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Avellino vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-72
15-15 22-16 28-21 10-20
Position#21
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#15
Record10-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Semi-finals
European cup2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A04/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
L
70-70
70
70
+0
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#14
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H11/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#8
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A18/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
L
77-77
77
77
+0
A21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H25/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A01/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H08/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
16-25
29-21
18-19
17-18
15-12
13-25
25-15
27-11
25-18
17-18
20-24
24-14
13-18
20-16
24-24
14-26
19-18
24-21
18-17
14-21
24-15
22-24
17-17
19-15
18-19
17-23
21-25
19-15
31-8
15-23
20-22
17-14
17-16
19-25
21-33
26-15
27-24
24-16
18-17
156.8Avg total
80.3Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.271.8150.0+6.550%
Season at home (2)77.569.0146.5+8.550%
Season away (2)79.074.5153.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)80.376.5156.8+3.840%
Last 5 (5)81.277.4158.6+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.580.4162.9+2.140%
vs Weaker (14)81.671.7153.3+9.964%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#33
W
93-73
93
73
+20
A07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#33
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A16/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#7
W
103-68
103
68
+35
H18/03
Basketligaen
Le Portel
#1
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#7
W
98-77
98
77
+21
A23/03
Basketligaen
Le Portel
#1
L
80-86 OT
80
86
-6
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#7
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
H29/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H05/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A08/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
28-16
27-22
24-13
19-26
15-13
20-23
21-19
11-26
14-29
17-12
24-21
29-25
36-19
28-12
10-12
20-17
22-18
20-15
14-12
25-29
23-16
17-20
33-12
17-25
16-19
13-20
18-14
25-29
31-27
24-13
17-28
31-21
16-23
16-20
20-27
13-30
25-17
16-12
20-25
167.3Avg total
85.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.883.2167.9+1.662%
Season at home (8)84.484.8169.1-0.462%
Season away (8)85.181.6166.8+3.562%
Last 10 (10)85.781.6167.3+4.150%
Last 5 (5)88.888.8177.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.083.8164.8-2.850%
vs Similar ◀ (5)85.087.2172.2-2.260%
vs Weaker (21)95.881.4177.1+14.476%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
AvellinoBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A04/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#14
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H11/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A18/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A01/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H08/04
Lega A
74.1Avg total
40.1Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.435.475.8+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.832.774.4+9.181%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.577.4+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.074.1+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.432.474.8+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.436.174.5+2.367%-
vs Weaker (14)42.634.977.5+7.664%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#33
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#33
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
25-55
25
55
-30
A16/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#7
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H18/03
Basketligaen
Le Portel
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A23/03
Basketligaen
Le Portel
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#7
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H29/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H05/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A08/04
Basketligaen
87.7Avg total
43.0Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.942.389.2+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.542.191.5+7.467%-
Last 30 away (15)44.342.586.8+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)43.044.787.7-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.447.291.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.544.585.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.041.484.4+1.660%-
vs Weaker (21)49.042.091.1+7.067%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.2
55.8%
52.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.510.1
44.9%
34.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.011.5
67.6%
73.3%11.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellino wins
0
Bakken Bears wins
No previous meetings.
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/18HCremona95-72
01/04/18AVenezia74-88
28/03/18HJuventus85-68
25/03/18HOlimpia Milano75-82
21/03/18AJuventus77-77
18/03/18AVarese75-82
14/03/18AMinsk81-72
11/03/18HBrindisi89-71
07/03/18HMinsk70-70
04/03/18ACantu82-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/18ATeam FOG Naestved74-84
05/04/18HTeam FOG Naestved83-91
29/03/18HHerlev Wolfpack109-106 OT
27/03/18ALe Portel80-86 OT
23/03/18AHerlev Wolfpack98-77
20/03/18HLe Portel76-62
18/03/18HHerlev Wolfpack103-68
16/03/18ATeam FOG Naestved66-88
14/03/18HVentspils75-81
07/03/18AVentspils93-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
FIBA Europe Cup 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.277.579.0
Allowed / game71.869.074.5
Point differential+6.5+8.5+4.5
Avg total150.0146.5153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
FIBA Europe Cup 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game84.884.485.1
Allowed / game83.284.881.6
Point differential+1.6-0.4+3.5
Avg total167.9169.1166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %19%12%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Portel1814478%79.668.5+11.1
2 Donar Groningen1611569%81.970.4+11.5
3 Nizhny Novgorod1611569%83.278.2+5.0
4 Kormend1812667%77.678.6-1.0
5 Alba Fehervar149564%79.175.8+3.4
6 Szombathely85362%90.880.0+10.8
7 Buyukcekmece1610662%78.873.3+5.5
8 Spirou Charleroi85362%76.172.8+3.4
9 Bakken Bears1610662%84.883.2+1.6
10 Istanbul BB1610662%79.178.6+0.4
11 Cluj Napoca148657%80.578.4+2.1
12 Keravnos148657%75.574.9+0.6
13 Belfius Mons169756%77.273.2+3.9
14 Mornar Bar169756%75.476.8-1.4
15 Venezia42250%86.277.2+9.0
16 Parma Perm42250%78.071.0+7.0
17 Avellino42250%78.271.8+6.5
18 Szolnoki Olaj168850%83.477.2+6.2
19 Saratov63350%87.782.8+4.8
20 Nevezis168850%82.978.3+4.6
21 Minsk147750%76.872.8+4.0
22 FC Porto84450%76.976.1+0.8
23 CSM Oradea21150%75.576.0-0.5
24 Trabzonspor21150%87.588.0-0.5
25 Antwerp Giants63350%80.781.5-0.8
26 Sassari21150%76.577.5-1.0
27 s.Oliver Wurzburg21150%69.070.0-1.0
28 Z-Mobile Prishtina63350%70.373.5-3.2
29 Ostrow Wielkopolski21150%69.574.0-4.5
30 AEK Larnaca21150%72.578.0-5.5
31 Pardubice42250%74.280.5-6.2
32 Oostende21150%73.580.5-7.0
33 Ventspils21150%77.084.0-7.0
34 BC Dnipro21150%78.085.5-7.5
35 Sodertalje21150%69.079.5-10.5
36 Rilski Sportist21150%71.583.5-12.0
37 Bnei Herzliya104640%73.675.8-2.2
38 Basic-Fit Brussels62433%74.577.2-2.7
39 Kataja124833%80.383.2-2.8
40 Academic62433%72.277.5-5.3
41 Juventus41325%77.078.5-1.5
42 Khimik82625%68.478.6-10.2
43 Balkan102820%80.184.2-4.1
44 Kapfenberg Bulls61517%71.879.0-7.2
45 Benfica61517%80.797.8-17.2
46 CSU Sibiu2020%71.078.0-7.0
47 Tartu Ulikool2020%73.080.0-7.0
48 BC Steaua Bucuresti2020%73.582.0-8.5
49 Boras2020%66.581.5-15.0
50 Beroe2020%67.583.5-16.0
51 Dinamo Tbilisi6060%67.083.0-16.0
52 KR Basket2020%69.086.0-17.0
53 Rabotnicki2020%68.091.5-23.5
54 KK Bosna6060%62.888.0-25.2
55 Karpos6060%68.898.8-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino1522281075
Bakken Bears1516212072
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