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Minsk vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 66-60
22-17 14-7 17-24 13-12
Position#10
Record2-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game87.5
Minsk 🏆
Russia
vs
Astana
Russia
Position#12
Record3-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game82.6
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Minsk v Astana
27 Mar 2024
MIN60
AST58
07 Dec 2023
MIN84
AST89
26 Mar 2023
MIN84
AST69
25 Dec 2022
MIN65
AST76
13 Mar 2022
MIN66
AST60
21 Mar 2021
MIN78
AST80
02 Feb 2020
MIN96
AST77
13 Oct 2018
MIN86
AST93
22 Oct 2017
MIN75
AST66
19 Feb 2017
MIN70
AST80
05 Mar 2016
MIN87
AST83
05 Apr 2015
MIN94
AST86
17 Nov 2013
MIN82
AST68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minsk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinsk
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#30
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
no box
H07/11
VTB United League
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
L
72-95
72
95
-23
no box
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
65-72
65
72
-7
52avg 67
A13/11
VTB United League
Bakken Bears
#17
L
80-93
80
93
-13
no box
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unics Kazan
#3
L
72-92
72
92
-20
67avg 67
H06/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 67
A18/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#7
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
H10/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
no box
H17/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
56-98
56
98
-42
no box
A06/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
14-19
25-24
20-20
23-16
15-20
14-14
28-30
23-28
16-32
18-19
15-16
23-25
18-11
8-14
16-22
20-32
22-21
21-23
17-17
12-26
17-15
13-31
30-20
13-18
17-21
27-23
22-24
7-21
17-26
19-10
29-11
20-17
12-23
16-25
26-25
16-34
18-25
8-14
14-25
159.8Avg total
73.3Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.787.5159.2-15.817%
Season at home (6)71.785.2156.8-13.533%
Season away (6)71.789.8161.5-18.20%
Last 10 (10)73.386.5159.8-13.220%
Last 5 (5)70.686.8157.4-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)71.788.6160.3-16.916%
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.680.0163.6+3.640%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstana
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
102-60
102
60
+42
no box
A19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
105-50
105
50
+55
no box
A20/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H26/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
H27/01
National League
Zielona Gora
#11
L
83-91
83
91
-8
72avg 72
A31/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
54avg 72
A13/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
87-83
87
83
+4
77avg 72
H15/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
53-84
53
84
-31
no box
H17/02
VTB United League
Atyrau
#2
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
H04/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H05/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
29-16
22-15
20-8
34-13
14-10
25-9
32-18
30-11
15-18
17-13
26-15
27-21
28-21
21-17
22-21
18-26
20-22
23-23
22-20
14-18
16-26
19-18
16-22
20-25
24-21
22-18
21-19
20-16
10-22
10-20
13-26
22-25
28-17
22-15
19-11
–
–
–
–
144.9Avg total
77.2Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.482.6159.0-6.225%
Season at home (4)76.081.0157.0-5.050%
Season away (8)76.683.4160.0-6.812%
Last 10 (10)77.267.7144.9+9.560%
Last 5 (5)59.267.8127.0-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.083.0158.0-8.020%
vs Similar ◀ (2)83.580.5164.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (18)89.155.3144.4+33.794%
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
MinskAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#30
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/11
VTB United League
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
L
39-60
39
60
-21
H10/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A13/11
VTB United League
Bakken Bears
#17
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H17/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unics Kazan
#3
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H06/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A18/12
VTB United League
Enisey
#7
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H10/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H17/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A06/03
VTB United League
78.1Avg total
33.4Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.844.779.5-9.920%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.044.178.1-10.121%-
Last 30 away (16)35.545.280.7-9.719%-
Last 10 (10)33.444.778.1-11.320%-
Last 5 (5)29.845.275.0-15.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)33.845.479.3-11.616%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A20/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H26/01
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H27/01
National League
Zielona Gora
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A31/01
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A13/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H15/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H17/02
VTB United League
Atyrau
#2
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H04/03
National League
83.2Avg total
44.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.734.479.1+10.369%-
Last 30 at home (11)47.734.482.1+13.482%-
Last 30 away (18)42.934.477.3+8.461%-
Last 10 (9)44.438.883.2+5.756%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.682.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.240.777.9-3.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (17)49.629.979.5+19.8100%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.9
48.7%
52.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.6
35.1%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.411.9
68.4%
77.1%11.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.2 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.6
53.7%
52.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.8
32.7%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws10.57.2
68.6%
77.1%7.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minsk
LLWLLLLLWL
Astana
LWLWLLWWWW
#10
League position
#12
-19.7
Net rating
-8.5
97.9
Offensive rating
100.0
117.6
Defensive rating
108.5
50.3%
Effective FG%
51.7%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
20.6%
Turnover %
19.1%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.17
35.1%
3-point %
32.7%
66.3%
Assist %
52.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 100.0Defence117.6 · 108.5Shooting50.3% · 51.7%3-point %35.1% · 32.7%Ball care20.6% · 19.1%Off. rebounds25.4% · 25.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Minsk   ■ Astana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Minsk wins
7
Astana wins
DateGameScore
25/04/21Astana v Minsk74-109
21/03/21Minsk v Astana78-80
02/02/20Minsk v Astana96-77
09/11/19Astana v Minsk91-89
17/03/19Astana v Minsk101-71
13/10/18Minsk v Astana86-93
04/03/18Astana v Minsk77-59
22/10/17Minsk v Astana75-66
19/02/17Minsk v Astana70-80
04/12/16Astana v Minsk84-67
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/22AUnics Kazan56-98
17/02/22HZenit Petersburg74-90
10/02/22HEnisey72-68
18/12/21AEnisey79-86
06/12/21HUnics Kazan72-92
17/11/21HBakken Bears80-93
13/11/21ANizhny Novgorod65-72
10/11/21HCrailsheim Merlins72-95
07/11/21HBC Kalev/Cramo93-91 OT
03/11/21APeristeri70-80
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/22HAtyrau0-20
04/03/22HAtyrau91-68
17/02/22HUnics Kazan53-84
15/02/22HLokomotiv Kuban87-83
13/02/22ACSKA Moscow65-84
31/01/22AZielona Gora83-91
27/01/22HAtyrau98-80
26/01/22HAtyrau88-57
20/01/22ATobol Kostanay105-50
19/01/22ATobol Kostanay102-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minsk
VTB United League 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game71.771.771.7
Allowed / game87.585.289.8
Point differential-15.8-13.5-18.2
Avg total159.2156.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Astana
VTB United League 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %25%50%12%
Points / game76.476.076.6
Allowed / game82.681.083.4
Point differential-6.2-5.0-6.8
Avg total159.0157.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%25%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1614288%84.972.7+12.2
2 Zenit Petersburg1613381%83.972.3+11.6
3 CSKA Moscow1713476%88.270.4+17.9
4 Saratov149564%85.687.6-2.0
5 Parma Perm138562%79.075.5+3.5
6 Lokomotiv Kuban137654%88.890.3-1.5
7 Nizhny Novgorod125742%78.182.0-3.9
8 Enisey1541127%77.884.7-6.9
9 Astana123925%76.482.6-6.2
10 BC Kalev/Cramo1331023%71.679.5-7.9
11 Minsk1221017%71.787.5-15.8
12 Zielona Gora1321115%75.087.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minsk2214171366
Astana177241260
← all games of the day
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