Astana vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (41)	86.5	68.6	155.1	+17.9	80%
Season at home (21)	85.6	72.8	158.4	+12.8	71%
Season away (20)	87.5	64.2	151.7	+23.2	90%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	78.5	159.6	+2.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	74.8	153.2	+3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	84.3	70.5	154.8	+13.8	73%

This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kaspiy Aktau Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAktau

Date

Competition

Astana

67-91

-24

62avg 78

A10/04

National League

Astana

80-75 OT

72avg 78

A11/04

National League

Almaty

88-73

+15

90avg 78

H11/05

National League

Almaty

81-70

+11

85avg 78

H12/05

National League

Almaty

69-77

-8

63avg 78

A16/05

National League

Almaty

101-80

101

+21

no box

A17/05

National League

Astana

74-72

72avg 78

A23/05

National League

Astana

89-85

81avg 78

A24/05

National League

Astana

53-68

-15

48avg 78

H27/05

National League

Astana

71-79

-8

64avg 78

H28/05

National League

13-24

23-23

14-21

17-23

16-14

17-22

22-13

12-18

25-22

13-12

29-19

21-20

24-19

12-17

22-20

23-14

19-15

20-23

15-20

15-19

27-18

19-22

31-17

24-23

19-16

20-19

19-22

16-15

20-25

21-25

19-16

29-19

13-12

8-21

17-17

15-18

8-21

18-13

29-26

16-19

154.3Avg total

77.3Scored

77.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	80.8	76.3	157.1	+4.4	57%
Season at home (20)	79.7	76.8	156.5	+2.9	45%
Season away (20)	81.8	75.8	157.6	+6.0	70%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	77.0	154.3	+0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	76.8	154.4	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	69.4	78.5	147.9	-9.1	40%
vs Similar (8)	87.9	75.4	163.2	+12.5	88%
vs Weaker (12)	88.9	74.1	163.0	+14.8	75%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AstanaKaspiy Aktau

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	18.4	41.2	+4.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.3	40.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.6	36.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.3	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	18.8	41.3	+3.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	19.0	40.3	+2.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.4	35.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.6	17.6	42.2	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (12)	24.6	20.5	45.1	+4.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.1	38.4	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	21.2	17.1	38.4	+4.1	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.1	40.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.7	36.8	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.7	21.3	38.0	-4.6	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.5	18.6	40.1	+2.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (12)	25.0	17.5	42.5	+7.5	83%	-

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

36-33

H11/04

National League

Atyrau

56-36

+20

H10/05

National League

Atyrau

33-52

-19

H11/05

National League

Atyrau

39-53

-14

A15/05

National League

Atyrau

41-45

-4

A16/05

National League

Atyrau

50-41

H19/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

35-39

-4

H23/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

50-41

H24/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

33-21

+12

A27/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

34-26

A28/05

National League

79.4Avg total

40.7Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	35.2	77.8	+7.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.2	36.4	80.6	+7.8	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.4	33.6	74.0	+6.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	38.7	79.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	33.6	74.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	42.6	35.2	77.8	+7.4	73%	-

This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

36-47

-11

A10/04

National League

Astana

33-36

-3

A11/04

National League

Almaty

38-34

H11/05

National League

Almaty

36-36

H12/05

National League

Almaty

39-38

A16/05

National League

Almaty

46-40

A17/05

National League

Astana

39-35

A23/05

National League

Astana

41-50

-9

A24/05

National League

Astana

21-33

-12

H27/05

National League

Astana

26-34

-8

H28/05

National League

73.8Avg total

35.5Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	38.0	81.2	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.5	37.0	79.5	+5.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.1	39.1	83.1	+5.0	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	38.3	73.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	38.4	73.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	33.3	39.3	72.6	-6.0	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	46.1	36.2	82.4	+9.9	88%	-
vs Weaker (12)	49.6	38.0	87.6	+11.6	83%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	17.5	39.1	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	17.9	39.2	+3.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	21.6	17.5	39.1	+4.0	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	17.2	37.1	+2.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.1	40.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.6	42.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	18.5	39.6	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.3	37.3	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	14.9	35.4	+5.5	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.2	36.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.8	36.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	19.9	17.3	37.3	+2.6	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.8	37.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.3	18.5	34.8	-2.2	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.6	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	34.9	76.4	+6.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.8	37.1	77.9	+3.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.5	31.9	74.4	+10.5	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	38.5	78.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.2	79.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	41.5	34.9	76.4	+6.6	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	37.7	76.1	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	38.5	77.1	+0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	36.7	75.1	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	37.9	78.4	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.4	81.4	+4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	34.8	38.4	73.2	-3.6	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.8	39.1	80.9	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.3	36.1	75.4	+3.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 81.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	19.1	54.3%	50.5%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.8	9.9	30.2%	30.4%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	18.4	13.2	71.7%	69.6%	13.2

They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Kaspiy Aktautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kaspiy Aktau: 75.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	17.8	44.2%	50.5%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	8.1	30.6%	30.4%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	22.1	15.9	71.9%	69.6%	15.9

They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	18.5	45.5%	50.5%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	8.8	35.1%	30.4%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	20.0	15.1	75.5%	69.6%	15.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	18.1	48.3%	50.5%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.5	9.7	31.8%	30.4%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	17.8	11.8	66.3%	69.6%	11.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	19.4	54.6%	50.5%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.2	10.2	31.7%	30.4%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.5	71.5%	69.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	20.3	49.4%	50.5%	40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	8.3	29.3%	30.4%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	22.1	15.7	70.8%	69.6%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	17.5	45.3%	50.5%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	8.5	32.7%	30.4%	25.6
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.3	70.9%	69.6%	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	18.0	47.8%	50.5%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	9.4	30.5%	30.4%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	18.8	12.5	66.3%	69.6%	12.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Astana

WWLLWLWLWL

Kaspiy Aktau

LLWWWLWWWL

League position

+3.5

Net rating

-1.7

107.6

Offensive rating

99.5

104.2

Defensive rating

101.2

49.9%

Effective FG%

44.8%

48.2%

Opp. effective FG%

48.0%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.33

30.2%

3-point %

30.6%

75.9%

Assist %

91.5%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Astana ■ Kaspiy Aktau

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Astana wins

Kaspiy Aktau wins

Date	Game	Score
28/05/26	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	71-79
27/05/26	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	53-68
24/05/26	Astana v Kaspiy Aktau	85-89
23/05/26	Astana v Kaspiy Aktau	72-74
11/04/26	Astana v Kaspiy Aktau	75-80 OT
10/04/26	Astana v Kaspiy Aktau	91-67
03/03/26	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	73-68
02/03/26	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	53-75
03/12/25	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	63-75
02/12/25	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	71-97

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/05/26	A	Kaspiy Aktau	79-71
27/05/26	A	Kaspiy Aktau	68-53
24/05/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	85-89
23/05/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	72-74
19/05/26	H	Atyrau	88-87
16/05/26	A	Atyrau	78-79
15/05/26	A	Atyrau	88-83
11/05/26	H	Atyrau	76-90
10/05/26	H	Atyrau	102-79
11/04/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	75-80 OT

Kaspiy Aktaulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/05/26	H	Astana	71-79
27/05/26	H	Astana	53-68
24/05/26	A	Astana	89-85
23/05/26	A	Astana	74-72
17/05/26	A	Almaty	101-80
16/05/26	A	Almaty	69-77
12/05/26	H	Almaty	81-70
11/05/26	H	Almaty	88-73
11/04/26	A	Astana	80-75 OT
10/04/26	A	Astana	67-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana

National League 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	80%
Home	WLWLL	71%
Away	WWLWW	90%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	41	21	20
Win %	80%	71%	90%
Points / game	86.5	85.6	87.5
Allowed / game	68.6	72.8	64.2
Point differential	+17.9	+12.8	+23.2
Avg total	155.1	158.4	151.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	62%	80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (8)	20% (5)	33% (3)
Overtime %	2%	5%	0%

Kaspiy Aktau

National League 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	57%
Home	WWWLL	45%
Away	WLWWW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	20	20
Win %	57%	45%	70%
Points / game	80.8	79.7	81.8
Allowed / game	76.3	76.8	75.8
Point differential	+4.4	+2.9	+6.0
Avg total	157.1	156.5	157.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	40%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	50% (2)	100% (5)
Overtime %	2%	0%	5%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	41	33	8	80%	86.5	68.6	+17.9
2	Kaspiy Aktau	40	23	17	57%	80.8	76.3	+4.4
3	Almaty	42	22	20	52%	80.9	78.6	+2.3
4	Atyrau	43	20	23	47%	81.3	81.0	+0.3
5	Tobol Kostanay	34	3	31	9%	68.2	96.4	-28.1
6	Turan	2	0	2	0%	60.5	92.0	-31.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Astana	21	30	18	10	8	87
Kaspiy Aktau	25	24	17	13	10	89

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Astana vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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