%
Season at home (15)86.768.7155.3+18.087%
Season away (16)89.862.4152.1+27.494%
Last 10 (10)81.166.6147.7+14.570%
Last 5 (5)88.662.0150.6+26.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)88.365.6153.9+22.790%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktau
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
91-66
91
66
+25
85avg 79
A09/02
National League
Almaty
#3
W
95-79
95
79
+16
87avg 79
A21/02
National League
Almaty
#3
W
83-71
83
71
+12
82avg 79
A22/02
National League
Astana
#1
L
53-75
53
75
-22
47avg 79
H02/03
National League
Astana
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
70avg 79
H03/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
105-66
105
66
+39
109avg 79
H19/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
99-75
99
75
+24
100avg 79
H20/03
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 79
A29/03
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
86avg 79
A30/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
62avg 79
A10/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
36-19
19-7
14-17
28-18
30-18
16-17
21-26
24-17
28-14
14-15
17-25
17-21
12-25
14-19
10-10
22-12
14-22
20-10
17-24
37-14
31-15
15-18
22-19
20-29
37-16
26-14
16-16
21-16
19-20
20-29
19-21
29-16
18-16
22-21
17-28
13-24
23-23
14-21
17-23
158.9Avg total
83.1Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.476.6158.0+4.855%
Season at home (16)81.377.9159.2+3.444%
Season away (15)81.575.2156.7+6.367%
Last 10 (10)83.175.8158.9+7.370%
Last 5 (5)87.279.8167.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.082.4149.4-15.414%
vs Similar (8)80.875.4156.1+5.462%
vs Weaker (15)88.973.9162.7+15.073%
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -3.9-3.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -3.9-3.9
AstanaKaspiy Aktau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#4
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H26/02
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A02/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A03/03
National League
Almaty
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H07/03
National League
Almaty
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H08/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H16/03
National League
Almaty
#3
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A21/03
National League
Almaty
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A22/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H10/04
National League
75.3Avg total
41.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.033.078.0+11.983%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.934.179.0+10.780%-
Last 30 away (15)45.131.977.0+13.187%-
Last 10 (10)41.433.975.3+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.634.077.6+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)45.033.078.0+11.983%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A09/02
National League
Almaty
#3
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A21/02
National League
Almaty
#3
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A22/02
National League
Astana
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H02/03
National League
Astana
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H03/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
68-29
68
29
+39
H19/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H20/03
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A29/03
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A30/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A10/04
National League
85.9Avg total
48.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.282.5+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.337.382.6+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)43.239.282.4+4.060%-
Last 10 (10)48.137.885.9+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)49.637.887.4+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.742.175.9-8.429%-
vs Similar (8)45.136.481.5+8.875%-
vs Weaker (15)48.737.486.1+11.387%-
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.4
51.5%
50.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.5
33.2%
30.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.314.8
66.4%
69.6%14.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kaspiy Aktautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kaspiy Aktau: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.8
51.4%
50.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.58.6
29.2%
30.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
69.6%14.1
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astana
WWWWWLLLWW
Kaspiy Aktau
LWLWWWLWWW
#1
League position
#2
+19.7
Net rating
+8.8
109.9
Offensive rating
106.2
90.3
Defensive rating
97.4
50.7%
Effective FG%
48.3%
41.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
29.2%
74.9%
Assist %
81.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 106.2Defence90.3 · 97.4Shooting50.7% · 48.3%3-point %33.2% · 29.2%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Astana   ■ Kaspiy Aktau
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Astana wins
1
Kaspiy Aktau wins
DateGameScore
10/04/26Astana v Kaspiy Aktau91-67
03/03/26Kaspiy Aktau v Astana73-68
02/03/26Kaspiy Aktau v Astana53-75
03/12/25Kaspiy Aktau v Astana63-75
02/12/25Kaspiy Aktau v Astana71-97
04/11/25Astana v Kaspiy Aktau87-74
03/11/25Astana v Kaspiy Aktau84-68
06/04/22Kaspiy Aktau v Astana52-108
05/04/22Kaspiy Aktau v Astana64-97
24/03/22Astana v Kaspiy Aktau85-41
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/26HKaspiy Aktau91-67
22/03/26AAlmaty81-54
21/03/26AAlmaty82-68
16/03/26HTobol Kostanay101-48
15/03/26HTobol Kostanay88-73
08/03/26HAlmaty69-72
07/03/26HAlmaty77-86
03/03/26AKaspiy Aktau68-73
02/03/26AKaspiy Aktau75-53
26/02/26HAtyrau79-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/26AAstana67-91
30/03/26AAtyrau86-81
29/03/26AAtyrau79-86
20/03/26HTobol Kostanay99-75
19/03/26HTobol Kostanay105-66
03/03/26HAstana73-68
02/03/26HAstana53-75
22/02/26AAlmaty83-71
21/02/26AAlmaty95-79
09/02/26ATobol Kostanay91-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana
National League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeLLWWW87%
AwayWWLWW94%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %90%87%94%
Points / game88.386.789.8
Allowed / game65.468.762.4
Point differential+22.8+18.0+27.4
Avg total153.7155.3152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+87%80%94%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kaspiy Aktau
National League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeWLWWW44%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %55%44%67%
Points / game81.481.381.5
Allowed / game76.677.975.2
Point differential+4.8+3.4+6.3
Avg total158.0159.2156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%38%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana3128390%88.365.4+22.8
2 Kaspiy Aktau31171455%81.476.6+4.8
3 Almaty32161650%81.779.5+2.2
4 Atyrau32151747%80.481.3-0.9
5 Tobol Kostanay323299%67.996.0-28.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Astana14221318875
Kaspiy Aktau161722121380
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.