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Poland vs Iceland Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-75
19-16 22-16 20-19 23-24
Position#9
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game79.5
Poland 🏆
vs
Position#22
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Spodek
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iceland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Austria
#30
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
64-83
64
83
-19
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
71-96
71
96
-25
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 72
H21/11
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 72
A24/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
48-82
48
82
-34
33avg 72
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 72
A24/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
105-95
105
95
+10
98avg 72
A28/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 72
H30/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
31-17
14-19
16-15
21-27
14-15
23-16
22-12
19-16
11-19
19-27
15-21
16-25
22-22
12-22
21-27
18-19
22-19
13-19
25-25
22-25
18-17
22-21
26-23
18-15
14-22
10-25
6-20
19-26
20-19
16-22
19-21
29-25
18-21
33-23
25-26
19-14
18-12
11-25
18-13
157.9Avg total
76.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.579.5165.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)66.064.0130.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)105.095.0200.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.181.8157.9-5.750%
Last 5 (5)76.283.0159.2-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.284.9159.1-10.729%
vs Similar (10)81.774.7156.4+7.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)72.070.7142.7+1.367%
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIceland
Date
Competition
Spain
#7
L
61-80
61
80
-19
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
W
70-65
70
65
+5
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
71-95
71
95
-24
65avg 70
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
80avg 70
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
78-87
78
87
-9
74avg 70
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
83-71
83
71
+12
80avg 70
H23/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 70
A28/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
64-71
64
71
-7
60avg 70
H30/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
14-21
15-19
13-18
19-19
24-23
19-18
18-17
16-19
17-18
16-14
21-14
16-16
14-19
17-19
28-22
12-27
13-22
29-16
17-30
22-9
10-20
26-27
23-18
21-20
11-28
25-24
21-15
26-16
20-22
23-16
14-17
19-23
13-13
20-24
19-23
21-17
15-15
16-14
12-25
151.3Avg total
73.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)67.577.0144.5-9.50%
Season at home (1)64.071.0135.0-7.00%
Season away (1)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)73.477.9151.3-4.540%
Last 5 (5)75.477.2152.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)68.882.7151.4-13.911%
vs Similar (9)85.087.6172.6-2.644%
vs Weaker (12)82.674.4157.0+8.283%
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
PolandIceland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria
#30
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H23/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A22/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H26/02
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H21/11
EuroBasket
Estonia
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A28/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H30/08
EuroBasket
79.1Avg total
39.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.975.6-2.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.936.573.5+0.446%-
Last 30 away (17)36.640.777.3-4.118%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.679.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.278.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.839.275.0-3.524%-
vs Similar (10)38.937.176.0+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)35.043.078.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
25-49
25
49
-24
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A25/11
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H23/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H30/08
EuroBasket
73.1Avg total
34.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.877.2-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.438.175.5-0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)37.441.378.7-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)34.238.973.1-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.672.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.440.271.7-8.833%-
vs Similar (9)40.241.882.0-1.633%-
vs Weaker (12)39.738.177.8+1.658%-
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.816.1
52.3%
52.4%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.4
31.7%
33.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.317.7
76.0%
73.1%17.7
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Icelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.1
52.3%
52.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.9
29.2%
33.4%23.6
🏀 Free throws20.415.2
74.8%
73.1%15.2
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 31 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland
WWLLWLLLWW
Iceland
LLWLWLLWWL
#9
League position
#22
-8.4
Net rating
-5.1
103.5
Offensive rating
102.0
111.9
Defensive rating
107.1
50.1%
Effective FG%
48.4%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.7%
3-point %
29.2%
61.6%
Assist %
70.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 102.0Defence111.9 · 107.1Shooting50.1% · 48.4%3-point %31.7% · 29.2%Ball care19.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds26.7% · 25.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Poland   ■ Iceland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Poland wins
0
Iceland wins
No previous meetings.
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/25HIsrael66-64
28/08/25ASlovenia105-95
24/02/25ANorth Macedonia74-88
21/02/25HLithuania48-82
24/11/24AEstonia88-86
21/11/24HEstonia78-82
26/02/24HNorth Macedonia71-96
22/02/24ALithuania64-83
26/02/23ASwitzerland80-70
23/02/23HAustria87-72
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/25HBelgium64-71
28/08/25AIsrael71-83
23/02/25HTurkey83-71
20/02/25AHungary78-87
25/11/24AItaly81-74
22/11/24HItaly71-95
25/02/24ATurkey75-76
22/02/24HHungary70-65
26/02/23AGeorgia80-77
23/02/23HSpain61-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.566.0105.0
Allowed / game79.564.095.0
Point differential+6.0+2.0+10.0
Avg total165.0130.0200.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iceland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.564.071.0
Allowed / game77.071.083.0
Point differential-9.5-7.0-12.0
Avg total144.5135.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Greece330100%88.362.7+25.7
2 Turkey330100%93.368.3+25.0
3 Germany330100%106.082.3+23.7
4 Finland330100%95.778.0+17.7
5 Serbia330100%87.371.0+16.3
6 Poland220100%85.579.5+6.0
7 Spain32167%82.765.7+17.0
8 Lithuania32167%92.081.3+10.7
9 France32167%88.080.3+7.7
10 Israel32167%76.368.7+7.7
11 Italy21150%72.068.5+3.5
12 Bosnia & Herzegovina21150%79.076.0+3.0
13 Slovenia31233%92.092.3-0.3
14 Sweden31233%83.785.7-2.0
15 Estonia31233%74.381.7-7.3
16 Latvia31233%75.082.3-7.3
17 Belgium31233%68.080.7-12.7
18 Portugal31233%61.775.0-13.3
19 Georgia31233%66.080.3-14.3
20 Iceland2020%67.577.0-9.5
21 Czech Republic3030%67.781.0-13.3
22 Great Britain3030%69.393.7-24.3
23 Montenegro3030%69.395.0-25.7
24 Cyprus3030%60.092.7-32.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland1922202384
Iceland1616192475
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