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BA CoE vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 72-73
27-21 18-10 9-26 18-16
Position#15
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Geelong 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game78.5
AustraliaNBL 1
Other2019
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BA CoE winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BA CoEAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
H16/07
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A22/07
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A23/07
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
L
58-81
58
81
-23
H30/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A05/08
SEABL
Dandenong
#8
W
99-88
99
88
+11
A29/03
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
L
94-105
94
105
-11
A30/03
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A31/03
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A05/04
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A06/04
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-24
11-27
17-24
15-25
22-18
21-24
14-28
27-18
12-22
18-17
8-26
13-12
15-30
16-15
14-24
16-26
13-23
22-21
25-17
29-20
25-23
24-22
21-23
21-28
26-23
25-26
22-28
27-30
19-24
23-18
19-21
19-14
20-24
22-17
26-17
19-17
23-20
21-22
23-25
167.0Avg total
78.8Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.888.4179.2+2.460%
Season at homeno games
Season away (5)90.888.4179.2+2.460%
Last 10 (10)78.888.2167.0-9.430%
Last 5 (5)90.888.4179.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)74.987.8162.7-12.912%
vs Similar (6)80.884.2165.0-3.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H15/07
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H21/07
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H28/07
SEABL
Albury
#11
W
109-84
109
84
+25
H05/08
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H13/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
65-107
65
107
-42
A19/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
H29/03
NBL 1
Knox
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H06/04
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A12/04
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
103-72
103
72
+31
H20/04
NBL 1
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
28-15
23-16
31-21
20-17
24-15
21-27
21-25
27-23
20-19
27-11
22-23
29-16
28-22
26-27
26-19
28-20
16-19
25-12
19-22
23-29
11-24
18-22
13-32
21-32
16-28
18-16
15-17
30-17
9-22
26-18
23-15
18-25
16-6
19-19
19-27
26-19
26-17
32-15
19-21
168.7Avg total
87.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.278.5161.8+4.850%
Season at home (3)87.079.0166.0+8.067%
Season away (1)72.077.0149.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)87.781.0168.7+6.770%
Last 5 (5)79.684.2163.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.292.4171.6-13.20%
vs Similar (6)81.085.7166.7-4.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.577.5168.1+13.084%
This opponent (BA CoE) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
BA CoEGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BA CoELast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H16/07
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/07
SEABL
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/07
SEABL
Dandenong
#2
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H30/07
SEABL
Ballarat
#5
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A05/08
SEABL
Dandenong
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A29/03
NBL 1
Ringwood
#16
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A30/03
NBL 1
Kilsyth
#7
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A31/03
NBL 1
Bendigo Braves
#5
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A05/04
NBL 1
Diamond Valley
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/04
NBL 1
83.6Avg total
39.6Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.141.979.0-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.440.177.5-2.730%-
Last 30 away (20)36.942.879.7-5.930%-
Last 10 (10)39.644.083.6-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.690.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.242.278.4-6.125%-
vs Similar (6)40.740.581.2+0.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H15/07
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H21/07
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H28/07
SEABL
Albury
#11
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H05/08
SEABL
Southern Sabres
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H13/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#3
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A19/08
SEABL
Nunawading
#2
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H29/03
NBL 1
Knox
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/04
NBL 1
Frankston
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A12/04
NBL 1
Eltham
#17
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H20/04
NBL 1
83.9Avg total
43.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.286.2+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.339.483.8+4.975%-
Last 30 away (14)43.645.489.0-1.757%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.583.9+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.883.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.250.485.6-15.220%-
vs Similar (6)39.846.786.5-6.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.638.686.3+9.089%-
This opponent (BA CoE) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BA CoE wins
3
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
25/03/17Geelong v BA CoE97-68
30/07/16Geelong v BA CoE100-79
02/08/15Geelong v BA CoE89-72
BA CoElast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/19ADiamond Valley86-84
05/04/19ABendigo Braves87-72
31/03/19AKilsyth88-93
30/03/19ARingwood94-105
29/03/19ADandenong99-88
05/08/17ABallarat76-87
30/07/17HDandenong58-81
23/07/17AMelbourne Tigers65-83
22/07/17ASouthern Sabres72-95
16/07/17HMt Gambier63-94
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/19HEltham103-72
12/04/19AFrankston72-77
06/04/19HKnox88-72
29/03/19HNunawading70-93
19/08/17ANunawading65-107
13/08/17HSouthern Sabres88-73
05/08/17HAlbury109-84
28/07/17HNunawading96-76
21/07/17HSouthern Sabres86-84
15/07/17HMelbourne Tigers100-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BA CoE
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
Home--
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games5-5
Win %60%-60%
Points / game90.8-90.8
Allowed / game88.4-88.4
Point differential+2.4-+2.4
Avg total179.2-179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%-40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
Geelong
NBL 1 2019
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game83.287.072.0
Allowed / game78.579.077.0
Point differential+4.8+8.0-5.0
Avg total161.8166.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Albury-Wodonga Bandits330100%103.086.0+17.0
2 Kilsyth440100%88.881.0+7.8
3 Ballarat330100%89.382.0+7.3
4 Nunawading54180%93.078.2+14.8
5 Waverley43175%89.286.0+3.2
6 NW Tasmania32167%92.383.3+9.0
7 BA CoE53260%90.888.4+2.4
8 Dandenong53260%83.482.4+1.0
9 Geelong42250%83.278.5+4.8
10 Melbourne Tigers42250%83.880.0+3.8
11 Bendigo Braves52340%81.884.6-2.8
12 Ringwood31233%94.797.0-2.3
13 Hobart Huskies31233%85.091.7-6.7
14 Knox41325%77.879.8-2.0
15 Eltham41325%81.094.5-13.5
16 Frankston51420%82.890.8-8.0
17 Diamond Valley4040%81.895.8-14.0
18 Southern Sabres4040%76.093.5-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BA CoE271891872
Geelong2110261673
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