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Atyrau vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 90-79
25-25 26-22 16-16 23-16
Position#4
Record9-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#3
Record11-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game79.8
KazakhstanNational League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Atyrau v Almaty
28 May 2026
ATYR65
ALMA72
27 May 2026
ATYR74
ALMA76
04 Feb 2026
ATYR78
ALMA75
03 Feb 2026
ATYR90
ALMA79
30 Oct 2025
ATYR83
ALMA89
29 Oct 2025
ATYR112
ALMA113
02 Dec 2024
ATYR105
ALMA85
01 Dec 2024
ATYR80
ALMA78
06 Dec 2023
ATYR87
ALMA61
05 Dec 2023
ATYR80
ALMA77
23 Mar 2021
ATYR117
ALMA67
22 Mar 2021
ATYR122
ALMA60
10 Nov 2020
ATYR71
ALMA81
09 Nov 2020
ATYR102
ALMA63
21 May 2019
ATYR v ALMA
upcoming
22 Mar 2019
ATYR90
ALMA58
21 Mar 2019
ATYR103
ALMA73
12 Dec 2018
ATYR81
ALMA88
11 Dec 2018
ATYR86
ALMA80
19 Nov 2017
ATYR80
ALMA73
20 Oct 2017
ATYR99
ALMA59
17 Feb 2016
ATYR78
ALMA66
16 Feb 2016
ATYR100
ALMA74
18 Mar 2014
ATYR104
ALMA69
20 Nov 2013
ATYR131
ALMA71
19 Nov 2013
ATYR113
ALMA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atyrau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Almaty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtyrau
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
68-92
68
92
-24
56avg 71
H07/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
64-78
64
78
-14
54avg 71
H08/12
National League
Almaty
#3
W
92-88
92
88
+4
85avg 71
A13/12
National League
Almaty
#3
W
83-73
83
73
+10
75avg 71
A14/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
92avg 71
H22/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
90-72
90
72
+18
87avg 71
H23/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
85avg 71
A11/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
75-73
75
73
+2
74avg 71
A12/01
National League
Astana
#1
L
50-79
50
79
-29
38avg 71
H20/01
National League
Astana
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
63avg 71
H21/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
19-28
16-22
8-22
19-19
20-22
11-26
14-11
28-14
18-17
17-25
29-32
21-16
18-21
22-19
22-17
26-11
25-25
23-9
20-27
28-22
15-15
23-16
24-19
18-29
21-29
32-22
20-21
31-25
14-18
15-11
15-19
11-22
11-17
17-24
11-16
18-19
13-27
21-25
16-26
160.0Avg total
77.5Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.182.8160.9-4.845%
Season at home (10)75.487.8163.2-12.420%
Season away (10)80.877.9158.7+2.970%
Last 10 (10)77.582.5160.0-5.050%
Last 5 (5)74.884.4159.2-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.785.5158.2-12.829%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.582.2158.8-5.833%
vs Weaker (4)89.265.0154.2+24.2100%
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
105-63
105
63
+42
103avg 79
A27/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
103-62
103
62
+41
101avg 79
A28/11
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
88-92
88
92
-4
74avg 79
H13/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
56avg 79
H14/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
69avg 79
A22/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
69avg 79
A23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
125-89
125
89
+36
132avg 79
H10/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
105-56
105
56
+49
104avg 79
H11/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
78-91
78
91
-13
73avg 79
A29/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 79
A30/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
30-15
24-20
28-7
33-9
17-10
24-28
29-15
14-28
17-18
25-17
32-29
16-21
21-18
19-22
17-22
11-25
21-24
21-19
19-14
20-24
18-16
15-20
21-30
26-28
34-20
36-23
29-18
36-18
27-12
20-15
22-11
15-27
23-25
23-18
17-21
17-23
20-25
17-24
21-23
170.1Avg total
89.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.379.8166.1+6.555%
Season at home (10)85.977.5163.4+8.450%
Season away (10)86.782.1168.8+4.660%
Last 10 (10)89.880.3170.1+9.540%
Last 5 (5)91.484.2175.6+7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.489.3168.8-9.917%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.383.0164.3-1.750%
vs Weaker (6)106.364.7171.0+41.7100%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +4.5+4.5
AtyrauAlmaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H07/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H08/12
National League
Almaty
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A13/12
National League
Almaty
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A14/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H22/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H23/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A11/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A12/01
National League
Astana
#1
L
22-39
22
39
-17
H20/01
National League
Astana
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H21/01
National League
81.5Avg total
39.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.179.3-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.842.681.4-3.929%-
Last 30 away (13)37.639.076.6-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.681.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.044.680.6-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.644.480.9-7.814%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.340.478.8-2.133%-
vs Weaker (4)44.031.575.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A27/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
50-19
50
19
+31
A28/11
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H13/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H14/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A22/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H10/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
63-30
63
30
+33
H11/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A29/01
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/01
National League
84.6Avg total
43.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.183.1+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.237.679.8+4.650%-
Last 30 away (16)43.742.386.0+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.784.6+3.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.243.690.8+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.644.585.1-3.942%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.141.279.2-3.133%-
vs Weaker (6)57.729.286.8+28.5100%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Atyrautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.013.5
37.5%
50.5%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.2
35.0%
30.4%30.8
🏀 Free throws20.213.2
65.4%
69.6%13.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Almatytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Almaty: 95.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.5 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.226.3
53.3%
50.5%52.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.8
32.5%
30.4%29.2
🏀 Free throws21.214.0
65.9%
69.6%14.0
They take 79.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Atyrau
LLWLWWWWLL
Almaty
LLWWLLLLWW
#4
League position
#3
-22.2
Net rating
+15.5
95.3
Offensive rating
114.0
117.5
Defensive rating
98.5
44.3%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.0%
3-point %
32.5%
86.3%
Assist %
72.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 114.0Defence117.5 · 98.5Shooting44.3% · 51.6%3-point %35.0% · 32.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Atyrau   ■ Almaty
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Atyrau wins
4
Almaty wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Almaty v Atyrau73-83
13/12/25Almaty v Atyrau88-92
30/10/25Atyrau v Almaty83-89
29/10/25Atyrau v Almaty112-113 OT
19/01/25Almaty v Atyrau81-68
18/01/25Almaty v Atyrau105-96
02/12/24Atyrau v Almaty105-85
01/12/24Atyrau v Almaty80-78
30/01/24Almaty v Atyrau83-89
29/01/24Almaty v Atyrau0-20
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HAstana68-97
20/01/26HAstana50-79
12/01/26AKaspiy Aktau75-73
11/01/26AKaspiy Aktau91-101
23/12/25HTobol Kostanay90-72
22/12/25HTobol Kostanay94-72
14/12/25AAlmaty83-73
13/12/25AAlmaty92-88
08/12/25HKaspiy Aktau64-78
07/12/25HKaspiy Aktau68-92
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26AKaspiy Aktau75-95
29/01/26AKaspiy Aktau78-91
11/01/26HTobol Kostanay105-56
10/01/26HTobol Kostanay125-89
23/12/25AAstana74-90
22/12/25AAstana72-82
14/12/25HAtyrau73-83
13/12/25HAtyrau88-92
28/11/25ATobol Kostanay103-62
27/11/25ATobol Kostanay105-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Atyrau
National League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeLWWLL20%
AwayLWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%20%70%
Points / game78.175.480.8
Allowed / game82.887.877.9
Point differential-4.8-12.4+2.9
Avg total160.9163.2158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Almaty
National League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWLLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game86.385.986.7
Allowed / game79.877.582.1
Point differential+6.5+8.4+4.6
Avg total166.1163.4168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana20200100%92.064.7+27.4
2 Almaty2011955%86.379.8+6.5
3 Kaspiy Aktau2091145%80.577.1+3.4
4 Atyrau2091145%78.182.8-4.8
5 Tobol Kostanay201195%65.297.7-32.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Atyrau2526162390
Almaty2522161679
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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