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BAL Weert vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 70-77
13-20 28-18 21-19 8-20
Position#18
Record2-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#3
Record13-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game74.7
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Boshoven
Other2024-25
Meetings · BAL Weert v Mechelen
25 Oct 2025
BAL 71
MECH77
25 Jan 2025
BAL 70
MECH77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BAL Weert winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BAL WeertLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWeert
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#10
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 59
A09/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
65-88
65
88
-23
57avg 59
H16/11
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
67-79
67
79
-12
59avg 59
H29/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
65-87
65
87
-22
52avg 59
A01/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
61-88
61
88
-27
48avg 59
H07/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#4
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
no box
H11/12
DBL Cup
Circus Brussels
#5
L
61-79
61
79
-18
52avg 59
A15/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
61-66
61
66
-5
51avg 59
H21/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
57-74
57
74
-17
52avg 59
A26/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
51-72
51
72
-21
34avg 59
H11/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
19-25
11-20
16-18
13-19
14-24
21-31
17-14
18-9
18-22
13-19
18-29
24-21
10-20
17-31
14-15
15-20
13-22
16-25
17-21
16-16
18-29
29-27
17-8
10-19
20-24
10-20
21-16
14-17
17-14
20-13
10-22
10-21
15-16
15-21
17-16
12-16
17-16
9-17
13-23
145.9Avg total
65.2Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)68.883.4152.2-14.612%
Season at home (8)68.182.1150.2-14.012%
Season away (9)69.384.6153.9-15.211%
Last 10 (10)65.280.7145.9-15.50%
Last 5 (5)64.277.2141.4-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)68.583.8152.4-15.314%
vs Similar (1)80.0101.0181.0-21.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 75
A29/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
87-65
87
65
+22
89avg 75
H01/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 75
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
75-48
75
48
+27
72avg 75
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 75
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
76-65
76
65
+11
65avg 75
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
60avg 75
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
72-69
72
69
+3
44avg 75
H18/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
19-20
25-25
20-18
21-24
20-10
31-17
15-14
19-8
23-24
24-18
15-19
14-9
22-15
20-14
19-10
23-19
21-31
30-19
26-24
21-18
21-17
19-14
15-16
24-19
15-17
18-30
25-20
17-17
15-28
26-11
15-22
10-18
22-20
23-5
20-26
19-27
18-17
20-11
15-14
154.2Avg total
80.5Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.174.7154.8+5.472%
Season at home (9)81.271.9153.1+9.389%
Season away (9)79.077.4156.4+1.656%
Last 10 (10)80.573.7154.2+6.870%
Last 5 (5)75.673.4149.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.886.8166.5-7.025%
vs Similar (11)76.476.2152.5+0.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.871.8157.6+14.093%
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
BAL WeertMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BAL WeertLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#10
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A09/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H16/11
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H29/11
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A01/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H07/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H11/12
DBL Cup
Circus Brussels
#5
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H21/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A26/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H11/01
BNXT League
70.6Avg total
32.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.041.376.4-6.320%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.440.676.1-5.221%-
Last 30 away (16)34.741.976.6-7.219%-
Last 10 (10)32.038.670.6-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)29.837.667.4-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)34.941.075.8-6.121%-
vs Similar (1)41.048.089.0-7.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A29/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Zwolle
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/01
BNXT League
77.4Avg total
38.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.637.579.0+4.172%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.035.778.7+7.387%-
Last 30 away (14)40.039.479.4+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.077.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.676.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.241.881.0-2.550%-
vs Similar (11)40.437.978.3+2.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.135.979.1+7.286%-
This opponent (BAL Weert) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BAL Weerttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BAL Weert: 63.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.3
45.9%
52.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.2
24.3%
34.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws15.410.1
65.6%
71.9%10.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.7
52.3%
52.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.7
31.7%
34.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.815.8
76.0%
71.9%15.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BAL Weert
LLLLLLLLLL
Mechelen
WWLLWWWWWL
#18
League position
#3
-23.2
Net rating
+13.8
86.3
Offensive rating
108.6
109.4
Defensive rating
94.8
42.1%
Effective FG%
50.5%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
20.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
24.3%
3-point %
31.7%
62.1%
Assist %
50.4%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence86.3 · 108.6Defence109.4 · 94.8Shooting42.1% · 50.5%3-point %24.3% · 31.7%Ball care20.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.1% · 30.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ BAL Weert   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BAL Weert wins
1
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Mechelen v BAL Weert87-65
BAL Weertlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HDen Bosch51-72
26/12/24ALeuven Bears57-74
21/12/24HOkapi Aalst61-66
15/12/24ACircus Brussels61-79
11/12/24HRotterdam91-95 OT
07/12/24HAntwerp Giants61-88
01/12/24AMechelen65-87
29/11/24HFeyenoord67-79
16/11/24HLeiden65-88
09/11/24ALWD Basket73-79
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HDen Bosch72-69
12/01/25AZwolle75-69
05/01/25ALeuven Bears73-78
03/01/25HLeuven Bears82-86
26/12/24HLimburg76-65
21/12/24HFeyenoord100-93
14/12/24ADen Helder75-48
07/12/24ALeiden81-69
01/12/24HBAL Weert87-65
29/11/24ADen Bosch84-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BAL Weert
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %12%12%11%
Points / game68.868.169.3
Allowed / game83.482.184.6
Point differential-14.6-14.0-15.2
Avg total152.2150.2153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%11%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%89%56%
Points / game80.181.279.0
Allowed / game74.771.977.4
Point differential+5.4+9.3+1.6
Avg total154.8153.1156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1816289%91.977.0+14.9
2 Kortrijk1915479%97.279.0+18.2
3 Limburg1813572%81.673.7+7.9
4 Mechelen1813572%80.174.7+5.4
5 Leuven Bears1811761%80.473.2+7.2
6 LWD Basket1811761%82.280.6+1.6
7 Circus Brussels1811761%76.475.8+0.6
8 Spirou Charleroi1810856%79.574.2+5.3
9 Okapi Aalst1810856%80.978.6+2.4
10 Antwerp Giants179853%78.578.8-0.3
11 Belfius Mons189950%80.479.4+1.0
12 Leiden1991047%76.880.1-3.3
13 Den Bosch1881044%80.382.2-1.9
14 Zwolle1871139%81.586.7-5.2
15 Donar Groningen1751229%76.685.1-8.5
16 Feyenoord1851328%80.889.4-8.6
17 Den Helder1951426%70.783.1-12.4
18 BAL Weert1721512%68.883.4-14.6
19 QSTA Utd1821611%77.288.4-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BAL Weert132821870
Mechelen2018192077
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