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Neptunas vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:10
Final 117-113
32-26 20-36 39-27 26-24
Position#3
Record3-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#8
Record1-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game93.2
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas v Jonava
21 Mar 2027
NEP v JON
upcoming
21 Nov 2026
NEP v JON
upcoming
17 May 2026
NEP95
JON89
26 Oct 2025
NEP117
JON113
05 Apr 2025
NEP97
JON98
13 Nov 2024
NEP111
JON110
29 Sep 2024
NEP90
JON87
10 Dec 2023
NEP69
JON64
26 Mar 2023
NEP76
JON70
04 Jan 2023
NEP80
JON85
31 Oct 2022
NEP77
JON93
26 Mar 2022
NEP75
JON78
24 Jan 2022
NEP75
JON87
29 Sep 2021
NEP89
JON74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-98
70
98
-28
64avg 80
H26/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
96-84
96
84
+12
93avg 80
A20/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
61avg 80
H27/09
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
85-95
85
95
-10
70avg 80
A30/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
92-85
92
85
+7
93avg 80
A04/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
102-107
102
107
-5
100avg 80
H07/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
102-74
102
74
+28
100avg 80
H11/10
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
69-89
69
89
-20
51avg 80
A15/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
85avg 80
A18/10
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
97-88
97
88
+9
88avg 80
H21/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
13-27
17-27
18-22
26-21
18-18
29-22
23-23
16-23
17-20
17-20
21-21
21-28
24-19
24-23
16-25
22-16
28-27
25-13
17-29
28-19
28-29
22-29
24-30
28-18
19-18
29-16
26-22
10-27
16-24
21-23
22-15
17-21
27-33
20-19
29-24
35-32
22-15
18-26
22-15
177.8Avg total
87.7Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.884.8175.6+6.060%
Season at home (2)86.579.0165.5+7.550%
Season away (3)93.788.7182.3+5.067%
Last 10 (10)87.790.1177.8-2.440%
Last 5 (5)92.691.0183.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.290.5169.8-11.219%
vs Similar (8)93.293.2186.5+0.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)92.883.0175.8+9.883%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-92
78
92
-14
68avg 78
A16/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
61avg 78
H18/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
66avg 78
H20/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
74-101
74
101
-27
66avg 78
A23/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
78-93
78
93
-15
66avg 78
A27/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
73-103
73
103
-30
63avg 78
A04/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
91avg 78
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
83avg 78
H12/10
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
83-97
83
97
-14
74avg 78
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#5
L
88-101
88
101
-13
83avg 78
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
25-23
13-24
22-29
22-15
15-16
19-31
17-19
14-22
11-19
25-21
28-25
13-21
17-31
21-21
23-28
19-19
16-31
19-17
24-26
8-32
21-27
23-21
21-23
26-22
29-19
22-27
11-12
19-23
19-21
19-23
29-15
28-14
16-22
10-34
29-27
15-32
28-29
21-20
24-20
171.6Avg total
79.9Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.893.2171.0-15.420%
Season at home (2)82.084.5166.5-2.550%
Season away (3)75.099.0174.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)79.991.7171.6-11.820%
Last 5 (5)83.692.6176.2-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)79.592.1171.6-12.611%
vs Similar (10)97.093.0190.0+4.080%
vs Weaker (2)111.570.5182.0+41.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
NeptunasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H26/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A20/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/09
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A30/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A04/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H07/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H11/10
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A15/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A18/10
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H21/10
Eurocup
89.4Avg total
43.7Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.544.585.0-3.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.843.586.3-0.767%-
Last 30 away (15)38.345.583.7-7.227%-
Last 10 (10)43.745.789.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.047.293.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.244.481.7-7.238%-
vs Similar (8)41.547.188.6-5.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.041.089.0+7.083%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H18/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H20/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A23/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A27/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
29-59
29
59
-30
A04/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H12/10
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#5
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
83.3Avg total
37.9Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.544.087.5-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.543.089.5+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)40.844.985.7-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)37.945.483.3-7.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.848.290.0-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.145.885.9-5.833%-
vs Similar (10)46.542.989.4+3.650%-
vs Weaker (2)59.033.092.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
55.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.216.2
73.0%
74.3%16.2
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.8
52.5%
55.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.3
32.0%
35.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.315.4
69.1%
74.3%15.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLLWLWLLWL
Jonava
LLWWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#8
-3.7
Net rating
-15.8
112.1
Offensive rating
103.6
115.8
Defensive rating
119.4
51.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.2%
Turnover %
19.2%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.1%
3-point %
32.0%
66.3%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 103.6Defence115.8 · 119.4Shooting51.8% · 50.9%3-point %33.1% · 32.0%Ball care16.2% · 19.2%Off. rebounds34.4% · 30.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Neptunas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Neptunas wins
4
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
20/05/25Jonava v Neptunas93-98 OT
05/04/25Neptunas v Jonava97-98
28/12/24Jonava v Neptunas86-82
13/11/24Neptunas v Jonava111-110 OT
15/10/24Jonava v Neptunas88-84
29/09/24Neptunas v Jonava90-87
08/04/24Jonava v Neptunas78-81
10/12/23Neptunas v Jonava69-64
29/10/23Jonava v Neptunas88-77
26/03/23Neptunas v Jonava76-70
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/25HHamburg97-88
18/10/25ARytas93-97
15/10/25AVenezia69-89
11/10/25HGargzdai102-74
07/10/25HCluj-Napoca102-107
04/10/25ANevezis92-85
30/09/25ASlask Wroclaw85-95
27/09/25HZalgiris Kaunas71-84
20/09/25ALietkabelis96-84
26/05/25HZalgiris Kaunas70-98
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25HNevezis88-101
15/10/25AJuventus83-97
12/10/25HNevezis86-82
09/10/25HSiauliai88-80
04/10/25AGargzdai73-103
27/09/25ASiauliai78-93
23/09/25ALietkabelis74-101
20/09/25HZalgiris Kaunas78-87
18/06/25HLietkabelis73-81
16/06/25ALietkabelis78-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game90.886.593.7
Allowed / game84.879.088.7
Point differential+6.0+7.5+5.0
Avg total175.6165.5182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game77.882.075.0
Allowed / game93.284.599.0
Point differential-15.4-2.5-24.0
Avg total171.0166.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas65183%89.374.8+14.5
2 Rytas65183%91.380.5+10.8
3 Neptunas53260%90.884.8+6.0
4 Lietkabelis74357%87.783.4+4.3
5 Siauliai73443%84.389.0-4.7
6 Gargzdai62433%83.288.3-5.2
7 Nevezis62433%84.089.5-5.5
8 Juventus62433%79.886.2-6.3
9 Jonava51420%77.893.2-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas32203926117
Jonava26362724113
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