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Bahcesehir Kol. vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-100
18-32 18-20 18-31 31-17
Position#7
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#14
Record3-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game95.0
EuropeEurocupRound 9· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKol.
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
92-76
92
76
+16
90avg 77
H22/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
65-83
65
83
-18
58avg 77
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
81avg 77
A29/10
Eurocup
Bursaspor
#12
W
77-75
77
75
+2
68avg 77
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
70avg 77
H05/11
Eurocup
Merkezefendi
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
88avg 77
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Aris
#13
W
86-76
86
76
+10
84avg 77
A11/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
73avg 77
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
91-99
91
99
-8
78avg 77
A18/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#6
W
91-77
91
77
+14
85avg 77
H22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
23-29
22-16
20-17
13-21
16-29
24-10
12-23
26-13
18-19
17-12
20-23
21-18
17-19
13-25
26-13
22-27
19-21
15-18
26-24
26-15
25-13
14-24
20-15
16-23
22-16
19-20
29-17
15-22
26-18
17-18
20-17
30-20
17-24
20-20
24-35
25-16
17-17
25-17
24-27
161.3Avg total
82.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.182.1173.2+9.075%
Season at home (3)89.080.0169.0+9.067%
Season away (5)92.483.4175.8+9.080%
Last 10 (10)82.878.5161.3+4.370%
Last 5 (5)86.278.8165.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.689.0172.6-5.414%
vs Similar (11)85.781.5167.3+4.282%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.276.3162.6+9.983%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
85avg 81
A18/10
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
97-88
97
88
+9
88avg 81
H21/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
117-113
117
113
+4
113avg 81
H26/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
91avg 81
A29/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 81
A02/11
LKL
Manresa
#10
W
100-87
100
87
+13
95avg 81
H05/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
85avg 81
H08/11
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
93-110
93
110
-17
78avg 81
A11/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
87avg 81
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
87-93
87
93
-6
76avg 81
H18/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
27-33
20-19
29-24
35-32
22-15
18-26
22-15
32-26
20-36
39-27
26-24
34-16
15-26
21-25
24-24
26-16
23-26
20-17
16-30
27-17
31-27
22-20
20-23
12-15
24-23
29-20
20-14
28-29
28-25
27-28
10-28
23-27
31-18
19-24
24-21
28-21
18-29
18-23
23-20
187.8Avg total
94.8Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.995.0185.9-4.138%
Season at home (4)96.593.8190.2+2.850%
Season away (4)85.296.2181.5-11.025%
Last 10 (10)94.893.0187.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)92.490.4182.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.993.9174.8-13.015%
vs Similar (8)94.892.1186.9+2.650%
vs Weaker (9)93.987.2181.1+6.778%
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
Bahcesehir Kol.Neptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bahcesehir Kol.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H22/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manresa
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A29/10
Eurocup
Bursaspor
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H05/11
Eurocup
Merkezefendi
#10
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Aris
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A11/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A16/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A18/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.5Avg total
42.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.183.3-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.181.5-0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.185.1-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.481.5+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.880.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.744.485.1-3.729%-
vs Similar (11)40.743.584.2-2.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.139.481.5+2.758%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A18/10
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H21/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H26/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A29/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A02/11
LKL
Manresa
#10
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H05/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H08/11
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A11/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H18/11
Eurocup
97.9Avg total
50.1Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.845.489.1-1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.143.989.9+2.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.846.788.4-4.944%-
Last 10 (10)50.147.897.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)50.046.296.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.146.286.3-6.246%-
vs Similar (8)44.845.890.5-1.050%-
vs Weaker (9)48.243.892.0+4.467%-
This opponent (Bahcesehir Kol.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bahcesehir Kol.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bahcesehir Kol.: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.9
56.6%
54.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.8
30.0%
34.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.716.8
77.4%
75.2%16.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.8
59.6%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.9
37.2%
34.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws25.619.7
77.0%
75.2%19.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bahcesehir Kol.
WLWWWLWWLW
Neptunas
LWLWWLWWWL
#7
League position
#14
+5.9
Net rating
+2.6
112.6
Offensive rating
122.7
106.7
Defensive rating
120.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
57.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.7%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
30.0%
3-point %
37.2%
66.2%
Assist %
59.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 122.7Defence106.7 · 120.1Shooting51.8% · 57.9%3-point %30.0% · 37.2%Ball care16.4% · 17.7%Off. rebounds32.8% · 35.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Bahcesehir Kol.   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bahcesehir Kol. wins
0
Neptunas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HTrabzonspor91-77
18/11/25ASlask Wroclaw91-99
16/11/25AAnadolu Efes78-75
11/11/25AAris86-76
08/11/25HMerkezefendi85-67
05/11/25HHapoel Jerusalem82-90
01/11/25ABursaspor77-75
29/10/25AManresa81-67
25/10/25HEsenler Erokspor65-83
22/10/25HCedevita Olimpija92-76
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25HAris87-93
15/11/25AJuventus97-90
11/11/25AHapoel Jerusalem93-110
08/11/25HJuventus85-72
05/11/25HManresa100-87
02/11/25ASiauliai85-89
29/10/25ACedevita Olimpija94-91
26/10/25HJonava117-113
21/10/25HHamburg97-88
18/10/25ARytas93-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bahcesehir Kol.
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%67%80%
Points / game91.189.092.4
Allowed / game82.180.083.4
Point differential+9.0+9.0+9.0
Avg total173.2169.0175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL38%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game90.996.585.2
Allowed / game95.093.896.2
Point differential-4.1+2.8-11.0
Avg total185.9190.2181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg87188%79.969.1+10.8
2 Buducnost86275%88.877.5+11.2
3 Cedevita Olimpija86275%87.677.9+9.8
4 Besiktas86275%91.481.8+9.6
5 Hapoel Jerusalem86275%96.086.8+9.2
6 Bahcesehir Kol.86275%91.182.1+9.0
7 Turk Telekom85362%87.578.4+9.1
8 Cluj-Napoca84450%96.894.0+2.8
9 Venezia84450%87.885.4+2.4
10 Slask Wroclaw84450%85.187.4-2.2
11 Aris84450%81.484.6-3.2
12 Ulm84450%87.094.5-7.5
13 Chemnitz83538%84.282.2+2.0
14 London Lions83538%76.980.4-3.5
15 Neptunas83538%90.995.0-4.1
16 Manresa83538%82.987.4-4.5
17 Trento83538%79.088.1-9.1
18 Lietkabelis82625%78.688.0-9.4
19 Panionios81712%75.288.5-13.2
20 Hamburg8080%77.496.4-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bahcesehir Kol.1818183185
Neptunas32203117100
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