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Cedevita Olimpija vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 91-94
16-34 26-15 25-21 24-24
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#14
Record1-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game94.8
EuropeEurocupRound 5· Arena Sto
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Dubai
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
67avg 79
A20/05
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
60avg 79
H23/09
Supercup
Manresa
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
66avg 79
H01/10
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#8
W
117-81
117
81
+36
116avg 79
H05/10
ABA League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
99-84
99
84
+15
96avg 79
A08/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
71-88
71
88
-17
56avg 79
A11/10
ABA League
Aris
#13
W
80-59
80
59
+21
71avg 79
H14/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#9
W
97-72
97
72
+25
93avg 79
H19/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
76-92
76
92
-16
66avg 79
A22/10
Eurocup
KK Bosna
#11
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
89avg 79
A25/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
18-20
22-22
21-20
17-12
18-24
14-23
29-17
29-18
13-9
19-22
15-20
29-17
33-19
29-22
26-23
29-29
13-24
30-13
27-18
17-29
24-15
18-26
12-18
20-18
24-17
19-16
17-8
19-19
28-17
27-13
23-23
14-27
29-23
16-22
17-20
20-14
19-27
16-27
32-19
166.4Avg total
86.6Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.876.0158.8+6.875%
Season at home (2)78.064.0142.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)87.588.0175.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)86.679.8166.4+6.870%
Last 5 (5)84.080.6164.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.082.5158.5-6.525%
vs Similar (9)86.286.9173.1-0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.674.8163.3+13.888%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
96-84
96
84
+12
93avg 81
A20/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
61avg 81
H27/09
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
85-95
85
95
-10
70avg 81
A30/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
92-85
92
85
+7
93avg 81
A04/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
102-107
102
107
-5
100avg 81
H07/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
102-74
102
74
+28
100avg 81
H11/10
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
69-89
69
89
-20
51avg 81
A15/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
85avg 81
A18/10
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
97-88
97
88
+9
88avg 81
H21/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
117-113
117
113
+4
113avg 81
H26/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
18-18
29-22
23-23
16-23
17-20
17-20
21-21
21-28
24-19
24-23
16-25
22-16
28-27
25-13
17-29
28-19
28-29
22-29
24-30
28-18
19-18
29-16
26-22
10-27
16-24
21-23
22-15
17-21
27-33
20-19
29-24
35-32
22-15
18-26
22-15
32-26
20-36
39-27
26-24
184.0Avg total
92.4Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.294.8183.0-6.525%
Season at home (2)99.597.5197.0+2.050%
Season away (2)77.092.0169.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)92.491.6184.0+0.850%
Last 5 (5)95.692.2187.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.690.5169.1-11.920%
vs Similar (8)93.293.2186.5+0.038%
vs Weaker (7)96.387.3183.6+9.086%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
Cedevita OlimpijaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A20/05
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H23/09
Supercup
Manresa
#10
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H01/10
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#8
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H05/10
ABA League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A08/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/10
ABA League
Aris
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H14/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H19/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A22/10
Eurocup
KK Bosna
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/10
ABA League
82.9Avg total
42.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.284.1+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.339.183.3+5.260%-
Last 30 away (15)41.643.384.9-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.182.9+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.284.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.542.080.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (9)41.245.286.4-4.022%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.539.084.5+6.569%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A20/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/09
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A30/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A04/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H07/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H11/10
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A15/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A18/10
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H21/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H26/10
LKL
92.4Avg total
45.4Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.845.185.9-4.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.344.788.0-1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.345.583.7-7.227%-
Last 10 (10)45.447.092.4-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)45.250.095.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.744.581.3-7.833%-
vs Similar (8)41.547.188.6-5.638%-
vs Weaker (7)48.644.092.6+4.671%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.5
53.9%
54.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.9
37.5%
34.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.517.7
78.7%
75.2%17.7
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.4
55.9%
54.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.0
35.2%
34.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.516.8
71.5%
75.2%16.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita Olimpija
WLWWLWWWWL
Neptunas
WWLLWLWLLW
#5
League position
#14
+7.6
Net rating
+0.4
114.8
Offensive rating
116.7
107.2
Defensive rating
116.3
54.9%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.9%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.5%
3-point %
35.2%
58.1%
Assist %
63.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 116.7Defence107.2 · 116.3Shooting54.9% · 54.6%3-point %37.5% · 35.2%Ball care14.5% · 15.9%Off. rebounds28.2% · 34.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Cedevita Olimpija   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cedevita Olimpija wins
0
Neptunas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25AKK Bosna96-92 OT
22/10/25ABahcesehir Kol.76-92
19/10/25HZadar97-72
14/10/25HAris80-59
11/10/25ABuducnost71-88
08/10/25AHapoel Jerusalem99-84
05/10/25HMega Basket117-81
01/10/25HManresa76-69
23/09/25HKK Krka Novo mesto78-76
20/05/25ADubai76-85
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HJonava117-113
21/10/25HHamburg97-88
18/10/25ARytas93-97
15/10/25AVenezia69-89
11/10/25HGargzdai102-74
07/10/25HCluj-Napoca102-107
04/10/25ANevezis92-85
30/09/25ASlask Wroclaw85-95
27/09/25HZalgiris Kaunas71-84
20/09/25ALietkabelis96-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita Olimpija
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game82.878.087.5
Allowed / game76.064.088.0
Point differential+6.8+14.0-0.5
Avg total158.8142.0175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game88.299.577.0
Allowed / game94.897.592.0
Point differential-6.5+2.0-15.0
Avg total183.0197.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.440100%97.281.2+16.0
2 Besiktas54180%92.481.0+11.4
3 JL Bourg54180%77.267.8+9.4
4 Cedevita Olimpija43175%82.876.0+6.8
5 Manresa43175%82.577.8+4.8
6 Buducnost53260%88.679.8+8.8
7 Hapoel Jerusalem53260%93.486.0+7.4
8 Cluj-Napoca53260%97.694.4+3.2
9 Ulm53260%94.894.6+0.2
10 Turk Telekom42250%83.079.0+4.0
11 London Lions42250%71.880.8-9.0
12 Chemnitz52340%83.279.0+4.2
13 Venezia52340%90.088.4+1.6
14 Aris52340%79.485.2-5.8
15 Slask Wroclaw52340%82.488.4-6.0
16 Trento52340%75.485.8-10.4
17 Neptunas41325%88.294.8-6.5
18 Panionios51420%78.287.4-9.2
19 Lietkabelis51420%80.490.8-10.4
20 Hamburg5050%82.099.2-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita Olimpija1626252491
Neptunas3415212494
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