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Atenas vs Independiente de Oliva Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 04 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game89.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Carlos Cerutti
Other2026-27
Meetings · Atenas v Independiente de Oliva
04 Mar 2027
ATEN v INDE
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
ATEN48
INDE78
06 Dec 2024
ATEN87
INDE84
13 Dec 2022
ATEN68
INDE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atenas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Independiente de Oliva win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AtenasArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtenas
Date
Competition
Nacional
#8
L
77-90
77
90
-13
61avg 70
H22/10
Liga Uruguaya
Lanus
#12
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 70
H24/10
Liga A
Union Atletica
#11
W
82-73
82
73
+9
68avg 70
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
L
57-84
57
84
-27
42avg 70
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
no box
H02/11
Liga A
Larranaga
#10
L
73-109
73
109
-36
no box
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Gimnasia
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
H04/11
Liga A
Goes
#2
L
71-99
71
99
-28
no box
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
San Lorenzo
#17
W
81-55
81
55
+26
no box
H13/11
Liga A
Penarol
#1
L
83-105
83
105
-22
no box
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
18-25
11-24
25-17
25-20
8-19
27-16
20-14
28-17
25-20
19-12
10-24
12-27
19-21
9-11
17-25
22-22
20-25
21-14
25-27
15-24
19-32
23-27
16-26
15-21
19-17
19-16
23-25
7-33
20-28
24-19
20-19
24-17
28-9
14-12
15-17
26-27
15-28
22-20
20-30
163.2Avg total
77.5Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.479.0163.4+5.471%
Season at home (5)84.676.6161.2+8.080%
Season away (2)84.085.0169.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)77.585.7163.2-8.240%
Last 5 (5)76.889.4166.2-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.288.4166.6-10.222%
vs Similar (3)76.373.3149.7+3.067%
vs Weaker (9)82.479.7162.1+2.867%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 77
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 77
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
57avg 77
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
78-76
78
76
+2
66avg 77
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-66
74
66
+8
64avg 77
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 77
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 77
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
108-93
108
93
+15
106avg 77
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
no box
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
122-89
122
89
+33
no box
H15/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
21-25
32-25
19-22
16-23
21-25
23-16
6-14
20-15
17-16
11-30
24-16
25-21
22-16
16-21
15-18
19-19
19-22
13-15
23-10
18-23
22-21
18-18
13-19
28-33
23-14
23-27
18-23
26-18
34-22
25-25
23-28
21-19
22-15
6-14
13-14
21-27
32-11
30-24
39-27
168.2Avg total
85.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season at home (4)99.589.0188.5+10.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.682.6168.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)93.887.4181.2+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar (19)83.186.1169.1-3.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.487.4182.8+8.060%
This opponent (Atenas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
AtenasIndependiente de Oliva
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AtenasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H22/10
Liga Uruguaya
Lanus
#12
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H24/10
Liga A
Union Atletica
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H02/11
Liga A
Larranaga
#10
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Gimnasia
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H04/11
Liga A
Goes
#2
L
27-61
27
61
-34
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
San Lorenzo
#17
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H13/11
Liga A
Penarol
#1
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
84.4Avg total
38.8Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.782.9-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.642.281.8-2.725%-
Last 30 away (14)40.843.384.1-2.550%-
Last 10 (10)38.845.684.4-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.647.284.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.345.185.3-4.833%-
vs Similar (3)36.036.372.3-0.333%-
vs Weaker (9)41.240.281.4+1.044%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/05
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H20/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/11
Liga A
85.7Avg total
45.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.643.087.7+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.642.288.8+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.986.5-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.585.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.440.690.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (19)43.644.487.9-0.837%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.741.187.8+5.660%-
This opponent (Atenas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atenastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atenas: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.6
52.6%
54.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
32.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.810.4
70.3%
72.7%10.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.0
52.8%
54.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.0
29.3%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.0
71.7%
72.7%16.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atenas
LWLLLWLWWL
Independiente de Oliva
WLWLLWWLLW
#5
League position
#7
-5.8
Net rating
-3.2
94.9
Offensive rating
107.5
100.8
Defensive rating
110.8
49.5%
Effective FG%
49.1%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
6.3%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.8%
3-point %
29.3%
43.8%
Assist %
43.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.9 · 107.5Defence100.8 · 110.8Shooting49.5% · 49.1%3-point %29.8% · 29.3%Ball care6.3% · 0.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Atenas   ■ Independiente de Oliva
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Atenas wins
4
Independiente de Oliva wins
Atenaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPenarol83-105
13/11/26HSan Lorenzo81-55
11/11/26AGoes71-99
04/11/26HGimnasia76-79
02/11/26ALarranaga73-109
02/11/26HRacing de Chivilcoy95-94 OT
31/10/26HAguada57-84
26/10/26AUnion Atletica82-73
24/10/26HLanus80-69
22/10/26HNacional77-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HSan Lorenzo122-89
06/11/26HGimnasia76-77 OT
20/10/26HLanus108-93
09/10/26HFerro92-97
19/05/26AGimnasia71-81
16/05/26HGimnasia74-66
14/05/26HGimnasia78-76
10/05/26AGimnasia72-77
09/05/26AGimnasia66-78
03/05/26HLa Union97-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atenas
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game84.484.684.0
Allowed / game79.076.685.0
Point differential+5.4+8.0-1.0
Avg total163.4161.2169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %14%20%0%
Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLWLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game99.599.5-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential+10.5+10.5-
Avg total188.5188.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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