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Avellino vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-82
19-15 18-19 17-23 21-25
Position#4
Record15-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game77.2
Avellino
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record17-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game72.5
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Avellino v Olimpia Milano
24 May 2019
AVE v MIL
upcoming
22 May 2019
AVE v MIL
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
AVE85
MIL81
25 Mar 2018
AVE75
MIL82
30 Jan 2017
AVE80
MIL68
25 Sep 2016
AVE72
MIL90
21 Feb 2016
AVE76
MIL82
19 Oct 2015
AVE60
MIL83
03 Nov 2014
AVE73
MIL69
01 May 2014
AVE92
MIL94
15 Oct 2012
AVE80
MIL58
22 Apr 2012
AVE77
MIL90
03 Apr 2011
AVE76
MIL84
13 Dec 2009
AVE66
MIL73
22 Nov 2008
AVE68
MIL61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
A04/02
Lega A
Bonn
#31
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A07/02
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
101-71
101
71
+30
192avg 115
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#4
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
119avg 115
A04/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
L
70-70
70
70
+0
no box
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#14
W
89-71
89
71
+18
121avg 115
H11/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#8
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A18/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
L
77-77
77
77
+0
no box
A21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-9
21-13
20-22
17-15
19-21
21-18
17-18
17-22
24-17
27-18
29-21
21-15
22-18
18-14
13-19
21-23
19-18
16-25
29-21
18-19
17-18
15-12
13-25
25-15
27-11
25-18
17-18
20-24
24-14
13-18
20-16
24-24
14-26
19-18
24-21
18-17
14-21
24-15
22-24
17-17
156.1Avg total
80.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.277.2161.5+7.068%
Season at home (10)84.570.0154.5+14.590%
Season away (12)84.083.2167.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)80.875.3156.1+5.540%
Last 5 (5)78.474.4152.8+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.978.2161.2+4.756%
vs Weaker (13)78.371.0149.3+7.354%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Cantu
#3
L
87-105
87
105
-18
no box
H16/02
Italian Cup
Fenerbahce
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
93avg 108
A22/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
77-64
77
64
+13
104avg 108
H01/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#6
W
116-93
116
93
+23
146avg 108
H04/03
Lega A
Khimki M.
#8
W
86-77
86
77
+9
115avg 108
A08/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
73-67
73
67
+6
99avg 108
A11/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
102avg 108
H13/03
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
114avg 108
H17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
65-77
65
77
-12
88avg 108
A20/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
L
89-93
89
93
-4
no box
H22/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
20-29
25-23
24-25
20-23
13-25
15-17
22-24
17-17
27-12
14-16
19-19
32-23
28-22
31-19
25-29
30-20
19-19
12-23
25-15
22-11
18-17
14-19
19-20
17-25
19-24
18-19
23-20
18-20
20-16
23-25
27-19
16-17
18-14
16-23
15-23
23-17
20-23
22-28
24-25
166.1Avg total
82.8Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.072.5152.4+7.577%
Season at home (11)86.876.6163.5+10.282%
Season away (11)73.168.3141.4+4.873%
Last 10 (10)82.883.3166.1-0.550%
Last 5 (5)78.481.0159.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.186.2164.3-8.133%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.086.8173.8+0.233%
vs Weaker (11)84.572.5157.0+12.191%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
AvellinoOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A04/02
Lega A
Bonn
#31
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/02
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#9
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A04/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#14
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H11/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A18/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
74.0Avg total
39.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.135.274.4+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.832.972.7+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)38.537.676.1+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.834.274.0+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.272.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.435.874.2+2.662%-
vs Weaker (13)40.034.874.8+5.262%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H16/02
Italian Cup
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A22/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H01/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#6
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H04/03
Lega A
Khimki M.
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A11/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H13/03
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/03
Euroleague
81.7Avg total
41.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.683.0+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.841.886.6+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)39.639.278.9+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.281.7+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.875.0+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.142.982.0-3.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.142.687.7+2.656%-
vs Weaker (11)43.235.678.8+7.582%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.7
57.9%
51.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.110.9
47.2%
34.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws14.810.4
70.3%
73.0%10.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.4
52.4%
51.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.5
36.4%
34.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.916.4
78.5%
73.0%16.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LLWWLLLWLW
Olimpia Milano
LLWLWWWWLL
#4
League position
#1
+17.8
Net rating
+3.5
119.0
Offensive rating
115.2
101.3
Defensive rating
111.7
62.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
19.3%
Turnover %
14.8%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
47.2%
3-point %
36.4%
63.5%
Assist %
52.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.0 · 115.2Defence101.3 · 111.7Shooting62.8% · 53.3%3-point %47.2% · 36.4%Ball care19.3% · 14.8%Off. rebounds28.2% · 31.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Avellino   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Avellino wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
19/11/17Olimpia Milano v Avellino92-94 OT
30/01/17Avellino v Olimpia Milano80-68
09/10/16Olimpia Milano v Avellino87-81
25/09/16Avellino v Olimpia Milano72-90
21/02/16Avellino v Olimpia Milano76-82
31/01/16Olimpia Milano v Avellino80-81
19/10/15Avellino v Olimpia Milano60-83
20/02/15Olimpia Milano v Avellino60-58
16/02/15Olimpia Milano v Avellino95-78
03/11/14Avellino v Olimpia Milano73-69
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/18AJuventus77-77
18/03/18AVarese75-82
14/03/18AMinsk81-72
11/03/18HBrindisi89-71
07/03/18HMinsk70-70
04/03/18ACantu82-83
15/02/18HCremona82-89 OT
11/02/18HPistoia101-71
07/02/18ABonn74-79
04/02/18ATorino77-59
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/18HValencia89-93
20/03/18AZalgiris Kaunas65-77
17/03/18HTrento88-80
13/03/18HReal Madrid77-88
11/03/18AVirtus Bologna73-67
08/03/18AKhimki M.86-77
04/03/18HSassari116-93
01/03/18HAnadolu Efes77-64
22/02/18AFenerbahce70-89
16/02/18HCantu87-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL68%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %68%90%50%
Points / game84.284.584.0
Allowed / game77.270.083.2
Point differential+7.0+14.5+0.8
Avg total161.5154.5167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %23%20%25%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %77%82%73%
Points / game80.086.873.1
Allowed / game72.576.668.3
Point differential+7.5+10.2+4.8
Avg total152.4163.5141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%36%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2217577%80.072.5+7.5
2 Venezia2217577%81.978.5+3.4
3 Avellino2215768%84.277.2+7.0
4 Brescia2215768%79.074.5+4.5
5 Sassari22121055%85.882.5+3.3
6 Virtus Bologna22121055%78.475.3+3.1
7 Torino22121055%80.281.7-1.5
8 Cremona22111150%83.381.5+1.8
9 Trento22111150%78.277.7+0.5
10 Cantu22111150%87.588.2-0.7
11 Reggiana21101148%75.776.4-0.7
12 Varese2291341%77.775.7+2.0
13 Brindisi2271532%76.780.5-3.8
14 Pistoia2271532%75.281.1-5.9
15 Pesaro2251723%77.584.5-7.1
16 Capo d'Orlando2351822%70.583.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino1918172175
Olimpia Milano1519232582
← all games of the day
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