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Venezia vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 88-74
14-17 16-17 25-19 33-21
Position#2
Record17-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.2
Venezia 🏆
Italy
vs
Avellino
Italy
Position#4
Record15-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game77.4
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Venezia v Avellino
24 Mar 2019
VEN76
AVE65
02 May 2018
VEN81
AVE79
01 Apr 2018
VEN88
AVE74
03 Jun 2017
VEN78
AVE66
28 May 2017
VEN88
AVE77
26 May 2017
VEN73
AVE80
03 Apr 2017
VEN78
AVE75
01 Mar 2017
VEN53
AVE49
04 May 2016
VEN86
AVE77
25 Jan 2015
VEN79
AVE71
15 Dec 2013
VEN84
AVE69
06 Jan 2013
VEN93
AVE97
06 May 2012
VEN90
AVE95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A11/02
Lega A
Torino
#1
L
60-72
60
72
-12
H15/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H04/03
Lega A
Kormend
#4
W
83-51
83
51
+32
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
A11/03
Lega A
Kormend
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#9
W
107-83
107
83
+24
H18/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#2
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#13
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A25/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#2
L
90-94
90
94
-4
A28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
31-23
13-19
24-21
4-21
25-23
17-16
14-12
18-20
18-11
16-19
19-20
16-19
23-9
21-13
23-10
26-19
18-8
26-28
20-27
29-22
23-23
12-20
22-23
28-16
21-22
30-18
28-27
20-19
22-16
25-23
19-18
13-27
20-18
24-25
26-23
22-20
25-29
23-22
20-23
163.3Avg total
84.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.079.2161.1+2.874%
Season at home (11)80.377.5157.8+2.773%
Season away (12)83.580.7164.2+2.875%
Last 10 (10)84.179.2163.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)90.486.8177.2+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.481.4157.9-5.044%
vs Weaker (13)85.376.1161.4+9.277%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#4
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A04/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
L
70-70
70
70
+0
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#14
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H11/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#8
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A18/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
L
77-77
77
77
+0
A21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H25/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
27-18
29-21
21-15
22-18
18-14
13-19
21-23
19-18
16-25
29-21
18-19
17-18
15-12
13-25
25-15
27-11
25-18
17-18
20-24
24-14
13-18
20-16
24-24
14-26
19-18
24-21
18-17
14-21
24-15
22-24
17-17
19-15
18-19
17-23
21-25
19-15
31-8
15-23
20-22
158.2Avg total
81.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.877.4161.3+6.465%
Season at home (11)83.671.1154.7+12.582%
Season away (12)84.083.2167.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)81.776.5158.2+5.240%
Last 5 (5)78.676.2154.8+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.880.7164.5+3.147%
vs Weaker (14)78.870.8149.6+8.057%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
VeneziaAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A11/02
Lega A
Torino
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H15/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H04/03
Lega A
Kormend
#4
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#12
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A11/03
Lega A
Kormend
#4
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H18/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#13
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A25/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
80.4Avg total
41.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.178.8+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.736.376.0+3.373%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.981.6+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.580.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.487.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.238.278.4+2.156%-
vs Weaker (13)42.137.679.7+4.577%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#9
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A04/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#14
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H11/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Varese
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A18/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/03
Lega A
Juventus
#41
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
74.3Avg total
40.5Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.734.974.7+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.032.373.3+8.780%-
Last 30 away (15)38.537.676.1+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.533.874.3+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.033.872.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.836.174.9+2.767%-
vs Weaker (14)40.733.974.6+6.864%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.3
54.9%
51.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.0
32.7%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.212.8
74.4%
73.0%12.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.4
57.5%
51.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.510.7
45.5%
34.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.511.0
71.0%
73.0%11.0
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
LLWWLWWWLW
Avellino
WLLLWWLLLW
#2
League position
#4
+3.3
Net rating
+16.8
106.6
Offensive rating
119.1
103.3
Defensive rating
102.3
52.4%
Effective FG%
61.7%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
15.0%
Turnover %
18.9%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.7%
3-point %
45.5%
58.0%
Assist %
67.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 119.1Defence103.3 · 102.3Shooting52.4% · 61.7%3-point %32.7% · 45.5%Ball care15.0% · 18.9%Off. rebounds22.8% · 28.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Venezia   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Venezia wins
3
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
02/12/17Avellino v Venezia87-77 OT
05/06/17Avellino v Venezia83-84
03/06/17Venezia v Avellino78-66
01/06/17Avellino v Venezia73-75
30/05/17Avellino v Venezia96-83
28/05/17Venezia v Avellino88-77
26/05/17Venezia v Avellino73-80
03/04/17Venezia v Avellino78-75
08/03/17Avellino v Venezia68-72
01/03/17Venezia v Avellino53-49
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/18ANizhny Novgorod90-94
25/03/18APistoia83-93
21/03/18HNizhny Novgorod86-76
18/03/18HCantu107-83
14/03/18AKormend86-88
11/03/18ATorino90-82
07/03/18HKormend83-51
04/03/18HVirtus Bologna71-70
15/02/18HTorino60-72
11/02/18ACremona85-83
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/18HJuventus85-68
25/03/18HOlimpia Milano75-82
21/03/18AJuventus77-77
18/03/18AVarese75-82
14/03/18AMinsk81-72
11/03/18HBrindisi89-71
07/03/18HMinsk70-70
04/03/18ACantu82-83
15/02/18HCremona82-89 OT
11/02/18HPistoia101-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%73%75%
Points / game82.080.383.5
Allowed / game79.277.580.7
Point differential+2.8+2.7+2.8
Avg total161.1157.8164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (14)75% (8)100% (6)
Overtime %13%9%17%
Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL65%
HomeWLWWL82%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%82%50%
Points / game83.883.684.0
Allowed / game77.471.183.2
Point differential+6.4+12.5+0.8
Avg total161.3154.7167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%55%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %22%18%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2419579%80.572.8+7.8
2 Venezia2317674%82.079.2+2.8
3 Brescia2316770%79.374.3+5.0
4 Avellino2315865%83.877.4+6.4
5 Trento24131154%79.376.2+3.1
6 Virtus Bologna24131154%79.076.4+2.7
7 Cremona23121152%83.781.3+2.3
8 Sassari24121250%86.483.8+2.5
9 Cantu24121250%87.088.2-1.1
10 Torino24121250%80.582.3-1.8
11 Varese24111346%78.775.8+2.8
12 Reggiana22101245%75.877.1-1.3
13 Pistoia2491538%76.381.0-4.7
14 Brindisi2481633%78.281.8-3.5
15 Pesaro2451921%76.484.4-8.0
16 Capo d'Orlando2451921%70.084.4-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia1416253388
Avellino1717192174
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