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Austria vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-123
16-24 12-29 29-28 20-42
Position#54
Record6-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Poland 🏆
Position#7
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game78.8
EuropeWorld CupRound 5· Sport Arena Wien
Other2027
Meetings · Austria v Poland
03 Jul 2026
AUST77
POLA123
28 Aug 2022
AUST55
POLA91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustria
Date
Competition
Armenia
#52
W
129-80
129
80
+49
no box
A24/11
World Cup
Albania
#72
L
67-78
67
78
-11
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
64-65
64
65
-1
no box
A02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
88-76
88
76
+12
no box
H06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
H13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A16/08
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
68-86
68
86
-18
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
88-87
88
87
+1
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-22
29-6
36-25
25-27
16-19
15-16
17-22
19-21
12-21
23-13
14-18
15-13
24-14
24-14
28-25
12-23
19-10
20-21
30-17
14-22
17-23
20-15
22-24
19-25
18-22
21-21
21-26
18-21
24-20
13-20
17-29
14-17
13-17
21-23
19-15
18-26
18-23
25-27
18-17
27-20
161.4Avg total
81.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.979.5164.4+5.450%
Season at home (6)80.580.3160.8+0.250%
Season away (6)89.378.7168.0+10.750%
Last 10 (10)81.480.0161.4+1.440%
Last 5 (5)76.686.2162.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.888.0160.8-15.20%
vs Similar (12)71.877.0148.8-5.233%
vs Weaker (12)88.275.1163.3+13.267%
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Israel
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 77
H30/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
84-75
84
75
+9
82avg 77
H31/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
76avg 77
A02/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
64avg 77
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 77
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
76avg 77
A09/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
92-72
92
72
+20
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
18-12
11-25
18-13
19-16
22-16
20-19
23-24
24-27
20-14
11-19
21-23
17-16
16-23
25-19
11-12
14-23
26-21
22-17
18-11
19-19
13-27
18-19
27-26
22-18
21-21
26-21
21-18
22-28
15-25
21-17
27-13
21-23
21-25
24-14
18-20
23-16
31-20
16-18
22-18
157.3Avg total
80.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.878.8166.5+9.0100%
Season at home (2)91.075.0166.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)84.582.5167.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.377.0157.3+3.370%
Last 5 (5)85.681.2166.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.986.1161.1-11.233%
vs Similar (8)81.976.2158.1+5.688%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.775.6158.3+7.186%
This opponent (Austria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.8+2.8
AustriaPoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AustriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Armenia
#52
W
68-28
68
28
+40
A24/11
World Cup
Albania
#72
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H23/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A16/08
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A28/11
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H01/12
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H27/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A01/03
World Cup
77.8Avg total
41.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.878.0+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.335.876.1+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.779.9+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.136.777.8+4.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.280.2-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.744.781.3-8.00%-
vs Similar (12)37.737.975.6-0.242%-
vs Weaker (12)44.634.278.8+10.475%-
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H30/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A02/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H28/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A01/12
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H01/03
World Cup
80.7Avg total
40.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.678.8-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.337.676.9+1.750%-
Last 30 away (16)37.343.280.5-5.919%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.480.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.486.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.140.576.6-4.327%-
vs Similar (8)40.540.480.9+0.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.141.081.1-0.943%-
This opponent (Austria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Austriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Austria: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.7
51.6%
-35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.6
29.2%
-22.8
🏀 Free throws16.411.4
69.5%
-11.4
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 25% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.0
53.0%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
-19.0
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Austria
WLLLLWWLLW
Poland
WWWWLWLLWW
#54
League position
#7
-16.8
Net rating
-5.5
94.9
Offensive rating
106.9
111.7
Defensive rating
112.3
48.3%
Effective FG%
51.0%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
21.7%
Turnover %
19.9%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.45
29.2%
3-point %
32.4%
64.0%
Assist %
61.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Austria   ■ Poland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Austria wins
3
Poland wins
DateGameScore
28/11/25Poland v Austria90-78
23/02/23Poland v Austria87-72
28/08/22Austria v Poland55-91
Austrialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26ANetherlands88-87
27/02/26HNetherlands71-81
01/12/25HLatvia68-86
28/11/25APoland78-90
16/08/25ABulgaria78-87
13/08/25HNetherlands83-70
06/08/25HBulgaria88-76
02/08/25ANetherlands64-65
23/02/25HAlbania67-78
24/11/24AArmenia129-80
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HLatvia92-72
27/02/26ALatvia84-82
01/12/25ANetherlands85-83
28/11/25HAustria90-78
09/09/25ATurkey77-91
07/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina80-72
04/09/25HBelgium69-70
02/09/25AFrance76-83
31/08/25HIceland84-75
30/08/25HIsrael66-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Austria
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.980.589.3
Allowed / game79.580.378.7
Point differential+5.4+0.2+10.7
Avg total164.4160.8168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.891.084.5
Allowed / game78.875.082.5
Point differential+9.0+16.0+2.0
Avg total166.5166.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Spain550100%87.467.2+20.2
4 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
5 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
6 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
7 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
8 Mali440100%82.074.8+7.2
9 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
10 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
11 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
12 Lebanon54180%87.872.4+15.4
13 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
14 Guinea54180%77.065.0+12.0
15 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
16 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
17 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
18 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
19 South Sudan43175%84.862.8+22.0
20 Angola43175%86.870.5+16.2
21 Ivory Coast43175%89.274.5+14.8
22 Senegal43175%84.871.0+13.8
23 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
24 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
25 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
26 Cameroon43175%74.070.2+3.8
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
29 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
30 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
31 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
32 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
33 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
34 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
35 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
36 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
37 Saudi Arabia53260%77.674.0+3.6
38 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
39 Nigeria53260%74.477.2-2.8
40 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
41 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
42 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
43 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
44 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
45 Tunisia42250%76.273.5+2.8
46 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
47 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
48 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
49 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
50 Cape Verde42250%79.585.5-6.0
51 D.R. Congo42250%71.078.0-7.0
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
54 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
55 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
56 Portugal52340%82.878.6+4.2
57 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
58 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
59 China52340%82.487.0-4.6
60 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
61 Iceland52340%83.290.4-7.2
62 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
63 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
64 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
65 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
66 Egypt41325%77.574.8+2.8
67 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
68 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Denmark92722%73.685.4-11.9
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
84 Rwanda4040%67.081.2-14.2
85 Libya4040%64.284.0-19.8
86 Madagascar4040%70.291.8-21.5
87 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
88 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
89 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
90 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
91 Uganda4040%63.890.0-26.2
92 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
93 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Austria1612292077
Poland24292842123
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