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Neptunas vs Manresa Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 100-87
27-17 31-27 22-20 20-23
Position#14
Record2-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#10
Record3-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeEurocupRound 6· Svyturio Arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manresa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
85-95
85
95
-10
70avg 80
A30/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
92-85
92
85
+7
93avg 80
A04/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
102-107
102
107
-5
100avg 80
H07/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
102-74
102
74
+28
100avg 80
H11/10
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
69-89
69
89
-20
51avg 80
A15/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
85avg 80
A18/10
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
97-88
97
88
+9
88avg 80
H21/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
117-113
117
113
+4
113avg 80
H26/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
91avg 80
A29/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 80
A02/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
24-19
24-23
16-25
22-16
28-27
25-13
17-29
28-19
28-29
22-29
24-30
28-18
19-18
29-16
26-22
10-27
16-24
21-23
22-15
17-21
27-33
20-19
29-24
35-32
22-15
18-26
22-15
32-26
20-36
39-27
26-24
34-16
15-26
21-25
24-24
26-16
23-26
20-17
16-30
186.4Avg total
93.6Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.494.0183.4-4.640%
Season at home (2)99.597.5197.0+2.050%
Season away (3)82.791.7174.3-9.033%
Last 10 (10)93.692.8186.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)97.295.6192.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.991.1171.0-11.321%
vs Similar ◀ (8)93.293.2186.5+0.038%
vs Weaker (8)94.987.5182.4+7.475%
This opponent (Manresa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManresa
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
69-76
69
76
-7
66avg 77
A01/10
Eurocup
Tenerife
#8
L
93-104
93
104
-11
51avg 77
A04/10
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
74-62
74
62
+12
65avg 77
H08/10
Eurocup
Granada
#18
W
83-68
83
68
+15
74avg 77
H11/10
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
101-94
101
94
+7
99avg 77
H15/10
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#15
L
80-87
80
87
-7
70avg 77
H18/10
ACB
Aris
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 77
A21/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
56avg 77
A26/10
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
67-81
67
81
-14
54avg 77
H29/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
80avg 77
H01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
9-13
22-19
20-15
23-23
17-25
19-28
34-28
14-15
22-13
17-16
21-18
20-11
21-13
28-24
14-20
20-24
28-30
21-19
32-21
19-31
28-22
18-20
15-14
27-18
17-25
22-21
20-15
17-21
18-21
20-23
20-22
13-26
19-18
12-17
23-20
16-19
23-11
19-30
21-17
162.2Avg total
80.7Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.478.4157.8+1.060%
Season at home (3)80.779.0159.7+1.767%
Season away (2)77.577.5155.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)80.781.5162.2-0.850%
Last 5 (5)77.482.2159.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.384.3161.6-7.014%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.987.2173.1-1.344%
vs Weaker (13)86.683.7170.3+2.954%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.0+3.0
NeptunasManresa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A30/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A04/10
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H07/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H11/10
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A15/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A18/10
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H21/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H26/10
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A29/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A02/11
LKL
94.7Avg total
47.5Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.945.387.1-3.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.944.888.7-0.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.145.785.8-5.638%-
Last 10 (10)47.547.294.7+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)50.249.499.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.245.183.3-6.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.547.188.6-5.638%-
vs Weaker (8)48.643.892.4+4.975%-
This opponent (Manresa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManresaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A01/10
Eurocup
Tenerife
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A04/10
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H08/10
Eurocup
Granada
#18
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H11/10
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H15/10
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#15
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H18/10
ACB
Aris
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A21/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A26/10
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H29/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#7
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H01/11
ACB
79.7Avg total
38.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.985.0-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.743.086.7+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.983.4-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)38.940.879.7-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.481.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.443.779.1-8.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.342.988.2+2.467%-
vs Weaker (13)44.442.586.9+1.862%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.1
55.4%
54.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.6
38.3%
34.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws25.118.6
74.1%
75.2%18.6
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manresatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manresa: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.5
51.1%
54.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.2
32.9%
34.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.7
74.1%
75.2%15.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWWLLWLWL
Manresa
WLLWLWWWLL
#14
League position
#10
+0.5
Net rating
-0.3
117.8
Offensive rating
103.6
117.3
Defensive rating
103.9
56.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.3%
3-point %
32.9%
64.0%
Assist %
64.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 103.6Defence117.3 · 103.9Shooting56.2% · 50.5%3-point %38.3% · 32.9%Ball care17.9% · 18.9%Off. rebounds34.8% · 27.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ Manresa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
Manresa wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25ASiauliai85-89
29/10/25ACedevita Olimpija94-91
26/10/25HJonava117-113
21/10/25HHamburg97-88
18/10/25ARytas93-97
15/10/25AVenezia69-89
11/10/25HGargzdai102-74
07/10/25HCluj-Napoca102-107
04/10/25ANevezis92-85
30/09/25ASlask Wroclaw85-95
Manresalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25HBilbao79-77
29/10/25HBahcesehir Kol.67-81
26/10/25AReal Madrid75-87
21/10/25AAris86-79
18/10/25HGran Canaria80-87
15/10/25HHapoel Jerusalem101-94
11/10/25HGranada83-68
08/10/25HSlask Wroclaw74-62
04/10/25ATenerife93-104
01/10/25ACedevita Olimpija69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game89.499.582.7
Allowed / game94.097.591.7
Point differential-4.6+2.0-9.0
Avg total183.4197.0174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manresa
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game79.480.777.5
Allowed / game78.479.077.5
Point differential+1.0+1.7+0.0
Avg total157.8159.7155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.550100%94.078.4+15.6
2 JL Bourg65183%78.570.2+8.3
3 Turk Telekom64267%86.076.7+9.3
4 Besiktas64267%90.281.2+9.0
5 Buducnost64267%87.579.7+7.8
6 Hapoel Jerusalem53260%93.486.0+7.4
7 Cedevita Olimpija53260%84.479.6+4.8
8 Cluj-Napoca53260%97.694.4+3.2
9 Manresa53260%79.478.4+1.0
10 Ulm53260%94.894.6+0.2
11 Trento63350%75.883.8-8.0
12 Venezia52340%90.088.4+1.6
13 Neptunas52340%89.494.0-4.6
14 Aris52340%79.485.2-5.8
15 Slask Wroclaw52340%82.488.4-6.0
16 London Lions52340%72.882.4-9.6
17 Chemnitz62433%83.080.0+3.0
18 Lietkabelis61517%79.388.7-9.3
19 Panionios61517%76.388.7-12.3
20 Hamburg5050%82.099.2-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas27312220100
Manresa1727202387
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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