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Astros vs Halcones de Obregon Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 83-73
18-18 22-18 18-18 25-19
Position#1
Record33-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game86.7
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Halcones de Obregon
Mexico
Position#3
Record28-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game85.5
MexicoCIBACOPACIBACOPA - Semi-finals· Arena Astros
Other2025
Meetings · Astros v Halcones de Obregon
16 Jun 2025
ASTR87
HALC78
07 Jun 2025
ASTR84
HALC86
06 Jun 2025
ASTR83
HALC73
16 Mar 2025
ASTR92
HALC84
15 Mar 2025
ASTR108
HALC81
18 May 2024
ASTR104
HALC100
17 May 2024
ASTR103
HALC85
18 Mar 2023
ASTR100
HALC74
17 Mar 2023
ASTR90
HALC96
07 May 2022
ASTR81
HALC76
06 May 2022
ASTR92
HALC97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Halcones de Obregon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
109-98
109
98
+11
107avg 89
A09/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
78avg 89
A10/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 89
H14/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 89
H15/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
104-83
104
83
+21
97avg 89
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 89
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
85avg 89
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
110-90
110
90
+20
106avg 89
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
86avg 89
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
89-84
89
84
+5
81avg 89
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
36-15
20-31
27-33
18-22
22-10
25-19
19-25
23-20
19-15
31-16
21-14
17-24
27-19
19-17
23-18
29-15
25-17
23-28
27-23
14-16
23-17
15-22
24-14
16-17
25-18
26-15
26-25
26-29
25-15
27-19
32-27
20-14
22-20
19-22
14-19
25-22
20-23
21-20
23-19
175.1Avg total
94.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)98.486.7185.1+11.882%
Season at home (20)101.385.5186.8+15.885%
Season away (20)95.587.8183.3+7.780%
Last 10 (10)94.181.0175.1+13.1100%
Last 5 (5)92.882.0174.8+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)107.8108.0215.8-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)97.883.8181.6+13.985%
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
85avg 85
A09/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
105-71
105
71
+34
105avg 85
A10/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
102-100
102
100
+2
99avg 85
H14/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
92-87
92
87
+5
84avg 85
H15/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
58avg 85
A18/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
107-84
107
84
+23
102avg 85
A19/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
92-79
92
79
+13
87avg 85
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 85
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
95-85
95
85
+10
95avg 85
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
102-70
102
70
+32
99avg 85
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
20-30
24-16
19-10
32-15
16-19
34-21
23-16
29-25
23-19
31-23
19-33
25-21
27-24
13-22
27-20
14-22
21-23
18-22
24-25
30-12
18-24
32-17
27-31
23-30
19-18
21-18
29-13
29-16
16-21
22-24
20-16
24-17
23-18
22-30
26-20
17-24
33-19
30-14
22-13
177.6Avg total
95.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)91.585.5177.0+5.970%
Season at home (20)91.384.8176.1+6.575%
Season away (20)91.686.2177.8+5.365%
Last 10 (10)95.082.6177.6+12.490%
Last 5 (5)96.679.0175.6+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)94.591.0185.5+3.5100%
vs Similar (2)103.599.0202.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (26)92.080.9172.9+11.085%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.9+3.9
AstrosHalcones de Obregon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
62-34
62
34
+28
A09/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A10/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H15/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A29/05
CIBACOPA
82.5Avg total
45.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.141.089.1+7.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.040.489.4+8.675%-
Last 30 away (14)47.141.788.8+5.457%-
Last 10 (10)45.836.782.5+9.190%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.281.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)51.053.0104.0-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)47.739.286.8+8.573%-
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A09/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A10/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H15/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A18/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A19/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A29/05
CIBACOPA
88.9Avg total
46.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.584.2+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.840.584.3+3.369%-
Last 30 away (14)43.640.484.0+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)46.742.288.9+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.886.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)43.542.085.5+1.5100%-
vs Similar (2)46.048.094.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (26)43.539.883.3+3.865%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.3
51.3%
53.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.5
41.5%
35.5%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
73.3%16.2
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 93.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.726.5
53.3%
53.3%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.19.4
42.5%
35.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.412.7
77.4%
73.3%12.7
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWWWWWWWWW
Halcones de Obregon
WWWWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+16.5
Net rating
+15.7
115.8
Offensive rating
121.4
99.3
Defensive rating
105.8
55.7%
Effective FG%
56.5%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
13.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
41.5%
3-point %
42.5%
64.0%
Assist %
50.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 121.4Defence99.3 · 105.8Shooting55.7% · 56.5%3-point %41.5% · 42.5%Ball care16.1% · 13.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 33.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)100% · 90%
■ Astros   ■ Halcones de Obregon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Astros wins
6
Halcones de Obregon wins
DateGameScore
24/04/25Halcones de Obregon v Astros102-98
23/04/25Halcones de Obregon v Astros87-84
16/03/25Astros v Halcones de Obregon92-84
16/03/25Astros v Halcones de Obregon108-81
19/05/24Astros v Halcones de Obregon104-100
18/05/24Astros v Halcones de Obregon103-85
14/03/24Halcones de Obregon v Astros99-91
13/03/24Halcones de Obregon v Astros93-91
04/05/23Halcones de Obregon v Astros92-89
03/05/23Halcones de Obregon v Astros122-121 OT
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/25ACaballeros de Culiacan89-84
28/05/25ACaballeros de Culiacan96-92 OT
25/05/25HCaballeros de Culiacan110-90
24/05/25HCaballeros de Culiacan93-75
18/05/25HRayos de Hermosillo76-69
18/05/25HRayos de Hermosillo104-83
15/05/25HCaballeros de Culiacan86-78
14/05/25HCaballeros de Culiacan94-65
10/05/25APioneros de Los Mochis84-76
09/05/25APioneros de Los Mochis109-98
Halcones de Obregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/25AOstioneros de Guaymas102-70
28/05/25AOstioneros de Guaymas95-85
25/05/25HOstioneros de Guaymas87-77
24/05/25HOstioneros de Guaymas92-79
19/05/25ACaballeros de Culiacan107-84
18/05/25ACaballeros de Culiacan77-92
15/05/25HOstioneros de Guaymas92-87
14/05/25HOstioneros de Guaymas102-100
10/05/25AFrayles de Guasave105-71
09/05/25AFrayles de Guasave91-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %82%85%80%
Points / game98.4101.395.5
Allowed / game86.785.587.8
Point differential+11.8+15.8+7.7
Avg total185.1186.8183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%65%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (2)71% (7)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %70%75%65%
Points / game91.591.391.6
Allowed / game85.584.886.2
Point differential+5.9+6.5+5.3
Avg total177.0176.2177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)62% (8)50% (2)
Overtime %8%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros4033782%98.486.7+11.8
2 Angeles CDMX41301173%109.0101.0+8.0
3 Halcones de Obregon40281270%91.585.5+5.9
4 Zonkeys de Tijuana42192345%87.988.2-0.3
5 Ostioneros de Guaymas40182245%92.193.1-1.0
6 Caballeros de Culiacan40182245%89.090.2-1.2
7 Rayos de Hermosillo41172441%85.989.4-3.5
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis42172540%90.093.1-3.1
9 Venados de Mazatlan36142239%88.692.5-3.9
10 Frayles de Guasave3653114%84.599.0-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros1822182583
Halcones de Obregon1818181973
← all games of the day
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