Atyrau vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Oct 2025

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 83-89

20-26 18-24 16-20 29-19

Position#4

Record2-3

FormWWLLL

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game90.6

Atyrau

Almaty 🏆

Position#3

Record5-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game94.2

Allowed / game74.6

National League

Other2025-26

Meetings · Atyrau v Almaty

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Almaty winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Atyrau

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAtyrau

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

108-79

108

+29

121avg 74

H09/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

62-71

-9

56avg 74

H14/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

60-85

-25

52avg 74

H15/03

National League

Astana 2

55-77

-22

42avg 74

H14/04

National League

Astana 2

66-100

100

-34

59avg 74

A15/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

86-76

+10

82avg 74

A11/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

84-78

80avg 74

A12/10

National League

Astana

61-87

-26

40avg 74

H18/10

National League

Astana

64-99

-35

61avg 74

H19/10

National League

Almaty

112-113 OT

112

113

-1

96avg 74

H29/10

National League

28-15

29-22

30-26

21-16

15-22

17-14

16-21

14-14

18-32

18-14

15-20

9-19

17-18

11-19

14-22

13-18

20-22

25-23

13-28

8-27

14-20

18-18

26-21

28-17

21-20

11-15

19-25

33-18

13-28

19-21

15-14

14-24

12-25

19-28

22-24

11-22

32-22

9-27

33-25

31-31

162.3Avg total

75.8Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	81.4	90.6	172.0	-9.2	40%
Season at home (3)	79.0	99.7	178.7	-20.7	0%
Season away (2)	85.0	77.0	162.0	+8.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	86.5	162.3	-10.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	90.6	172.0	-9.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	77.7	80.3	158.0	-2.6	40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	78.1	82.3	160.5	-4.2	40%
vs Weaker (5)	83.6	69.0	152.6	+14.6	80%

This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Almaty

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlmaty

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

98-93

104avg 79

A10/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

90-102

102

-12

78avg 79

A11/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

100-70

100

+30

97avg 79

H15/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

80-89

-9

66avg 79

H16/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

90-94 OT

-4

90avg 79

A19/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

95-58

+37

96avg 79

H11/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

105-60

105

+45

96avg 79

H12/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

80-71

75avg 79

A25/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

78-72

75avg 79

A26/10

National League

Atyrau

113-112 OT

113

112

104avg 79

A29/10

National League

22-19

26-28

23-26

27-20

32-28

19-24

25-22

14-28

24-22

22-16

33-14

21-18

15-26

13-23

24-25

28-15

28-28

31-20

17-23

11-16

28-12

30-11

23-18

14-17

31-14

31-5

26-27

17-14

22-23

16-24

22-11

20-13

21-22

13-17

26-16

18-17

22-32

27-9

25-33

31-31

175.0Avg total

92.9Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	94.2	74.6	168.8	+19.6	100%
Season at home (2)	100.0	59.0	159.0	+41.0	100%
Season away (3)	90.3	85.0	175.3	+5.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.9	82.1	175.0	+10.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	94.2	74.6	168.8	+19.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	78.0	82.5	160.5	-4.5	20%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	86.0	82.4	168.4	+3.6	78%
vs Weaker (6)	72.0	46.2	118.2	+25.8	100%

This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AtyrauAlmaty

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	22.0	43.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	18.8	37.4	-0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.0	41.4	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	20.7	43.2	+1.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	23.6	44.8	-2.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	22.6	47.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	20.6	45.4	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.2	22.5	43.7	-1.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.3	23.4	43.8	-3.1	11%	-
vs Weaker (4)	27.5	17.8	45.2	+9.8	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	18.1	38.4	+2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.1	37.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	21.8	37.0	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.4	16.0	37.4	+5.4	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.5	18.7	40.1	+2.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	16.4	38.9	+6.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	21.1	41.5	-0.6	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	17.7	40.5	+5.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	13.2	36.6	+10.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.6	20.4	41.9	+1.2	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.4	18.3	36.8	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	28.0	13.5	41.5	+14.5	100%	-

AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

57-37

+20

H09/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

32-36

-4

H14/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

36-46

-10

H15/03

National League

Astana 2

28-37

-9

H14/04

National League

Astana 2

45-45

A15/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

32-38

-6

A11/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

32-35

-3

A12/10

National League

Astana

32-49

-17

H18/10

National League

Astana

31-53

-22

H19/10

National League

Almaty

41-49

-8

H29/10

National League

79.1Avg total

36.6Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	39.2	78.6	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.8	42.0	81.8	-2.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	36.8	75.9	+2.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	42.5	79.1	-5.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	44.8	78.4	-11.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.9	40.5	78.4	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.4	40.4	79.8	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.4	33.2	75.6	+9.2	100%	-

This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

48-47

A10/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

51-52

-1

A11/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

46-38

H15/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

28-49

-21

H16/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

59-48

+11

A19/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

58-23

+35

H11/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

62-19

+43

H12/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

38-47

-9

A25/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

34-39

-5

A26/10

National League

Atyrau

49-41

A29/10

National League

87.6Avg total

47.3Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	43.3	40.8	84.1	+2.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	37.1	82.1	+7.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.6	44.7	86.3	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.3	40.3	87.6	+7.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	33.8	82.0	+14.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	42.8	42.9	85.6	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.8	41.8	80.6	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	55.5	31.2	86.8	+24.2	100%	-

This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.6	42.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	22.3	21.2	43.5	+1.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.7	20.2	43.9	+3.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	21.5	45.9	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.0	45.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	22.1	21.7	43.9	+0.4	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.3	38.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	18.9	36.7	-1.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	21.6	39.9	-3.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.4	45.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.7	21.7	39.4	-4.1	20%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.4	21.9	40.3	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	24.4	19.1	43.6	+5.3	78%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	17.8	36.5	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	39.9	79.2	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	38.3	78.5	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	41.4	79.8	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	43.2	81.7	-4.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	44.2	90.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	39.8	39.8	79.6	+0.0	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.3	41.4	79.7	-3.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.2	35.8	77.0	+5.4	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	42.8	41.5	84.3	+1.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.0	39.8	84.8	+5.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.4	43.4	83.8	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	40.4	84.9	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	39.4	83.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	40.6	43.6	84.1	-3.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	46.3	39.9	86.2	+6.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.5	38.0	80.5	+4.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Atyrau wins

Almaty wins

Date	Game	Score
29/10/25	Atyrau v Almaty	112-113 OT
19/01/25	Almaty v Atyrau	81-68
18/01/25	Almaty v Atyrau	105-96
02/12/24	Atyrau v Almaty	105-85
01/12/24	Atyrau v Almaty	80-78
30/01/24	Almaty v Atyrau	83-89
29/01/24	Almaty v Atyrau	0-20
06/12/23	Atyrau v Almaty	87-61
05/12/23	Atyrau v Almaty	80-77
23/03/21	Atyrau v Almaty	117-67

Atyraulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/10/25	H	Almaty	112-113 OT
19/10/25	H	Astana	64-99
18/10/25	H	Astana	61-87
12/10/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau	84-78
11/10/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau	86-76
15/04/25	A	Astana 2	66-100
14/04/25	H	Astana 2	55-77
15/03/25	H	Kaspiy Aktau	60-85
14/03/25	H	Kaspiy Aktau	62-71
09/03/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	108-79

Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/10/25	A	Atyrau	113-112 OT
26/10/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau	78-72
25/10/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau	80-71
12/10/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	105-60
11/10/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	95-58
19/05/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	90-94 OT
16/05/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	80-89
15/05/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	100-70
11/05/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	90-102
10/05/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	98-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau

National League 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	40%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	40%	0%	100%
Points / game	81.4	79.0	85.0
Allowed / game	90.6	99.7	77.0
Point differential	-9.2	-20.7	+8.0
Avg total	172.0	178.7	162.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	20%	33%	0%

Almaty

National League 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	94.2	100.0	90.3
Allowed / game	74.6	59.0	85.0
Point differential	+19.6	+41.0	+5.3
Avg total	168.8	159.0	175.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	20%	0%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	4	4	0	100%	94.2	58.8	+35.5
2	Almaty	5	5	0	100%	94.2	74.6	+19.6
3	Atyrau	5	2	3	40%	81.4	90.6	-9.2
4	Kaspiy Aktau	4	0	4	0%	74.2	82.0	-7.8
5	Tobol Kostanay	4	0	4	0%	57.0	97.8	-40.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Atyrau	20	18	16	29	83
Almaty	26	24	20	19	89

← all games of the day

Atyrau vs Almaty Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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