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Astros vs Halcones de Obregon Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 87-78
22-13 15-25 25-25 25-15
Position#1
Record36-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game85.8
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#3
Record30-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game85.5
MexicoCIBACOPACIBACOPA - Semi-finals· Arena Astros
Other2025
Meetings · Astros v Halcones de Obregon
16 Jun 2025
ASTR87
HALC78
07 Jun 2025
ASTR84
HALC86
06 Jun 2025
ASTR83
HALC73
16 Mar 2025
ASTR92
HALC84
15 Mar 2025
ASTR108
HALC81
18 May 2024
ASTR104
HALC100
17 May 2024
ASTR103
HALC85
18 Mar 2023
ASTR100
HALC74
17 Mar 2023
ASTR90
HALC96
07 May 2022
ASTR81
HALC76
06 May 2022
ASTR92
HALC97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Halcones de Obregon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 88
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
85avg 88
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
110-90
110
90
+20
106avg 88
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
86avg 88
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
89-84
89
84
+5
81avg 88
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
83-73
83
73
+10
81avg 88
H07/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
84-86
84
86
-2
70avg 88
H08/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
86avg 88
A11/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
93-76
93
76
+17
88avg 88
A12/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
73-70
73
70
+3
61avg 88
A14/06
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
23-17
15-22
24-14
16-17
25-18
26-15
26-25
26-29
25-15
27-19
32-27
20-14
22-20
19-22
14-19
25-22
20-23
21-20
23-19
18-18
22-18
18-18
25-19
9-24
22-16
20-26
33-20
19-23
28-14
15-24
29-31
29-12
18-12
24-19
22-33
18-18
16-12
24-17
15-23
169.5Avg total
88.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)96.985.8182.7+11.080%
Season at home (22)99.784.9184.6+14.882%
Season away (23)94.286.7181.0+7.578%
Last 10 (10)88.880.7169.5+8.180%
Last 5 (5)84.879.4164.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)107.8108.0215.8-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)94.082.2176.2+11.881%
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
107-84
107
84
+23
102avg 84
A19/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
92-79
92
79
+13
87avg 84
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 84
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
95-85
95
85
+10
95avg 84
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
102-70
102
70
+32
99avg 84
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
53avg 84
A07/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
86-84
86
84
+2
76avg 84
A08/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
92-91
92
91
+1
84avg 84
H11/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
76-93
76
93
-17
67avg 84
H12/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
70-73
70
73
-3
64avg 84
H14/06
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-12
18-24
32-17
27-31
23-30
19-18
21-18
29-13
29-16
16-21
22-24
20-16
24-17
23-18
22-30
26-20
17-24
33-19
30-14
22-13
18-18
18-22
18-18
19-25
24-9
16-22
26-20
20-33
23-19
14-28
24-15
31-29
12-29
12-18
19-24
33-22
18-18
12-16
17-24
23-15
169.9Avg total
88.0Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)90.185.5175.6+4.667%
Season at home (23)89.785.0174.7+4.870%
Season away (22)90.586.0176.5+4.564%
Last 10 (10)88.081.9169.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)79.484.8164.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)83.786.6170.3-2.957%
vs Similar (2)103.599.0202.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (21)94.082.0176.1+12.090%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
AstrosHalcones de Obregon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H07/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H08/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A11/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A12/06
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A14/06
CIBACOPA
77.3Avg total
41.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.139.585.6+6.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.538.984.5+6.673%-
Last 30 away (15)46.740.086.7+6.760%-
Last 10 (10)41.535.877.3+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.833.473.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)51.053.0104.0-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.437.482.8+8.073%-
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A19/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H24/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H25/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A28/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A29/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A08/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H11/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H12/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H14/06
CIBACOPA
79.7Avg total
39.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.983.9+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.941.284.1+1.662%-
Last 30 away (14)43.140.483.6+2.757%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.879.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.439.873.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.340.476.7-4.143%-
vs Similar (2)46.048.094.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker (21)45.040.385.3+4.667%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.421.3
49.1%
53.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.3
39.6%
35.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.214.3
78.6%
73.3%14.3
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.822.0
50.2%
53.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.6
41.0%
35.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.214.3
74.5%
73.3%14.3
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWLLWWWWWW
Halcones de Obregon
LLWWLWWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+10.1
Net rating
+8.2
111.8
Offensive rating
114.6
101.7
Defensive rating
106.4
53.0%
Effective FG%
54.2%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.2%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.6%
3-point %
41.0%
54.7%
Assist %
50.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 114.6Defence101.7 · 106.4Shooting53.0% · 54.2%3-point %39.6% · 41.0%Ball care16.9% · 15.2%Off. rebounds31.0% · 30.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Astros   ■ Halcones de Obregon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Astros wins
4
Halcones de Obregon wins
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25AHalcones de Obregon73-70
12/06/25AHalcones de Obregon93-76
11/06/25AHalcones de Obregon91-92
08/06/25HHalcones de Obregon84-86
07/06/25HHalcones de Obregon83-73
29/05/25ACaballeros de Culiacan89-84
28/05/25ACaballeros de Culiacan96-92 OT
25/05/25HCaballeros de Culiacan110-90
24/05/25HCaballeros de Culiacan93-75
18/05/25HRayos de Hermosillo76-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25HAstros70-73
12/06/25HAstros76-93
11/06/25HAstros92-91
08/06/25AAstros86-84
07/06/25AAstros73-83
29/05/25AOstioneros de Guaymas102-70
28/05/25AOstioneros de Guaymas95-85
25/05/25HOstioneros de Guaymas87-77
24/05/25HOstioneros de Guaymas92-79
19/05/25ACaballeros de Culiacan107-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW80%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %80%82%78%
Points / game96.999.794.2
Allowed / game85.884.986.7
Point differential+11.0+14.8+7.5
Avg total182.7184.6181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%64%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)33% (3)67% (9)
Overtime %4%5%4%
Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL67%
HomeWWWLL70%
AwayWWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %67%70%64%
Points / game90.189.790.5
Allowed / game85.585.086.0
Point differential+4.6+4.8+4.5
Avg total175.6174.7176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%35%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)60% (10)67% (3)
Overtime %7%4%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros4536980%96.985.8+11.0
2 Angeles CDMX46321470%107.4100.6+6.8
3 Halcones de Obregon45301567%90.185.5+4.6
4 Zonkeys de Tijuana47222547%88.988.8+0.1
5 Ostioneros de Guaymas40182245%92.193.1-1.0
6 Caballeros de Culiacan40182245%89.090.2-1.2
7 Rayos de Hermosillo41172441%85.989.4-3.5
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis42172540%90.093.1-3.1
9 Venados de Mazatlan36142239%88.692.5-3.9
10 Frayles de Guasave3653114%84.599.0-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros2215252587
Halcones de Obregon1325251578
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