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Morehead State vs Austin Peay Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 77-52
43-20 34-32
Position#76
Record18-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#262
Record7-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game69.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Morehead State v Austin Peay
20 Nov 2024
MORE63
AUST58
05 Feb 2022
MORE77
AUST52
06 Feb 2021
MORE75
AUST74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#262
W
66-55
66
55
+11
A08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
A28/01
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-29
28-26
31-28
45-34
41-31
30-33
44-33
39-41
33-32
44-42
41-32
26-22
29-36
35-28
28-33
38-44
42-21
28-35
31-25
44-43
138.2Avg total
72.5Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.064.5135.5+6.575%
Season at home (12)74.560.3134.8+14.2100%
Season away (12)67.668.7136.2-1.150%
Last 10 (10)72.565.7138.2+6.890%
Last 5 (5)70.465.6136.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.278.4151.6-5.240%
vs Similar (7)67.369.6136.9-2.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)72.260.3132.5+11.994%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#191
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A18/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H31/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
79-98
79
98
-19
A01/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
72-57
72
57
+15
A21/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H28/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A30/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
68-63 OT
68
63
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-37
28-40
34-33
28-32
31-42
48-56
29-38
26-28
33-28
39-29
31-31
30-34
28-37
39-38
30-19
28-36
25-33
25-17
31-35
22-30
131.2Avg total
62.6Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)66.769.7136.4-3.137%
Season at home (7)69.966.9136.7+3.043%
Season away (12)64.871.4136.2-6.633%
Last 10 (10)62.668.6131.2-6.030%
Last 5 (5)61.464.6126.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)60.970.2131.1-9.320%
vs Similar (11)70.571.6142.2-1.136%
vs Weaker (8)78.468.0146.4+10.450%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -2.7-2.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -2.7-2.7
Morehead StateAustin Peay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#262
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A01/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H03/02
NCAA
65.8Avg total
35.8Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.230.363.5+2.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.127.460.5+5.894%-
Last 30 away (14)33.233.666.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.830.065.8+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)34.229.463.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.037.267.2-7.240%-
vs Similar (7)31.931.963.7+0.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)34.527.862.3+6.888%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#191
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A18/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H31/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A01/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H08/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H03/02
NCAA
62.8Avg total
29.5Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.866.0+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.231.967.1+3.364%-
Last 30 away (19)31.933.465.3-1.442%-
Last 10 (10)29.533.362.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.031.060.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)29.434.664.0-5.220%-
vs Similar (11)32.232.364.5-0.145%-
vs Weaker (8)38.231.069.2+7.288%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Morehead State wins
1
Austin Peay wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/22HTennessee Tech75-68
01/02/22ATennessee Tech70-56
29/01/22AMurray State66-77
28/01/22ASoutheast Missouri State74-73 OT
25/01/22HTennessee State67-54
22/01/22HSiu Edwardsville77-74
21/01/22HBelmont83-74
15/01/22ATennessee State71-64
13/01/22HUT Martin76-62
08/01/22AAustin Peay66-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/22HMurray State53-65
01/02/22HSiu Edwardsville68-63 OT
30/01/22ATennessee Tech58-55
28/01/22HBelmont67-75
22/01/22ATennessee State61-65
21/01/22AUT Martin72-57
08/01/22HMorehead State55-66
01/01/22ASoutheast Missouri State79-98
31/12/21HUT Martin62-65
18/12/21AVanderbilt51-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game71.074.567.6
Allowed / game64.560.368.7
Point differential+6.5+14.2-1.1
Avg total135.5134.8136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Austin Peay
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL37%
HomeLLLWL43%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %37%43%33%
Points / game66.769.964.8
Allowed / game69.766.971.4
Point differential-3.1+3.0-6.6
Avg total136.4136.7136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State2418675%71.064.5+6.5
2 Western Illinois2314961%80.175.6+4.5
3 Southeast Missouri State2291341%75.479.6-4.2
4 Tennessee State2391439%72.372.2+0.2
5 UALR2071335%68.973.5-4.5
6 UT Martin2381535%70.073.5-3.5
7 Siu Edwardsville2271532%69.470.0-0.5
8 Tennessee Tech2251723%71.473.7-2.4
9 Eastern Illinois2141719%56.171.3-15.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville2114767%66.658.3+8.2
2 Florida Gulf Coast2314961%76.873.6+3.3
3 Bellarmine23131057%69.866.0+3.8
4 Eastern Kentucky23111248%81.073.6+7.4
5 Stetson22101245%69.570.0-0.5
6 Lipscomb24101442%75.279.1-3.9
7 North Alabama2291341%70.465.1+5.3
8 Austin Peay1971237%66.769.7-3.1
9 Central Arkansas2161529%73.283.3-10.1
10 North Florida2361726%69.172.0-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State433477
Austin Peay203252
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