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Auburn vs Mississippi St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#155
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#99
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Auburn v Mississippi St.
26 Jan 2027
AUBU v MISS
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
AUBU79
MISS61
14 Jan 2025
AUBU88
MISS66
16 Mar 2024
AUBU73
MISS66
02 Mar 2024
AUBU78
MISS63
14 Jan 2023
AUBU69
MISS63
06 Mar 2021
AUBU78
MISS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auburn win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AuburnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#107
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A25/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H01/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H04/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A08/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H11/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A12/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#298
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H05/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#206
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H10/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-39
40-35
42-51
37-40
37-38
42-47
41-34
47-40
31-50
53-46
30-33
49-28
32-25
30-47
42-25
50-34
38-36
37-17
32-36
37-44
152.7Avg total
78.2Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.764.0142.7+14.767%
Season at home (3)78.764.0142.7+14.767%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.274.5152.7+3.750%
Last 5 (5)75.465.0140.4+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.086.0164.0-8.023%
vs Similar (12)83.278.5161.8+4.858%
vs Weaker (5)80.466.2146.6+14.280%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
75-100
75
100
-25
A26/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
64-88
64
88
-24
H28/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
74-108
74
108
-34
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
96-102
96
102
-6
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A11/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#224
W
106-88
106
88
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#339
W
82-44
82
44
+38
H06/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#273
W
98-57
98
57
+41
H10/11
NCAA
Xavier
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-46
50-51
33-63
42-37
23-54
41-34
35-47
39-61
47-42
49-60
33-30
28-49
53-37
53-51
49-27
33-17
51-29
47-28
31-41
32-40
165.2Avg total
80.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.267.5154.8+19.875%
Season at home (4)87.267.5154.8+19.875%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.884.4165.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)82.069.8151.8+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.685.2159.8-10.725%
vs Similar (7)82.673.1155.7+9.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)95.363.0158.3+32.3100%
This opponent (Auburn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -1.4-1.4
AuburnMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AuburnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#107
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H11/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A12/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#298
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H05/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#206
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/11
NCAA
Arizona
#115
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H14/11
NCAA
72.7Avg total
36.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.737.874.5-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.336.174.3+2.256%-
Last 30 away (12)34.340.374.7-6.025%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.772.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.831.065.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.240.875.9-5.631%-
vs Similar (12)39.236.375.6+2.950%-
vs Weaker (5)34.633.468.0+1.260%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A26/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
23-54
23
54
-31
H28/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A11/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#224
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#339
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H06/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#273
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H10/11
NCAA
Xavier
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H14/11
NCAA
81.0Avg total
39.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.775.2-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.236.373.5+0.856%-
Last 30 away (12)37.939.877.8-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.681.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.432.876.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.140.475.5-5.235%-
vs Similar (7)38.333.171.4+5.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)51.031.082.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Auburn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Auburn wins
2
Mississippi St. wins
Auburnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HArizona69-80
10/11/26HAppalachian State75-53
05/11/26HSE Louisiana92-59
12/03/26ATennessee62-72
11/03/26HMississippi St.79-61
08/03/26AAlabama84-96
04/03/26HLSU88-74
01/03/26HOle Miss79-85
25/02/26AOklahoma79-91
22/02/26HKentucky75-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HXavier63-81
10/11/26HJackson State98-57
06/11/26HNorthwestern St.82-44
03/11/26HTennessee Tech106-88
11/03/26AAuburn61-79
07/03/26HGeorgia96-102
04/03/26AFlorida74-108
28/02/26HMissouri64-88
26/02/26AAlabama75-100
21/02/26ASouth Carolina89-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Auburn
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game78.778.7-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+14.7+14.7-
Avg total142.7142.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game87.287.2-
Allowed / game67.567.5-
Point differential+19.8+19.8-
Avg total154.8154.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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