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Avellino vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-71
27-11 25-18 17-18 20-24
Position#4
Record14-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#14
Record6-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game80.0
ItalyLega ARound 21
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Avellino v Brindisi
05 May 2019
AVE83
BRI87
15 Feb 2019
AVE92
BRI95
11 Mar 2018
AVE89
BRI71
27 Nov 2016
AVE76
BRI73
22 Nov 2015
AVE83
BRI81
29 Dec 2014
AVE77
BRI80
26 Dec 2013
AVE85
BRI83
25 Nov 2012
AVE81
BRI71
16 Jan 2011
AVE79
BRI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
L
86-89
86
89
-3
111avg 115
A20/01
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
A23/01
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
no box
H28/01
Lega A
Aris
#39
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
H31/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
A04/02
Lega A
Bonn
#31
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A07/02
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
101-71
101
71
+30
192avg 115
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#4
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
119avg 115
A04/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
L
70-70
70
70
+0
no box
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
20-23
16-17
28-25
16-28
24-16
16-22
21-15
24-19
14-22
26-22
21-22
21-25
22-8
20-17
16-16
19-9
21-13
20-22
17-15
19-21
21-18
17-18
17-22
24-17
27-18
29-21
21-15
22-18
18-14
13-19
21-23
19-18
16-25
29-21
18-19
17-18
15-12
13-25
25-15
160.6Avg total
82.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.577.3161.8+7.270%
Season at home (9)84.069.9153.9+14.189%
Season away (11)84.883.4168.2+1.555%
Last 10 (10)82.378.3160.6+4.030%
Last 5 (5)81.878.4160.2+3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)83.678.4162.1+5.257%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)78.172.3150.4+5.753%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
66-67
66
67
-1
95avg 114
A16/12
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
83-92
83
92
-9
101avg 114
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
no box
H02/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
99avg 114
A07/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
86-88
86
88
-2
113avg 114
H14/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
82-68
82
68
+14
106avg 114
A21/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
88-74
88
74
+14
188avg 114
H28/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
71-76
71
76
-5
161avg 114
A04/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
164avg 114
H11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
60-74
60
74
-14
85avg 114
A05/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
20-18
18-14
11-16
23-16
9-31
24-18
27-27
23-15
19-18
20-23
20-26
22-19
19-21
12-19
24-14
22-20
17-21
17-20
30-27
21-13
12-27
30-13
19-15
20-21
19-23
33-19
16-11
16-21
17-15
21-23
17-17
25-18
17-22
7-20
23-24
12-15
17-20
20-19
11-20
156.6Avg total
78.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.280.0156.2-3.830%
Season at home (10)79.480.3159.7-0.940%
Season away (10)73.079.6152.6-6.620%
Last 10 (10)78.078.6156.6-0.640%
Last 5 (5)74.675.2149.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.582.8158.3-7.325%
vs Similar (13)80.077.1157.1+2.954%
vs Weaker (5)81.882.2164.0-0.420%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
AvellinoBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A20/01
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A23/01
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H28/01
Lega A
Aris
#39
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H31/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A04/02
Lega A
Bonn
#31
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/02
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#9
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A04/03
Lega A
Minsk
#20
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
76.7Avg total
40.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.235.874.9+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.133.272.3+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)39.338.677.9+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.676.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.875.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)38.935.574.4+3.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.436.375.7+3.153%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/12
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H02/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A07/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A21/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A04/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A05/03
Lega A
76.0Avg total
36.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.179.3-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.640.182.7+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)35.940.175.9-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.376.0-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.074.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.939.876.7-2.850%-
vs Similar (13)40.339.880.2+0.546%-
vs Weaker (5)42.041.483.4+0.660%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.3
57.1%
51.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.810.3
41.5%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.210.2
71.8%
73.0%10.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.4
54.3%
51.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.2
30.7%
34.9%18.6
🏀 Free throws17.613.1
74.4%
73.0%13.1
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LLLWLWWLLL
Brindisi
LLLWWLWWLL
#4
League position
#14
+14.9
Net rating
-2.9
116.3
Offensive rating
99.1
101.4
Defensive rating
102.0
59.2%
Effective FG%
51.5%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.4%
Turnover %
20.3%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
41.5%
3-point %
30.7%
62.3%
Assist %
48.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 99.1Defence101.4 · 102.0Shooting59.2% · 51.5%3-point %41.5% · 30.7%Ball care18.4% · 20.3%Off. rebounds29.6% · 22.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Avellino   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Avellino wins
5
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
05/11/17Brindisi v Avellino92-88 OT
26/03/17Brindisi v Avellino94-74
27/11/16Avellino v Brindisi76-73
14/03/16Brindisi v Avellino82-89
22/11/15Avellino v Brindisi83-81 OT
27/04/15Brindisi v Avellino81-67
29/12/14Avellino v Brindisi77-80
19/04/14Brindisi v Avellino75-73
26/12/13Avellino v Brindisi85-83
24/03/13Brindisi v Avellino72-76
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/18HMinsk70-70
04/03/18ACantu82-83
15/02/18HCremona82-89 OT
11/02/18HPistoia101-71
07/02/18ABonn74-79
04/02/18ATorino77-59
31/01/18HAris79-66
28/01/18HBrescia95-96 OT
23/01/18ANymburk77-81
20/01/18AReggiana86-89
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/18ABrescia60-74
11/02/18HOlimpia Milano72-84
04/02/18AVenezia71-76
28/01/18HPistoia88-74
21/01/18ATorino82-68
14/01/18HCantu86-88
07/01/18AReggiana77-73
02/01/18HVarese95-90 OT
26/12/17ACremona83-92
16/12/17ACapo d'Orlando66-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL70%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayWWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %70%89%55%
Points / game84.584.084.8
Allowed / game77.369.983.4
Point differential+7.2+14.1+1.5
Avg total161.8153.9168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%56%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %25%22%27%
Brindisi
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL30%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLWWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game76.279.473.0
Allowed / game80.080.379.6
Point differential-3.8-0.9-6.6
Avg total156.2159.7152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)43% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2116576%79.672.1+7.5
2 Venezia2116576%80.778.3+2.4
3 Avellino2014670%84.577.3+7.2
4 Brescia2014670%79.274.5+4.7
5 Torino2112957%80.781.2-0.5
6 Virtus Bologna21111052%78.875.8+3.0
7 Sassari21111052%85.082.2+2.8
8 Trento21111052%78.177.2+0.9
9 Cantu20101050%86.887.4-0.6
10 Cremona21101148%82.982.0+0.9
11 Reggiana2091145%75.576.5-0.9
12 Varese2181338%77.575.7+1.8
13 Pistoia2071335%74.880.0-5.2
14 Brindisi2061430%76.280.0-3.8
15 Capo d'Orlando2051525%68.782.2-13.4
16 Pesaro2041620%76.884.3-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2725172089
Brindisi1118182471
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