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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-105
17-31 22-28 18-29 18-17
Position#11
Record1-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game92.2
vs
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game111.7
Allowed / game72.4
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2025-26
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Bakken Bears
30 Oct 2026
HOLB75
BBE105
14 Nov 2025
HOLB75
BBE105
25 Sep 2024
HOLB77
BBE103
29 Nov 2023
HOLB52
BBE109
20 Nov 2022
HOLB56
BBE96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bakken Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 68
H24/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
106-98
106
98
+8
96avg 68
A03/05
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
69avg 68
H23/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
67-95
67
95
-28
54avg 68
H28/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
76-102
76
102
-26
58avg 68
A02/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
A06/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
79avg 68
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
83-87
83
87
-4
69avg 68
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
57-119
57
119
-62
34avg 68
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
73-74
73
74
-1
58avg 68
H04/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
16-22
32-17
15-14
26-25
31-21
26-18
23-34
19-29
21-23
18-17
23-19
15-23
11-30
19-24
22-18
21-34
23-23
21-21
11-24
25-28
16-28
25-25
23-11
26-19
20-22
18-24
26-16
23-24
20-22
25-27
15-14
17-32
9-27
16-24
15-36
25-19
15-18
13-21
20-16
170.8Avg total
79.9Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.092.2169.2-15.212%
Season at home (4)77.884.5162.2-6.825%
Season away (4)76.2100.0176.2-23.80%
Last 10 (10)79.990.9170.8-11.030%
Last 5 (5)78.490.6169.0-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.297.8174.1-21.615%
vs Similar (13)89.985.8175.8+4.146%
vs Weaker (3)84.379.0163.3+5.3100%
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
122-71
122
71
+51
124avg 89
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
101-71
101
71
+30
107avg 89
A07/10
Basketligaen
Anorthosis
#35
L
94-102
94
102
-8
86avg 89
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bears Academy
#8
W
119-58
119
58
+61
125avg 89
H17/10
Basketligaen
Szombathely
#16
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 89
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
110-105
110
105
+5
107avg 89
H24/10
Basketligaen
Basket Zaragoza
#9
W
90-78
90
78
+12
95avg 89
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
119-57
119
57
+62
128avg 89
H02/11
Basketligaen
Anorthosis
#35
W
100-61
100
61
+39
104avg 89
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Szombathely
#16
L
79-90
79
90
-11
78avg 89
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
22-18
35-15
33-18
27-11
28-20
21-26
25-14
24-22
18-28
21-26
31-26
35-17
26-14
31-5
27-22
25-21
18-23
18-21
15-18
29-33
23-27
30-16
28-29
20-20
28-23
17-14
25-21
32-17
27-9
24-16
36-15
27-26
23-7
29-14
21-14
24-23
16-21
16-21
23-25
178.6Avg total
101.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)111.772.4184.1+39.3100%
Season at home (5)117.071.0188.0+46.0100%
Season away (2)98.576.0174.5+22.5100%
Last 10 (10)101.077.6178.6+23.470%
Last 5 (5)99.678.2177.8+21.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.078.0168.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (10)84.183.3167.4+0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)100.975.6176.5+25.394%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +6.2+6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +6.2+6.2
Holbaek-StenhusBakken Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#11
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H24/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A03/05
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H23/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H28/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A02/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A06/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/11
Basketligaen
88.2Avg total
39.3Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.648.188.7-7.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.746.486.1-6.743%-
Last 30 away (16)41.449.690.9-8.219%-
Last 10 (10)39.348.988.2-9.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.247.887.0-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.650.587.1-13.815%-
vs Similar (13)45.346.992.2-1.646%-
vs Weaker (3)38.741.079.7-2.333%-
This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A07/10
Basketligaen
Anorthosis
#35
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bears Academy
#8
W
61-31
61
31
+30
H17/10
Basketligaen
Szombathely
#16
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H24/10
Basketligaen
Basket Zaragoza
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
59-26
59
26
+33
H02/11
Basketligaen
Anorthosis
#35
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Szombathely
#16
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
90.4Avg total
50.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.639.487.0+8.270%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.140.090.1+10.182%-
Last 30 away (13)44.438.783.1+5.754%-
Last 10 (10)50.440.090.4+10.460%-
Last 5 (5)49.841.291.0+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.043.091.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (10)39.842.682.4-2.830%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)51.937.389.2+14.689%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.019.9
47.4%
54.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.67.7
26.9%
32.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.316.2
72.6%
70.1%16.2
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 100.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.422.9
68.6%
54.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.513.6
35.3%
32.9%40.8
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.1%14.0
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLWLLLLWW
Bakken Bears
LWWWWLWLWW
#11
League position
#1
-10.7
Net rating
+29.3
94.7
Offensive rating
121.3
105.4
Defensive rating
92.0
44.5%
Effective FG%
60.2%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
20.1%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
39.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
26.9%
3-point %
35.3%
48.6%
Assist %
76.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.7 · 121.3Defence105.4 · 92.0Shooting44.5% · 60.2%3-point %26.9% · 35.3%Ball care20.1% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.7% · 39.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Bakken Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
7
Bakken Bears wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25HCopenhagen73-74
02/11/25ABakken Bears57-119
29/10/25AVaerlose83-87
23/10/25HVejen90-81
06/10/25ABMS Herlev89-92
02/10/25ARanders76-102
28/09/25HHorsens67-95
23/09/25HVaerlose81-88
03/05/25AAmager106-98
24/04/25HBears Academy77-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25HSzombathely79-90
05/11/25AAnorthosis100-61
02/11/25HHolbaek-Stenhus119-57
29/10/25HBasket Zaragoza90-78
24/10/25HTeam FOG Naestved110-105
22/10/25ASzombathely76-83
17/10/25HBears Academy119-58
15/10/25HAnorthosis94-102
07/10/25ABears Academy101-71
03/10/25HAmager122-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game77.077.876.2
Allowed / game92.284.5100.0
Point differential-15.2-6.8-23.8
Avg total169.2162.2176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bakken Bears
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game111.7117.098.5
Allowed / game72.471.076.0
Point differential+39.3+46.0+22.5
Avg total184.1188.0174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%80%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears770100%111.772.4+39.3
2 Team FOG Naestved109190%109.683.4+26.2
3 Horsens98189%87.070.6+16.4
4 Randers107370%94.682.6+12.0
5 Svendborg96367%92.980.1+12.8
6 Copenhagen106460%88.184.8+3.3
7 Vaerlose95456%77.388.8-11.4
8 BMS Herlev83538%82.988.8-5.9
9 Holbaek-Stenhus81712%77.092.2-15.2
10 Vejen81712%73.595.4-21.9
11 Bears Academy101910%76.2102.5-26.3
12 Amager100100%79.9104.2-24.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus1722181875
Bakken Bears31282917105
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