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Siauliai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:10
Final 89-85
16-26 26-23 17-20 30-16
Position#4
Record3-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#3
Record4-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game89.5
LithuaniaLKL· Siauliu arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Siauliai v Neptunas
29 Apr 2027
SIA v NEP
upcoming
05 Dec 2026
SIA v NEP
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
SIA81
NEP90
02 Nov 2025
SIA89
NEP85
22 Mar 2025
SIA91
NEP78
19 Oct 2024
SIA108
NEP103
02 Oct 2024
SIA102
NEP82
05 May 2024
SIA104
NEP98
24 Sep 2023
SIA90
NEP82
15 Apr 2023
SIA87
NEP89
06 Dec 2022
SIA61
NEP60
21 Mar 2022
SIA84
NEP87
15 Feb 2022
SIA75
NEP77
21 Mar 2021
SIA99
NEP68
07 Jan 2021
SIA76
NEP91
08 Nov 2020
SIA93
NEP88
29 Apr 2020
SIA v NEP
upcoming
17 Nov 2019
SIA95
NEP102
26 Jan 2019
SIA103
NEP106
27 Oct 2018
SIA88
NEP98
14 Apr 2018
SIA77
NEP76
21 Sep 2017
SIA73
NEP82
18 Mar 2017
SIA65
NEP100
06 Nov 2016
SIA62
NEP110
06 May 2016
SIA86
NEP87
01 May 2016
SIA93
NEP84
13 Apr 2016
SIA79
NEP74
07 Nov 2015
SIA68
NEP75
19 Mar 2015
SIA67
NEP88
02 Oct 2014
SIA80
NEP90
07 May 2014
SIA95
NEP66
15 Apr 2014
SIA90
NEP79
06 Feb 2013
SIA81
NEP82
21 Apr 2012
SIA102
NEP92
16 Apr 2012
SIA89
NEP74
06 Oct 2011
SIA85
NEP76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
63avg 83
A24/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
93-78
93
78
+15
87avg 83
H27/09
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
95-92
95
92
+3
97avg 83
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 83
H05/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
80-88
80
88
-8
66avg 83
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
56avg 83
A12/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
89-83
89
83
+6
80avg 83
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
93-107
93
107
-14
87avg 83
A19/10
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
87-96
87
96
-9
77avg 83
A22/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
63avg 83
A25/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
9-27
25-20
18-23
19-19
31-16
17-19
26-24
20-19
26-26
22-23
27-24
19-16
22-26
24-22
22-16
22-26
19-29
27-22
12-11
18-20
23-28
16-13
16-25
26-24
30-17
17-23
16-19
18-25
28-26
19-27
28-29
29-32
13-26
27-24
18-14
24-32
21-25
21-21
13-16
174.5Avg total
84.8Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.389.0173.3-4.743%
Season at home (2)90.079.0169.0+11.0100%
Season away (5)82.093.0175.0-11.020%
Last 10 (10)84.889.7174.5-4.940%
Last 5 (5)84.293.2177.4-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)84.097.1181.1-13.119%
vs Similar (10)88.987.0175.9+1.970%
vs Weaker (4)97.092.2189.2+4.850%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
61avg 80
H27/09
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
85-95
85
95
-10
70avg 80
A30/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
92-85
92
85
+7
93avg 80
A04/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
102-107
102
107
-5
100avg 80
H07/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
102-74
102
74
+28
100avg 80
H11/10
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
69-89
69
89
-20
51avg 80
A15/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
85avg 80
A18/10
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
97-88
97
88
+9
88avg 80
H21/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
117-113
117
113
+4
113avg 80
H26/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
91avg 80
A29/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
17-20
17-20
21-21
21-28
24-19
24-23
16-25
22-16
28-27
25-13
17-29
28-19
28-29
22-29
24-30
28-18
19-18
29-16
26-22
10-27
16-24
21-23
22-15
17-21
27-33
20-19
29-24
35-32
22-15
18-26
22-15
32-26
20-36
39-27
26-24
34-16
15-26
21-25
24-24
184.5Avg total
92.2Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)95.289.5184.7+5.767%
Season at home (3)96.790.3187.0+6.367%
Season away (3)93.788.7182.3+5.067%
Last 10 (10)92.292.3184.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)94.095.6189.6-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.190.5170.5-10.427%
vs Similar (8)93.293.2186.5+0.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)96.387.3183.6+9.086%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
SiauliaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A24/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H27/09
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H05/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A12/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A19/10
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A22/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A25/10
LKL
91.9Avg total
43.7Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.748.694.3-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.345.493.7+2.971%-
Last 30 away (16)43.551.394.8-7.812%-
Last 10 (10)43.748.291.9-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)46.051.097.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)45.450.996.3-5.438%-
vs Similar (10)44.244.688.8-0.440%-
vs Weaker (4)50.849.2100.0+1.550%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/09
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A30/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A04/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H07/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H11/10
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A15/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A18/10
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H21/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H26/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A29/10
Eurocup
93.2Avg total
45.9Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.345.086.3-3.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.944.888.7-0.964%-
Last 30 away (16)38.945.284.2-6.331%-
Last 10 (10)45.947.393.2-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.651.296.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.744.482.1-6.740%-
vs Similar (8)41.547.188.6-5.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)48.644.092.6+4.671%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.0
52.2%
55.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.5
33.5%
35.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.719.8
80.2%
74.3%19.8
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.6
55.2%
55.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.2
35.7%
35.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.117.6
73.0%
74.3%17.6
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
LLLWLLWWWL
Neptunas
WWWLLWLWLL
#4
League position
#3
-6.8
Net rating
-0.8
109.7
Offensive rating
116.3
116.5
Defensive rating
117.0
51.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.5%
3-point %
35.7%
59.6%
Assist %
63.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 116.3Defence116.5 · 117.0Shooting51.5% · 54.5%3-point %33.5% · 35.7%Ball care17.1% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.4% · 35.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Siauliai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Siauliai wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
27/04/25Neptunas v Siauliai90-95
22/03/25Siauliai v Neptunas91-78
25/01/25Neptunas v Siauliai80-90
27/11/24Neptunas v Siauliai101-104 OT
19/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas108-103 OT
02/10/24Siauliai v Neptunas102-82
05/05/24Siauliai v Neptunas104-98
11/03/24Neptunas v Siauliai85-76
24/09/23Siauliai v Neptunas90-82
15/04/23Siauliai v Neptunas87-89
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25ARytas79-94
22/10/25AJuventus87-96
19/10/25ANevezis93-107
15/10/25HGargzdai89-83
12/10/25AJuventus73-86
09/10/25AJonava80-88
05/10/25HLietkabelis87-80
01/10/25HNevezis95-92
27/09/25HJonava93-78
24/09/25AZalgiris Kaunas72-93
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25ACedevita Olimpija94-91
26/10/25HJonava117-113
21/10/25HHamburg97-88
18/10/25ARytas93-97
15/10/25AVenezia69-89
11/10/25HGargzdai102-74
07/10/25HCluj-Napoca102-107
04/10/25ANevezis92-85
30/09/25ASlask Wroclaw85-95
27/09/25HZalgiris Kaunas71-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game84.390.082.0
Allowed / game89.079.093.0
Point differential-4.7+11.0-11.0
Avg total173.3169.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game95.296.793.7
Allowed / game89.590.388.7
Point differential+5.7+6.3+5.0
Avg total184.7187.0182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas76186%87.974.9+13.0
2 Rytas75271%89.080.3+8.7
3 Neptunas64267%95.289.5+5.7
4 Lietkabelis74357%87.783.4+4.3
5 Siauliai73443%84.389.0-4.7
6 Gargzdai62433%83.288.3-5.2
7 Nevezis62433%84.089.5-5.5
8 Juventus62433%79.886.2-6.3
9 Jonava61517%83.797.2-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siauliai1626173089
Neptunas2623201685
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