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Astros vs Rayos de Hermosillo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 May 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 76-69
14-16 23-17 15-22 24-14
Position#1
Record28-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game87.3
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#7
Record16-19
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game86.9
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena Astros
Other2025
Meetings · Astros v Rayos de Hermosillo
18 May 2025
ASTR76
RAYO69
17 May 2025
ASTR104
RAYO83
23 Jun 2024
ASTR91
RAYO98
22 Jun 2024
ASTR75
RAYO96
23 Mar 2024
ASTR92
RAYO67
22 Mar 2024
ASTR73
RAYO88
23 Jun 2023
ASTR100
RAYO93
21 Jun 2023
ASTR82
RAYO100
20 Jun 2023
ASTR104
RAYO102
01 Apr 2023
ASTR99
RAYO95
31 Mar 2023
ASTR89
RAYO97
12 Jul 2022
ASTR91
RAYO87
04 Jul 2022
ASTR101
RAYO104
03 Jul 2022
ASTR89
RAYO86
28 May 2022
ASTR100
RAYO92
27 May 2022
ASTR114
RAYO107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rayos de Hermosillo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
111-108
111
108
+3
104avg 91
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
95-93
95
93
+2
88avg 91
A29/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
112-72
112
72
+40
111avg 91
A30/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
87-100
87
100
-13
70avg 91
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
114-76
114
76
+38
99avg 91
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
109-98
109
98
+11
107avg 91
A09/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
78avg 91
A10/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 91
H14/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 91
H15/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
104-83
104
83
+21
97avg 91
H18/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
32-32
31-24
29-33
26-25
18-20
23-18
28-30
32-16
19-22
27-21
34-13
19-24
20-18
23-29
25-29
18-21
39-10
31-23
26-22
26-19
36-15
20-31
27-33
18-22
22-10
25-19
19-25
23-20
19-15
31-16
21-14
17-24
27-19
19-17
23-18
29-15
25-17
23-28
27-23
184.5Avg total
99.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)99.287.3186.5+11.980%
Season at home (17)102.886.8189.5+16.082%
Season away (18)95.887.8183.7+8.078%
Last 10 (10)99.684.9184.5+14.790%
Last 5 (5)95.480.0175.4+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)107.8108.0215.8-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)99.485.5184.9+13.881%
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermosillo
Date
Competition
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
65-54
65
54
+11
56avg 81
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
72avg 81
A30/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
81-73
81
73
+8
66avg 81
A01/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
83-73
83
73
+10
75avg 81
H03/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
95-97
95
97
-2
89avg 81
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
104-114
104
114
-10
93avg 81
A07/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
93-90
93
90
+3
85avg 81
A08/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
108-72
108
72
+36
113avg 81
H14/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
87-65
87
65
+22
87avg 81
H15/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
83-104
83
104
-21
76avg 81
A18/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-13
7-14
24-15
24-12
23-12
25-18
29-30
12-32
20-22
18-23
24-16
19-12
16-29
19-20
18-19
30-5
22-21
33-22
21-26
19-28
23-17
25-34
29-36
27-27
18-24
27-18
25-21
23-27
29-21
25-16
26-22
28-13
17-15
26-18
23-13
21-19
15-29
17-25
28-23
23-27
172.2Avg total
88.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)84.986.9171.8-2.046%
Season at home (18)84.583.6168.1+0.950%
Season away (17)85.390.4175.7-5.141%
Last 10 (10)88.883.4172.2+5.460%
Last 5 (5)95.089.0184.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)84.993.6178.5-8.736%
vs Similar (15)82.584.3166.7-1.847%
vs Weaker (4)98.574.0172.5+24.5100%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
AstrosRayos de Hermosillo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angeles CDMX
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A29/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A30/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
62-34
62
34
+28
A09/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A10/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H15/05
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H18/05
CIBACOPA
86.7Avg total
48.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.842.090.8+6.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.640.990.5+8.675%-
Last 30 away (14)47.943.191.1+4.857%-
Last 10 (10)48.438.386.7+10.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.435.283.6+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)51.053.0104.0-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)48.540.388.7+8.273%-
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
17-27
17
27
-10
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A30/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A01/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H03/05
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A07/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A08/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H14/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H15/05
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A18/05
CIBACOPA
82.6Avg total
41.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.482.5-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.840.982.8+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.242.082.2-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.182.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.487.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.045.786.7-4.727%-
vs Similar (15)39.639.979.5-0.340%-
vs Weaker (4)46.835.582.2+11.2100%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 98.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.625.6
58.7%
53.3%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.0
38.5%
35.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.6
70.5%
73.3%14.6
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rayos de Hermosillotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rayos de Hermosillo: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.025.6
53.3%
53.3%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.4
32.5%
35.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.514.6
64.9%
73.3%14.6
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWWWWWLWWW
Rayos de Hermosillo
LWWWLLWWLW
#1
League position
#7
+18.6
Net rating
+6.8
121.4
Offensive rating
106.6
102.8
Defensive rating
99.8
58.3%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
13.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.5%
3-point %
32.5%
57.7%
Assist %
53.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.4 · 106.6Defence102.8 · 99.8Shooting58.3% · 51.8%3-point %38.5% · 32.5%Ball care13.9% · 17.7%Off. rebounds30.5% · 30.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Astros   ■ Rayos de Hermosillo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Astros wins
5
Rayos de Hermosillo wins
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25HRayos de Hermosillo104-83
15/05/25HCaballeros de Culiacan86-78
14/05/25HCaballeros de Culiacan94-65
10/05/25APioneros de Los Mochis84-76
09/05/25APioneros de Los Mochis109-98
04/05/25HOstioneros de Guaymas114-76
04/05/25HOstioneros de Guaymas87-100
30/04/25AFrayles de Guasave112-72
29/04/25AFrayles de Guasave95-93
27/04/25HAngeles CDMX111-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25AAstros83-104
15/05/25HFrayles de Guasave87-65
14/05/25HFrayles de Guasave108-72
08/05/25AAngeles CDMX93-90
07/05/25AAngeles CDMX104-114
04/05/25HVenados de Mazatlan95-97
03/05/25HVenados de Mazatlan83-73
01/05/25APioneros de Los Mochis81-73
30/04/25APioneros de Los Mochis89-92
27/04/25HOstioneros de Guaymas65-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %80%82%78%
Points / game99.2102.895.8
Allowed / game87.386.887.8
Point differential+11.9+16.0+8.0
Avg total186.5189.5183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%65%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL46%
HomeWWLWW50%
AwayLWLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %46%50%41%
Points / game84.984.585.3
Allowed / game86.983.690.4
Point differential-2.0+0.9-5.1
Avg total171.8168.1175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros3528780%99.287.3+11.9
2 Angeles CDMX36261072%109.0101.6+7.4
3 Halcones de Obregon35231266%90.786.5+4.2
4 Caballeros de Culiacan35181751%89.588.9+0.7
5 Ostioneros de Guaymas36181850%93.793.0+0.7
6 Rayos de Hermosillo35161946%84.986.9-2.0
7 Zonkeys de Tijuana36152142%88.189.4-1.2
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis36152142%91.494.2-2.8
9 Venados de Mazatlan36142239%88.692.5-3.9
10 Frayles de Guasave3653114%84.599.0-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros1423152476
Rayos de Hermosillo1617221469
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