Astana vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	87.6	68.3	155.9	+19.4	84%
Season at home (19)	86.4	71.9	158.3	+14.5	79%
Season away (18)	89.0	64.4	153.4	+24.6	89%
Last 10 (10)	86.2	73.5	159.7	+12.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	83.6	170.0	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	86.8	69.9	156.6	+16.9	80%

This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kaspiy Aktau Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

105-66

105

+39

H19/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

99-75

+24

H20/03

National League

Atyrau

79-86

-7

A29/03

National League

Atyrau

86-81

A30/03

National League

Astana

67-91

-24

A10/04

National League

Astana

80-75 OT

A11/04

National League

Almaty

88-73

+15

H11/05

National League

Almaty

81-70

+11

H12/05

National League

Almaty

69-77

-8

A16/05

National League

Almaty

101-80

101

+21

A17/05

National League

37-14

31-15

15-18

22-19

20-29

37-16

26-14

16-16

21-16

19-20

20-29

19-21

29-16

18-16

22-21

17-28

13-24

23-23

14-21

17-23

16-14

17-22

22-13

12-18

25-22

13-12

29-19

21-20

24-19

12-17

22-20

23-14

19-15

20-23

15-20

15-19

27-18

19-22

31-17

24-23

162.9Avg total

85.5Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	81.8	76.4	158.1	+5.4	58%
Season at home (18)	81.7	77.2	158.8	+4.5	50%
Season away (18)	81.8	75.6	157.4	+6.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	77.4	162.9	+8.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	75.0	158.8	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	67.8	80.2	148.0	-12.3	33%
vs Similar (10)	84.2	74.5	158.7	+9.7	80%
vs Weaker (14)	89.6	73.1	162.8	+16.5	79%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AstanaKaspiy Aktau

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	18.7	40.4	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.9	18.6	41.5	+4.3	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.1	42.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	23.4	48.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	21.8	18.7	40.4	+3.1	63%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	18.8	41.7	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.2	19.1	43.4	+5.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	18.7	41.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.6	39.8	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.7	17.7	35.3	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.5	17.7	41.2	+5.8	90%	-
vs Weaker (14)	24.7	20.0	44.7	+4.7	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.7	17.4	39.1	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.4	16.9	39.3	+5.5	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.4	38.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.1	40.8	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	19.2	35.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.7	22.5	39.2	-5.8	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	25.0	17.8	42.8	+7.2	86%	-

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

49-26

+23

H16/03

National League

Almaty

34-32

A21/03

National League

Almaty

42-31

+11

A22/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

47-36

+11

H10/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

36-33

H11/04

National League

Atyrau

56-36

+20

H10/05

National League

Atyrau

33-52

-19

H11/05

National League

Atyrau

39-53

-14

A15/05

National League

Atyrau

41-45

-4

A16/05

National League

Atyrau

50-41

H19/05

National League

81.2Avg total

42.7Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	35.8	79.6	+7.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.6	35.9	80.5	+8.6	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.7	35.7	78.4	+7.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	38.5	81.2	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	45.4	89.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	43.8	35.8	79.6	+7.9	73%	-

This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

68-29

+39

H19/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

57-45

+12

H20/03

National League

Atyrau

40-36

A29/03

National League

Atyrau

47-32

+15

A30/03

National League

Astana

36-47

-11

A10/04

National League

Astana

33-36

-3

A11/04

National League

Almaty

38-34

H11/05

National League

Almaty

36-36

H12/05

National League

Almaty

39-38

A16/05

National League

Almaty

46-40

A17/05

National League

81.3Avg total

44.0Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	37.9	82.4	+6.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.2	37.5	82.7	+7.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.9	38.2	82.2	+5.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	37.3	81.3	+6.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.8	75.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	34.3	40.2	74.5	-5.8	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.4	36.7	80.1	+6.7	70%	-
vs Weaker (14)	49.7	37.8	87.5	+11.9	86%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.7	18.1	39.8	+3.6	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.8	16.5	39.3	+6.4	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	17.2	40.1	+5.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	19.4	44.0	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	16.9	36.6	+2.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.8	41.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.8	19.7	36.5	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	16.2	36.7	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.7	17.2	36.9	+2.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	14.9	36.5	+6.7	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	16.5	36.3	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	20.5	16.2	36.7	+4.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.1	37.4	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	14.5	19.0	33.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	70%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.9	17.4	37.2	+2.5	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	33.6	76.3	+9.1	80%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.4	35.3	76.7	+6.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	44.5	31.4	75.8	+13.1	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	33.7	76.4	+9.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	38.2	80.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	42.7	33.6	76.3	+9.1	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	36.8	75.3	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	38.3	76.9	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	35.6	74.0	+2.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	39.3	79.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	36.6	79.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	31.3	38.7	70.0	-7.3	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.8	37.8	78.6	+3.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (14)	39.9	35.4	75.3	+4.6	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 86.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.6	52.8%	50.5%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.0	11.6	34.1%	30.4%	34.8
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.2	72.8%	69.6%	14.2

They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Kaspiy Aktautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kaspiy Aktau: 82.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.6	20.8	48.8%	50.5%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	8.5	29.9%	30.4%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	21.8	15.6	71.6%	69.6%	15.6

They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	16.7	43.3%	50.5%	33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	8.1	33.2%	30.4%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.8	76.0%	69.6%	15.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	18.5	48.6%	50.5%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	9.3	30.4%	30.4%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	18.1	11.2	61.9%	69.6%	11.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	19.0	53.3%	50.5%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.4	9.9	31.4%	30.4%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.3	71.7%	69.6%	14.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	20.8	50.4%	50.5%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	8.4	29.1%	30.4%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	23.3	16.5	71.0%	69.6%	16.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	18.2	47.5%	50.5%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	8.7	33.4%	30.4%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	21.6	15.5	72.0%	69.6%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	18.1	46.9%	50.5%	36.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	9.4	30.8%	30.4%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	19.2	12.6	65.6%	69.6%	12.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Astana

WLWLWLWWWW

Kaspiy Aktau

WLWWWLWLWW

League position

+16.9

Net rating

+8.4

115.0

Offensive rating

105.2

98.0

Defensive rating

96.8

52.0%

Effective FG%

47.3%

45.8%

Opp. effective FG%

47.2%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.31

34.1%

3-point %

29.9%

72.8%

Assist %

85.7%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Astana ■ Kaspiy Aktau

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Astana wins

Kaspiy Aktau wins

Date	Game	Score
11/04/26	Astana v Kaspiy Aktau	75-80 OT
10/04/26	Astana v Kaspiy Aktau	91-67
03/03/26	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	73-68
02/03/26	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	53-75
03/12/25	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	63-75
02/12/25	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	71-97
04/11/25	Astana v Kaspiy Aktau	87-74
03/11/25	Astana v Kaspiy Aktau	84-68
06/04/22	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	52-108
05/04/22	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	64-97

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/26	H	Atyrau	88-87
16/05/26	A	Atyrau	78-79
15/05/26	A	Atyrau	88-83
11/05/26	H	Atyrau	76-90
10/05/26	H	Atyrau	102-79
11/04/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	75-80 OT
10/04/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	91-67
22/03/26	A	Almaty	81-54
21/03/26	A	Almaty	82-68
16/03/26	H	Tobol Kostanay	101-48

Kaspiy Aktaulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/05/26	A	Almaty	101-80
16/05/26	A	Almaty	69-77
12/05/26	H	Almaty	81-70
11/05/26	H	Almaty	88-73
11/04/26	A	Astana	80-75 OT
10/04/26	A	Astana	67-91
30/03/26	A	Atyrau	86-81
29/03/26	A	Atyrau	79-86
20/03/26	H	Tobol Kostanay	99-75
19/03/26	H	Tobol Kostanay	105-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana

National League 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	84%
Home	WLWLW	79%
Away	LWWWL	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	84%	79%	89%
Points / game	87.6	86.4	89.0
Allowed / game	68.3	71.9	64.4
Point differential	+19.4	+14.5	+24.6
Avg total	155.9	158.3	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	76%	68%	83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	33% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	3%	5%	0%

Kaspiy Aktau

National League 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	58%
Home	WWWWW	50%
Away	WLWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	58%	50%	67%
Points / game	81.8	81.7	81.8
Allowed / game	76.4	77.2	75.6
Point differential	+5.4	+4.5	+6.3
Avg total	158.1	158.8	157.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	44%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	50% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	37	31	6	84%	87.6	68.3	+19.4
2	Kaspiy Aktau	36	21	15	58%	81.8	76.4	+5.4
3	Almaty	38	19	19	50%	81.5	79.0	+2.5
4	Atyrau	39	19	20	49%	81.9	81.5	+0.4
5	Tobol Kostanay	34	3	31	9%	68.2	96.4	-28.1
6	Turan	2	0	2	0%	60.5	92.0	-31.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Astana	16	19	22	15	72
Kaspiy Aktau	19	20	19	16	74

← all games of the day

Astana vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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