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Atyrau vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 May 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 74-76
16-23 21-18 25-19 12-16
Position#4
Record20-21
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#3
Record20-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game79.1
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - 3rd place
Other2025-26
Meetings · Atyrau v Almaty
28 May 2026
ATYR65
ALMA72
27 May 2026
ATYR74
ALMA76
04 Feb 2026
ATYR78
ALMA75
03 Feb 2026
ATYR90
ALMA79
30 Oct 2025
ATYR83
ALMA89
29 Oct 2025
ATYR112
ALMA113
02 Dec 2024
ATYR105
ALMA85
01 Dec 2024
ATYR80
ALMA78
06 Dec 2023
ATYR87
ALMA61
05 Dec 2023
ATYR80
ALMA77
23 Mar 2021
ATYR117
ALMA67
22 Mar 2021
ATYR122
ALMA60
10 Nov 2020
ATYR71
ALMA81
09 Nov 2020
ATYR102
ALMA63
21 May 2019
ATYR v ALMA
upcoming
22 Mar 2019
ATYR90
ALMA58
21 Mar 2019
ATYR103
ALMA73
12 Dec 2018
ATYR81
ALMA88
11 Dec 2018
ATYR86
ALMA80
19 Nov 2017
ATYR80
ALMA73
20 Oct 2017
ATYR99
ALMA59
17 Feb 2016
ATYR78
ALMA66
16 Feb 2016
ATYR100
ALMA74
18 Mar 2014
ATYR104
ALMA69
20 Nov 2013
ATYR131
ALMA71
19 Nov 2013
ATYR113
ALMA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H30/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H22/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
115-84
115
84
+31
A23/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
79-102
79
102
-23
A10/05
National League
Astana
#1
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A11/05
National League
Astana
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H15/05
National League
Astana
#1
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H16/05
National League
Astana
#1
L
87-88
87
88
-1
A19/05
National League
Almaty
#3
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A23/05
National League
Almaty
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A24/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
16-18
21-22
28-17
27-22
22-9
23-17
17-14
42-19
31-28
18-16
24-21
21-31
15-25
22-23
21-23
27-26
25-7
21-30
17-13
29-22
24-17
19-21
11-28
22-18
23-23
12-24
22-13
18-30
23-20
23-25
23-13
16-16
21-19
22-20
26-13
28-17
17-20
10-24
21-24
168.1Avg total
86.4Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)81.981.3163.1+0.649%
Season at home (19)81.282.8164.0-1.647%
Season away (22)82.480.0162.4+2.450%
Last 10 (10)86.481.7168.1+4.750%
Last 5 (5)82.081.4163.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.784.9161.6-8.229%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.676.8157.4+3.962%
vs Weaker (8)97.875.8173.5+22.088%
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H21/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
54-81
54
81
-27
H22/03
National League
Turan
#6
W
95-65
95
65
+30
H07/05
National League
Turan
#6
W
89-56
89
56
+33
A08/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A11/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A12/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H16/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
80-101
80
101
-21
H17/05
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H23/05
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H24/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
15-18
15-24
21-24
17-18
14-24
15-21
8-18
22-12
24-17
19-10
30-26
22-10
20-14
18-17
29-15
22-25
12-13
19-29
20-21
19-24
17-12
20-22
14-23
15-19
23-20
20-15
19-15
18-27
22-19
17-31
23-24
16-16
19-21
20-22
13-26
17-28
20-17
24-10
24-21
154.3Avg total
75.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)81.279.1160.3+2.250%
Season at home (21)80.178.7158.8+1.448%
Season away (19)82.579.5162.1+3.053%
Last 10 (10)75.978.4154.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)76.082.4158.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.080.2151.2-9.233%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.184.2160.3-8.225%
vs Weaker (8)97.467.8165.1+29.688%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
AtyrauAlmaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H30/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H22/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
73-47
73
47
+26
A23/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A10/05
National League
Astana
#1
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A11/05
National League
Astana
#1
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H15/05
National League
Astana
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H16/05
National League
Astana
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A19/05
National League
Almaty
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A23/05
National League
Almaty
#3
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A24/05
National League
87.9Avg total
46.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.084.2+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.440.482.7+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.687.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.484.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.844.181.9-6.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.240.881.0-0.562%-
vs Weaker (8)51.839.691.4+12.188%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H22/03
National League
Turan
#6
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H07/05
National League
Turan
#6
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A08/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A11/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A12/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H16/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H17/05
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/05
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H24/05
National League
74.1Avg total
37.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.080.6+0.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.540.881.3-0.333%-
Last 30 away (15)40.739.179.9+1.633%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.074.1+0.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.677.8-3.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.339.875.2-4.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.543.281.7-4.719%-
vs Weaker (8)48.933.682.5+15.275%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atyrautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.5
49.6%
50.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.311.3
41.4%
30.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.313.5
78.0%
69.6%13.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Almatytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Almaty: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.0
50.3%
50.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.0
25.6%
30.4%18.0
🏀 Free throws19.913.3
66.8%
69.6%13.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atyrau
LWLWLWLWWL
Almaty
WLLWLLWWLL
#4
League position
#3
+6.2
Net rating
-0.3
114.4
Offensive rating
99.3
108.1
Defensive rating
99.5
54.7%
Effective FG%
46.2%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
41.4%
3-point %
25.6%
71.4%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 99.3Defence108.1 · 99.5Shooting54.7% · 46.2%3-point %41.4% · 25.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Atyrau   ■ Almaty
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Atyrau wins
5
Almaty wins
DateGameScore
24/05/26Almaty v Atyrau85-76
23/05/26Almaty v Atyrau68-85
15/03/26Almaty v Atyrau74-72
14/03/26Almaty v Atyrau72-69
04/02/26Atyrau v Almaty78-75
03/02/26Atyrau v Almaty90-79
14/12/25Almaty v Atyrau73-83
13/12/25Almaty v Atyrau88-92
30/10/25Atyrau v Almaty83-89
29/10/25Atyrau v Almaty112-113 OT
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/26AAlmaty76-85
23/05/26AAlmaty85-68
19/05/26AAstana87-88
16/05/26HAstana79-78
15/05/26HAstana83-88
11/05/26AAstana90-76
10/05/26AAstana79-102
23/04/26ATobol Kostanay115-84
22/04/26HTobol Kostanay89-62
30/03/26HKaspiy Aktau81-86
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/26HAtyrau85-76
23/05/26HAtyrau68-85
17/05/26HKaspiy Aktau80-101
16/05/26HKaspiy Aktau77-69
12/05/26AKaspiy Aktau70-81
11/05/26AKaspiy Aktau73-88
08/05/26ATuran89-56
07/05/26HTuran95-65
22/03/26HAstana54-81
21/03/26HAstana68-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau
National League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL49%
HomeWLWLW47%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411922
Win %49%47%50%
Points / game81.981.282.4
Allowed / game81.382.880.0
Point differential+0.6-1.6+2.4
Avg total163.1164.0162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%32%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Almaty
National League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWLLW48%
AwayWWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %50%48%53%
Points / game81.280.182.5
Allowed / game79.178.779.5
Point differential+2.1+1.4+3.0
Avg total160.3158.8162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%24%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana3931879%87.268.9+18.2
2 Kaspiy Aktau38231561%81.776.5+5.3
3 Almaty40202050%81.279.1+2.1
4 Atyrau41202149%81.981.3+0.6
5 Tobol Kostanay343319%68.296.4-28.1
6 Turan2020%60.592.0-31.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atyrau1621251274
Almaty2318191676
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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