PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zwolle vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 69-75
18-10 20-22 5-23 26-20
Position#15
Record7-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game86.4
Zwolle
vs
Mechelen 🏆
Position#3
Record11-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game75.4
EuropeBNXT League· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Zwolle v Mechelen
18 Apr 2027
ZWO v MECH
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
ZWO72
MECH67
12 Jan 2025
ZWO69
MECH75
14 Apr 2023
ZWO84
MECH81
18 Mar 2022
ZWO56
MECH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
55avg 69
A08/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
77-81
77
81
-4
68avg 69
H17/11
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
83-75
83
75
+8
77avg 69
H28/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
66avg 69
A01/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
94-96
94
96
-2
89avg 69
A08/12
BNXT League
US Basketball Amsterdam
#13
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Kortrijk
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
58avg 69
H15/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
65-83
65
83
-18
43avg 69
H22/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
98-84
98
84
+14
95avg 69
H27/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
L
69-88
69
88
-19
no box
A04/01
DBL Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
16-22
13-22
23-17
16-21
17-16
24-20
20-24
15-20
26-19
24-18
18-18
23-27
14-24
13-21
29-19
20-27
25-20
26-26
23-23
–
–
–
–
21-14
19-28
12-21
19-26
13-22
13-26
21-22
18-13
19-25
23-18
26-22
30-19
16-25
21-20
16-25
16-18
164.6Avg total
80.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.686.4168.9-3.844%
Season at home (9)82.482.6165.0-0.156%
Season away (7)82.791.3174.0-8.629%
Last 10 (10)80.484.2164.6-3.830%
Last 5 (5)79.682.8162.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.484.8158.1-11.47%
vs Similar (8)74.683.6158.2-9.025%
vs Weaker (7)90.178.3168.4+11.986%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#13
W
93-78
93
78
+15
no box
H13/11
Belgian Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
82-70
82
70
+12
76avg 75
A17/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 75
A29/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
87-65
87
65
+22
89avg 75
H01/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 75
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
75-48
75
48
+27
72avg 75
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 75
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
76-65
76
65
+11
65avg 75
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
14-24
27-10
19-28
22-8
20-32
19-20
25-25
20-18
21-24
20-10
31-17
15-14
19-8
23-24
24-18
15-19
14-9
22-15
20-14
19-10
23-19
21-31
30-19
26-24
21-18
21-17
19-14
15-16
24-19
15-17
18-30
25-20
17-17
15-28
26-11
15-22
158.0Avg total
83.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.975.4156.3+5.669%
Season at home (8)82.472.2154.6+10.188%
Season away (8)79.578.5158.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)83.374.7158.0+8.670%
Last 5 (5)81.274.0155.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.886.8166.5-7.025%
vs Similar (11)77.777.7155.5+0.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.970.8157.7+16.193%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
ZwolleMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limburg
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A08/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H17/11
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A01/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A08/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H15/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H22/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H27/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/01
DBL Cup
81.8Avg total
37.6Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.543.180.6-5.621%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.141.380.4-2.229%-
Last 30 away (15)36.144.780.8-8.713%-
Last 10 (9)37.644.281.8-6.711%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.083.0-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.544.080.5-7.57%-
vs Similar (8)34.643.177.8-8.512%-
vs Weaker (7)42.941.184.0+1.757%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A29/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Leuven Bears
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A05/01
Belgian Cup
77.6Avg total
39.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.337.179.4+5.379%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.435.178.5+8.493%-
Last 30 away (15)41.338.980.3+2.467%-
Last 10 (9)39.638.077.6+1.667%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.076.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.241.881.0-2.550%-
vs Similar (11)41.337.578.8+3.773%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.135.479.4+8.793%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.8
54.9%
52.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
34.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
71.9%12.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.5
54.4%
52.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.4
32.7%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.116.1
76.3%
71.9%16.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
LWLLWLLWLL
Mechelen
LLWWWWWLWW
#15
League position
#3
-5.2
Net rating
+12.7
109.3
Offensive rating
109.6
114.5
Defensive rating
96.9
53.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
18.3%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.3%
3-point %
32.7%
56.3%
Assist %
54.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 109.6Defence114.5 · 96.9Shooting53.0% · 52.5%3-point %33.3% · 32.7%Ball care14.8% · 18.3%Off. rebounds24.2% · 31.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Zwolle   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zwolle wins
4
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
05/10/24Mechelen v Zwolle92-69
14/04/23Zwolle v Mechelen84-81
25/03/23Mechelen v Zwolle101-62
23/04/22Mechelen v Zwolle92-84
18/03/22Zwolle v Mechelen56-70
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ADen Bosch69-88
27/12/24HFeyenoord98-84
22/12/24HDonar Groningen65-83
15/12/24HKortrijk71-89
11/12/24AUS Basketball Amsterdam95-70
08/12/24ADen Bosch94-96
01/12/24ADen Helder79-91
28/11/24HQSTA Utd83-75
17/11/24HAntwerp Giants77-81
08/11/24ALimburg73-85
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25ALeuven Bears73-78
03/01/25HLeuven Bears82-86
26/12/24HLimburg76-65
21/12/24HFeyenoord100-93
14/12/24ADen Helder75-48
07/12/24ALeiden81-69
01/12/24HBAL Weert87-65
29/11/24ADen Bosch84-95
17/11/24AQSTA Utd82-70
13/11/24HBelfius Mons93-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeLWLLW56%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %44%56%29%
Points / game82.682.482.7
Allowed / game86.482.691.3
Point differential-3.8-0.1-8.6
Avg total168.9165.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game80.982.479.5
Allowed / game75.472.278.5
Point differential+5.6+10.1+1.0
Avg total156.3154.6158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1715288%91.677.1+14.5
2 Kortrijk1612475%96.080.0+16.0
3 Limburg1611569%81.373.6+7.7
4 Mechelen1611569%80.975.4+5.6
5 Circus Brussels1711665%75.674.5+1.1
6 Antwerp Giants159660%79.378.5+0.9
7 Leuven Bears1710759%79.073.0+6.0
8 Spirou Charleroi169756%80.474.2+6.2
9 LWD Basket169756%80.981.6-0.6
10 Okapi Aalst179853%79.977.9+2.1
11 Belfius Mons168850%80.679.2+1.3
12 Leiden1881044%76.480.7-4.3
13 Den Bosch167944%79.681.8-2.2
14 Zwolle167944%82.686.4-3.8
15 Donar Groningen1551033%75.081.3-6.3
16 Feyenoord1651131%81.188.9-7.8
17 Den Helder1751229%71.383.3-12.0
18 QSTA Utd1621412%78.187.5-9.4
19 BAL Weert1721512%68.883.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zwolle182052669
Mechelen1022232075
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.