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Astana vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 64-65 (OT)
17-25 12-15 12-7 14-8 9-10
Position#12
Record3-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Minsk 🏆
Russia
Position#10
Record3-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game85.4
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Astana v Minsk
06 Mar 2024
AST76
MIN70
15 Nov 2023
AST78
MIN74
01 Feb 2023
AST86
MIN82
11 Jan 2023
AST77
MIN48
17 Mar 2022
AST64
MIN65
25 Apr 2021
AST74
MIN109
09 Nov 2019
AST91
MIN89
17 Mar 2019
AST101
MIN71
04 Mar 2018
AST77
MIN59
04 Dec 2016
AST84
MIN67
14 Nov 2015
AST92
MIN93
21 Dec 2014
AST84
MIN85
22 Feb 2014
AST99
MIN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstana
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
105-50
105
50
+55
no box
A20/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H26/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
H27/01
National League
Zielona Gora
#11
L
83-91
83
91
-8
72avg 72
A31/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
54avg 72
A13/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
87-83
87
83
+4
77avg 72
H15/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
53-84
53
84
-31
no box
H17/02
VTB United League
Atyrau
#2
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
H04/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H05/03
National League
Minsk
#10
L
60-66
60
66
-6
no box
A13/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-13
14-10
25-9
32-18
30-11
15-18
17-13
26-15
27-21
28-21
21-17
22-21
18-26
20-22
23-23
22-20
14-18
16-26
19-18
16-22
20-25
24-21
22-18
21-19
20-16
10-22
10-20
13-26
22-25
28-17
22-15
19-11
–
–
–
–
17-22
7-14
24-17
12-13
141.3Avg total
73.0Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.281.3156.5-6.223%
Season at home (4)76.081.0157.0-5.050%
Season away (9)74.881.4156.2-6.711%
Last 10 (10)73.068.3141.3+4.750%
Last 5 (5)58.264.2122.4-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.083.0158.0-8.020%
vs Similar ◀ (3)75.775.7151.3+0.033%
vs Weaker (17)89.555.6145.2+33.994%
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinsk
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
no box
H07/11
VTB United League
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
L
72-95
72
95
-23
no box
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
65-72
65
72
-7
52avg 69
A13/11
VTB United League
Bakken Bears
#17
L
80-93
80
93
-13
no box
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unics Kazan
#3
L
72-92
72
92
-20
67avg 69
H06/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 69
A18/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#7
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
H10/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
no box
H17/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
56-98
56
98
-42
no box
A06/03
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
66-60
66
60
+6
no box
H13/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
15-20
14-14
28-30
23-28
16-32
18-19
15-16
23-25
18-11
8-14
16-22
20-32
22-21
21-23
17-17
12-26
17-15
13-31
30-20
13-18
17-21
27-23
22-24
7-21
17-26
19-10
29-11
20-17
12-23
16-25
26-25
16-34
18-25
8-14
14-25
22-17
14-7
17-24
13-12
157.4Avg total
72.9Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.285.4156.6-14.223%
Season at home (7)70.981.6152.4-10.743%
Season away (6)71.789.8161.5-18.20%
Last 10 (10)72.984.5157.4-11.630%
Last 5 (5)69.480.4149.8-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)72.087.6159.5-15.617%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.776.7157.3+4.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
AstanaMinsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A20/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H26/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H27/01
National League
Zielona Gora
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A31/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A13/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H15/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H17/02
VTB United League
Atyrau
#2
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H04/03
National League
Minsk
#10
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A13/03
VTB United League
79.1Avg total
40.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.235.079.2+9.366%-
Last 30 at home (11)47.734.482.1+13.482%-
Last 30 away (18)42.135.377.4+6.856%-
Last 10 (9)40.438.779.1+1.844%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.276.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.240.777.9-3.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.039.774.7-4.733%-
vs Weaker (16)50.430.580.9+19.9100%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/11
VTB United League
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
L
39-60
39
60
-21
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A13/11
VTB United League
Bakken Bears
#17
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unics Kazan
#3
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H06/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A18/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#7
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H10/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H17/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A06/03
VTB United League
Astana
#12
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H13/03
VTB United League
78.0Avg total
34.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.143.478.5-8.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.142.876.9-8.727%-
Last 30 away (15)36.144.080.1-7.920%-
Last 10 (10)34.543.578.0-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.241.873.0-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)34.244.778.9-10.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.038.277.2+0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 65.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.9 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.8
53.3%
52.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.8
31.2%
35.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws10.06.9
69.0%
77.1%6.9
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 63.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.415.2
50.0%
52.1%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.6
34.4%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.510.7
69.0%
77.1%10.7
They take 52.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astana
LLWLWLLWWW
Minsk
WLLWLLLLLW
#12
League position
#10
-10.7
Net rating
-21.6
99.5
Offensive rating
98.4
110.3
Defensive rating
119.9
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
18.4%
Turnover %
20.6%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.2%
3-point %
34.4%
50.8%
Assist %
65.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 98.4Defence110.3 · 119.9Shooting50.5% · 50.7%3-point %31.2% · 34.4%Ball care18.4% · 20.6%Off. rebounds25.8% · 25.4%Free throws0.17 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Astana   ■ Minsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Astana wins
4
Minsk wins
DateGameScore
13/03/22Minsk v Astana66-60
25/04/21Astana v Minsk74-109
21/03/21Minsk v Astana78-80
02/02/20Minsk v Astana96-77
09/11/19Astana v Minsk91-89
17/03/19Astana v Minsk101-71
13/10/18Minsk v Astana86-93
04/03/18Astana v Minsk77-59
22/10/17Minsk v Astana75-66
19/02/17Minsk v Astana70-80
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/22AMinsk60-66
05/03/22HAtyrau0-20
04/03/22HAtyrau91-68
17/02/22HUnics Kazan53-84
15/02/22HLokomotiv Kuban87-83
13/02/22ACSKA Moscow65-84
31/01/22AZielona Gora83-91
27/01/22HAtyrau98-80
26/01/22HAtyrau88-57
20/01/22ATobol Kostanay105-50
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/22HAstana66-60
06/03/22AUnics Kazan56-98
17/02/22HZenit Petersburg74-90
10/02/22HEnisey72-68
18/12/21AEnisey79-86
06/12/21HUnics Kazan72-92
17/11/21HBakken Bears80-93
13/11/21ANizhny Novgorod65-72
10/11/21HCrailsheim Merlins72-95
07/11/21HBC Kalev/Cramo93-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana
VTB United League 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %23%50%11%
Points / game75.276.074.8
Allowed / game81.381.081.4
Point differential-6.2-5.0-6.7
Avg total156.5157.0156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %15%25%11%
Minsk
VTB United League 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW23%
HomeWLWLW43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%43%0%
Points / game71.270.971.7
Allowed / game85.481.689.8
Point differential-14.2-10.7-18.2
Avg total156.6152.4161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1715288%83.771.4+12.4
2 CSKA Moscow1814478%87.770.8+16.9
3 Zenit Petersburg1713476%83.672.7+10.9
4 Saratov149564%85.687.6-2.0
5 Parma Perm138562%79.075.5+3.5
6 Lokomotiv Kuban137654%88.890.3-1.5
7 Nizhny Novgorod135838%75.980.7-4.8
8 Enisey1541127%77.884.7-6.9
9 Astana1331023%75.281.3-6.2
10 BC Kalev/Cramo1331023%71.679.5-7.9
11 Minsk1331023%71.285.4-14.2
12 Zielona Gora1321115%75.087.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Astana17121214964
Minsk2515781065
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