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Cantu vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-82
18-19 25-16 21-29 19-18
Position#9
Record9-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game87.7
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Avellino
Italy
Position#4
Record14-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game77.0
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Cantu v Avellino
19 Jan 2019
KAN83
AVE73
04 Mar 2018
KAN83
AVE82
12 Dec 2016
KAN75
AVE74
15 Nov 2015
KAN84
AVE82
19 Oct 2014
KAN74
AVE65
10 Nov 2013
KAN74
AVE67
04 Nov 2012
KAN79
AVE67
17 Feb 2012
KAN99
AVE70
13 Nov 2011
KAN90
AVE55
05 Mar 2011
KAN91
AVE67
12 Feb 2011
KAN82
AVE65
03 Jan 2010
KAN85
AVE61
27 Oct 2008
KAN61
AVE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
92-73
92
73
+19
127avg 111
H26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
80-86
80
86
-6
102avg 111
A30/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
96-73
96
73
+23
134avg 111
H07/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
88-86
88
86
+2
111avg 111
A14/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
no box
H20/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
100-109
100
109
-9
129avg 111
A28/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
85-89
85
89
-4
111avg 111
H05/02
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
97avg 111
A10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#8
W
105-87
105
87
+18
no box
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#2
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
no box
H17/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
21-15
23-13
31-28
18-15
17-27
21-22
24-22
26-7
18-22
28-20
24-24
20-22
21-17
20-17
27-30
21-24
20-17
16-27
29-18
17-33
33-24
27-31
23-21
25-33
26-23
18-22
16-11
22-16
20-22
17-26
17-23
28-18
29-20
23-25
25-24
18-20
21-23
17-20
20-13
177.9Avg total
90.6Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.087.7174.7-0.747%
Season at home (9)92.284.3176.6+7.967%
Season away (10)82.390.7173.0-8.430%
Last 10 (10)90.687.3177.9+3.350%
Last 5 (5)89.691.8181.4-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.588.2169.6-6.727%
vs Similar (15)84.287.9172.1-3.740%
vs Weaker (3)93.776.0169.7+17.7100%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
119avg 115
A13/01
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#36
L
57-64
57
64
-7
no box
H17/01
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
86-89
86
89
-3
111avg 115
A20/01
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
A23/01
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
no box
H28/01
Lega A
Aris
#39
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
H31/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
A04/02
Lega A
Bonn
#31
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A07/02
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
101-71
101
71
+30
192avg 115
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#4
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
24-32
21-25
25-9
7-19
21-17
13-13
16-15
22-24
20-23
16-17
28-25
16-28
24-16
16-22
21-15
24-19
14-22
26-22
21-22
21-25
22-8
20-17
16-16
19-9
21-13
20-22
17-15
19-21
21-18
17-18
17-22
24-17
27-18
29-21
21-15
22-18
18-14
13-19
21-23
159.9Avg total
82.2Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.677.0161.6+7.674%
Season at home (9)84.069.9153.9+14.189%
Season away (10)85.183.4168.5+1.760%
Last 10 (10)82.277.7159.9+4.540%
Last 5 (5)82.672.8155.4+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)84.479.8164.2+4.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)78.371.5149.9+6.860%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.6+2.6
CantuAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A30/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H07/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H20/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A28/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H05/02
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#8
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A16/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H17/02
Italian Cup
85.3Avg total
43.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.684.7-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.141.884.9+1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)41.243.284.4-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.585.3+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)47.846.494.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.444.384.6-3.918%-
vs Similar (15)42.043.885.8-1.847%-
vs Weaker (3)44.031.775.7+12.3100%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A13/01
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#36
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H17/01
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A20/01
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A23/01
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H28/01
Lega A
Aris
#39
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H31/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A04/02
Lega A
Bonn
#31
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/02
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/02
Italian Cup
78.8Avg total
41.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.335.674.8+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.533.573.0+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.037.776.7+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.878.8+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.832.275.0+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)38.736.174.8+2.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.735.375.1+4.460%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.0
51.3%
51.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.8
37.3%
34.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.314.8
80.9%
73.0%14.8
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.921.3
57.7%
51.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.6
42.2%
34.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws13.79.9
72.3%
73.0%9.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LWLLLWWWLW
Avellino
LWLWWLLLLW
#9
League position
#4
-0.1
Net rating
+17.8
111.9
Offensive rating
118.2
112.0
Defensive rating
100.4
53.1%
Effective FG%
60.0%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.3%
3-point %
42.2%
57.8%
Assist %
60.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 118.2Defence112.0 · 100.4Shooting53.1% · 60.0%3-point %37.3% · 42.2%Ball care15.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds27.2% · 30.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Cantu   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cantu wins
4
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
28/10/17Avellino v Cantu86-71
09/04/17Avellino v Cantu92-86
12/12/16Cantu v Avellino75-74
06/03/16Avellino v Cantu81-77
15/11/15Cantu v Avellino84-82
01/02/15Avellino v Cantu76-79
19/10/14Cantu v Avellino74-65
23/02/14Avellino v Cantu59-77
10/11/13Cantu v Avellino74-67
03/03/13Avellino v Cantu20-0
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/18HBrescia82-87 OT
16/02/18AOlimpia Milano105-87
10/02/18ATrento76-87
05/02/18HVarese85-89
28/01/18ACremona100-109
20/01/18HSassari102-96 OT
14/01/18ABrindisi88-86
07/01/18HCapo d'Orlando96-73
30/12/17AReggiana80-86
26/12/17HPesaro92-73
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/18HCremona82-89 OT
11/02/18HPistoia101-71
07/02/18ABonn74-79
04/02/18ATorino77-59
31/01/18HAris79-66
28/01/18HBrescia95-96 OT
23/01/18ANymburk77-81
20/01/18AReggiana86-89
17/01/18HZielona Gora57-64
13/01/18ATrento94-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL47%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%67%30%
Points / game87.092.282.3
Allowed / game87.784.390.7
Point differential-0.7+7.9-8.4
Avg total174.7176.6173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %11%22%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW74%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%89%60%
Points / game84.684.085.1
Allowed / game77.069.983.4
Point differential+7.6+14.1+1.7
Avg total161.6153.9168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%56%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %26%22%30%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Avellino1914574%84.677.0+7.6
2 Olimpia Milano1914574%78.071.3+6.7
3 Venezia1914574%80.778.6+2.2
4 Brescia1913668%79.575.3+4.2
5 Virtus Bologna1911858%79.976.2+3.7
6 Torino1911858%80.180.4-0.3
7 Sassari1910953%83.780.3+3.4
8 Trento20101050%77.977.3+0.6
9 Cremona1991047%82.381.2+1.1
10 Cantu1991047%87.087.7-0.7
11 Reggiana2091145%75.576.5-0.9
12 Varese1981142%78.375.5+2.8
13 Brindisi1961332%77.180.3-3.2
14 Pistoia1961332%74.880.8-6.0
15 Capo d'Orlando1951426%67.681.6-14.0
16 Pesaro1941521%76.783.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu1825211983
Avellino1916291882
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