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Vaerlose vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-87
14-29 18-14 14-24 24-20
Position#6
Record8-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game86.7
Vaerlose
Denmark
vs
Bakken Bears 🏆
Denmark
Position#1
Record11-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game73.4
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vaerlose v Bakken Bears
18 Oct 2026
VAER82
BBE123
29 Dec 2025
VAER70
BBE87
12 Jan 2025
VAER73
BBE98
21 Mar 2024
VAER79
BBE103
03 Feb 2024
VAER76
BBE98
01 Oct 2022
VAER84
BBE75
21 Nov 2021
VAER64
BBE90
06 Oct 2020
VAER74
BBE106
10 Jan 2020
VAER71
BBE85
29 Mar 2019
VAER87
BBE98
14 Oct 2018
VAER78
BBE90
10 Nov 2017
VAER69
BBE94
17 Nov 2016
VAER56
BBE110
04 Mar 2015
VAER66
BBE90
22 Feb 2014
VAER76
BBE103
29 Sep 2013
VAER74
BBE85
21 Oct 2012
VAER69
BBE87
18 Jan 2012
VAER66
BBE79
09 Oct 2011
VAER64
BBE75
08 Dec 2010
VAER79
BBE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
57-115
57
115
-58
44avg 70
A15/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
60-74
60
74
-14
48avg 70
H26/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 70
H29/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
56avg 70
A02/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
H06/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
59-58
59
58
+1
56avg 70
A15/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 70
A20/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
94avg 70
H22/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 70
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
67-99
67
99
-32
54avg 70
H16/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-28
15-29
12-24
20-34
17-19
9-20
17-18
17-17
24-23
22-20
27-25
14-15
16-35
15-14
24-29
17-20
19-25
25-17
26-20
23-14
10-21
18-17
16-9
15-11
13-16
31-22
28-18
19-24
17-21
32-18
26-20
20-28
20-27
15-24
16-21
22-19
18-22
16-27
19-19
14-31
161.5Avg total
75.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.286.7163.9-9.557%
Season at home (7)78.688.4167.0-9.957%
Season away (7)75.985.0160.9-9.157%
Last 10 (10)75.486.1161.5-10.750%
Last 5 (5)77.083.0160.0-6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.496.1167.5-24.67%
vs Similar (15)86.782.3169.1+4.473%
vs Weaker (1)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#9
W
90-78
90
78
+12
95avg 90
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
119-57
119
57
+62
128avg 90
H02/11
Basketligaen
Anorthosis
#35
W
100-61
100
61
+39
104avg 90
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Szombathely
#16
L
79-90
79
90
-11
78avg 90
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
105-75
105
75
+30
107avg 90
A14/11
Basketligaen
Basket Zaragoza
#9
L
75-105
75
105
-30
57avg 90
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Horsens
#5
W
90-83
90
83
+7
88avg 90
H21/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
100-44
100
44
+56
106avg 90
A03/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
91-96
91
96
-5
86avg 90
A11/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
W
92-76
92
76
+16
87avg 90
H18/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
28-23
17-14
25-21
32-17
27-9
24-16
36-15
27-26
23-7
29-14
21-14
24-23
16-21
16-21
23-25
31-17
28-22
29-18
17-18
26-29
20-25
16-31
13-20
25-18
22-19
23-17
20-29
24-13
28-13
22-12
26-6
13-27
29-28
25-23
24-18
30-19
18-19
24-16
20-22
170.6Avg total
94.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)105.073.4178.4+31.692%
Season at home (7)109.673.4183.0+36.1100%
Season away (5)98.673.4172.0+25.280%
Last 10 (10)94.176.5170.6+17.670%
Last 5 (5)89.680.8170.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.591.5174.0-9.050%
vs Similar (8)85.681.6167.2+4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)102.776.9179.6+25.889%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +3.7+3.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +3.7+3.7
VaerloseBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
25-57
25
57
-32
A15/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H26/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H29/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A02/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H06/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A15/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A20/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H16/12
Basketligaen
80.7Avg total
36.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.246.486.6-6.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.746.988.5-5.247%-
Last 30 away (15)38.746.084.7-7.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.244.580.7-8.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.081.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)34.650.985.5-16.40%-
vs Similar (15)45.142.587.7+2.673%-
vs Weaker (1)44.042.086.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
59-26
59
26
+33
H02/11
Basketligaen
Anorthosis
#35
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Szombathely
#16
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
59-39
59
39
+20
A14/11
Basketligaen
Basket Zaragoza
#9
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Horsens
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H21/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
52-26
52
26
+26
A03/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A11/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H18/12
Basketligaen
88.6Avg total
49.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.240.089.2+9.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.840.291.0+10.581%-
Last 30 away (14)47.439.887.2+7.657%-
Last 10 (10)49.139.588.6+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.089.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.048.595.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (8)41.842.183.9-0.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)52.638.290.8+14.584%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.7
51.2%
54.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.66.8
27.6%
32.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws24.716.2
65.6%
70.1%16.2
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 93.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.320.3
62.8%
54.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.112.3
34.1%
32.9%36.9
🏀 Free throws23.316.0
68.7%
70.1%16.0
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLWWWWLWLL
Bakken Bears
WLWWLWLWWW
#6
League position
#1
-13.1
Net rating
+22.0
88.7
Offensive rating
114.8
101.8
Defensive rating
92.8
47.3%
Effective FG%
56.7%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.7%
24.8%
Turnover %
18.2%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.6%
3-point %
34.1%
62.4%
Assist %
76.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 114.8Defence101.8 · 92.8Shooting47.3% · 56.7%3-point %27.6% · 34.1%Ball care24.8% · 18.2%Off. rebounds23.6% · 32.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vaerlose wins
9
Bakken Bears wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Vaerlose v Bakken Bears73-98
19/10/24Bakken Bears v Vaerlose96-81
15/04/24Bakken Bears v Vaerlose103-86
21/03/24Vaerlose v Bakken Bears79-103
03/02/24Vaerlose v Bakken Bears76-98
05/11/23Bakken Bears v Vaerlose118-72
17/12/22Bakken Bears v Vaerlose101-45
09/12/22Bakken Bears v Vaerlose108-78
01/10/22Vaerlose v Bakken Bears84-75
19/02/22Bakken Bears v Vaerlose96-87
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25HTeam FOG Naestved67-99
12/12/25ACopenhagen73-91
22/11/25HBears Academy95-87
20/11/25AAmager91-80
15/11/25AVejen59-58
06/11/25HBMS Herlev93-76
02/11/25AHorsens72-98
29/10/25HHolbaek-Stenhus87-83
26/10/25HHorsens60-74
15/10/25ATeam FOG Naestved57-115
Bakken Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HRanders92-76
11/12/25ARanders91-96
03/12/25AVejen100-44
21/11/25HHorsens90-83
19/11/25ABasket Zaragoza75-105
14/11/25AHolbaek-Stenhus105-75
11/11/25HSzombathely79-90
05/11/25AAnorthosis100-61
02/11/25HHolbaek-Stenhus119-57
29/10/25HBasket Zaragoza90-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game77.278.675.9
Allowed / game86.788.485.0
Point differential-9.5-9.9-9.1
Avg total163.9167.0160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %92%100%80%
Points / game105.0109.698.6
Allowed / game73.473.473.4
Point differential+31.6+36.1+25.2
Avg total178.4183.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%71%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1211192%105.073.4+31.6
2 Team FOG Naestved1412286%109.083.9+25.1
3 Horsens1512380%86.573.4+13.1
4 Svendborg1411379%92.977.4+15.6
5 Randers1511473%93.484.3+9.1
6 Copenhagen1510567%89.384.2+5.1
7 Vaerlose148657%77.286.7-9.5
8 BMS Herlev1331023%80.992.2-11.3
9 Bears Academy1531220%77.997.9-19.9
10 Amager1521313%79.599.6-20.1
11 Holbaek-Stenhus141137%78.191.9-13.7
12 Vejen141137%72.692.9-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1418142470
Bakken Bears2914242087
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