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Pavlodar vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 83-86
18-21 15-22 25-23 25-20
Position#8
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Atyrau 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game64.2
KazakhstanNational League
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pavlodar v Atyrau
06 Nov 2024
PAVL56
ATYR98
05 Nov 2024
PAVL57
ATYR66
03 Feb 2024
PAVL67
ATYR77
02 Feb 2024
PAVL69
ATYR92
06 Nov 2023
PAVL73
ATYR82
05 Nov 2023
PAVL83
ATYR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atyrau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#5
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
60-89
60
89
-29
no box
A09/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
L
60-61
60
61
-1
no box
H10/04
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
78-71
78
71
+7
no box
A11/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
68-86
68
86
-18
53avg 59
H22/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
55avg 59
H23/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
57avg 59
A27/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 59
A28/10
National League
Almaty
#6
L
66-87
66
87
-21
53avg 59
A30/10
National League
Almaty
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
64avg 59
A31/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
21-22
21-18
16-14
16-15
17-30
21-24
6-20
22-14
13-14
14-17
11-16
19-18
19-19
21-21
19-13
20-28
21-22
10-17
17-19
20-24
25-27
15-25
11-22
18-24
14-25
13-21
21-13
18-29
13-25
22-27
30-15
15-27
10-23
22-11
19-26
15-23
21-14
22-18
13-27
152.6Avg total
70.3Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.888.7159.5-17.80%
Season at home (2)69.592.0161.5-22.50%
Season away (4)71.587.0158.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)70.382.3152.6-12.020%
Last 5 (5)71.489.2160.6-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.286.6156.8-16.46%
vs Similar (7)73.667.7141.3+5.971%
vs Weaker (7)82.070.6152.6+11.471%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtyrau
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
H22/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
71-70
71
70
+1
no box
H23/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A26/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
62-110
62
110
-48
no box
A01/05
National League
Astana
#1
L
46-84
46
84
-38
no box
A02/05
National League
Astana
#1
L
52-58
52
58
-6
no box
H06/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
88-69
88
69
+19
81avg 65
H21/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
78-60
78
60
+18
67avg 65
H22/10
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
62-68
62
68
-6
48avg 65
A02/11
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
72-60
72
60
+12
65avg 65
A03/11
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
16-14
27-23
12-19
18-20
21-17
18-16
14-17
28-21
24-12
14-24
20-24
17-28
14-21
14-30
17-31
13-20
17-20
13-24
3-20
20-22
14-13
12-13
6-10
22-18
28-16
16-25
22-10
15-17
15-15
24-19
24-9
15-21
11-19
21-13
15-15
21-13
16-18
15-20
20-9
142.7Avg total
69.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.064.2139.2+10.875%
Season at home (2)83.064.5147.5+18.5100%
Season away (2)67.064.0131.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)69.473.3142.7-3.960%
Last 5 (5)70.463.0133.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.178.0142.1-13.914%
vs Similar (6)72.771.7144.3+1.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)77.668.2145.8+9.588%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
PavlodarAtyrau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A09/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H10/04
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H22/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H23/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A27/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A28/10
National League
Almaty
#6
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A30/10
National League
Almaty
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A31/10
National League
79.8Avg total
35.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.977.6-2.250%-
Last 30 at home (9)38.440.979.3-2.444%-
Last 30 away (21)37.439.576.9-2.052%-
Last 10 (10)35.943.979.8-8.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.848.282.0-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.146.181.2-11.112%-
vs Similar (7)40.431.371.7+9.1100%-
vs Weaker (7)41.134.375.4+6.986%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H22/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H23/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A26/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A01/05
National League
Astana
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A02/05
National League
Astana
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H06/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H21/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#7
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H22/10
National League
Astana 2
#5
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A02/11
National League
Astana 2
#5
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A03/11
National League
72.9Avg total
36.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.535.574.0+2.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.834.772.5+3.171%-
Last 30 away (13)39.336.675.9+2.769%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.272.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.469.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.638.373.9-2.743%-
vs Similar (6)36.836.072.8+0.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.234.274.5+6.076%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
1
Atyrau wins
DateGameScore
11/11/15Atyrau v Pavlodar83-56
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/23AAlmaty71-82
30/10/23AAlmaty66-87
28/10/23AIrbis Almaty83-96
27/10/23AIrbis Almaty66-83
23/10/23HTobol Kostanay71-98
22/10/23HTobol Kostanay68-86
11/04/23AGOTOBELES Astana78-71
10/04/23HKaspiy Aktau60-61
09/04/23ABars Petropavlovsk60-89
08/04/23HAtyrau 280-70
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23AAstana 272-60
02/11/23AAstana 262-68
22/10/23HKaspiy Aktau78-60
21/10/23HKaspiy Aktau88-69
06/05/23HAstana52-58
02/05/23AAstana46-84
01/05/23AAstana62-110
26/04/23ATobol Kostanay86-81
23/04/23HTobol Kostanay71-70
22/04/23HTobol Kostanay77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
National League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.869.571.5
Allowed / game88.792.087.0
Point differential-17.8-22.5-15.5
Avg total159.5161.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Atyrau
National League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game75.083.067.0
Allowed / game64.264.564.0
Point differential+10.8+18.5+3.0
Avg total139.2147.5131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Irbis Almaty440100%94.577.8+16.8
2 Aktobe440100%85.073.8+11.2
3 Atyrau43175%75.064.2+10.8
4 Tobol Kostanay42250%80.273.8+6.5
5 Astana 263350%71.772.8-1.2
6 Almaty42250%82.884.0-1.2
7 Kaspiy Aktau4040%69.585.0-15.5
8 Pavlodar6060%70.888.7-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar1815252583
Atyrau2122232086
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