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Leuven Bears vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 78-73
17-17 28-15 11-26 22-15
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#8
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game82.0
BelgiumBelgian CupBelgian Cup - Quarter-finals· Sportoase
Other2024
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Mechelen
14 Nov 2026
LEUV v MECH
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
LEUV71
MECH77
12 Mar 2025
LEUV90
MECH93
05 Jan 2025
LEUV78
MECH73
31 Oct 2023
LEUV73
MECH84
05 May 2023
LEUV86
MECH62
04 Feb 2023
LEUV72
MECH68
16 May 2022
LEUV95
MECH86
12 May 2022
LEUV40
MECH86
06 Nov 2021
LEUV75
MECH69
07 Feb 2021
LEUV54
MECH83
15 Mar 2020
LEUV v MECH
upcoming
12 Apr 2019
LEUV78
MECH71
20 Oct 2018
LEUV76
MECH68
03 Oct 2018
LEUV73
MECH74
03 Mar 2018
LEUV63
MECH77
22 Sep 2017
LEUV76
MECH85
04 Mar 2017
LEUV76
MECH90
19 Oct 2016
LEUV84
MECH80
07 May 2016
LEUV86
MECH95
05 Mar 2016
LEUV90
MECH88
11 Apr 2015
LEUV83
MECH87
20 Dec 2014
LEUV86
MECH75
08 Feb 2014
LEUV106
MECH120
30 Nov 2013
LEUV93
MECH86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Falco Gent
#14
W
96-63
96
63
+33
no box
A06/11
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 70
H09/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 70
A13/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
81-97
81
97
-16
70avg 70
A16/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 70
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
60-70
60
70
-10
52avg 70
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
93-85
93
85
+8
99avg 70
A15/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
90-85
90
85
+5
81avg 70
H20/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
74-57
74
57
+17
69avg 70
H26/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
no box
A03/01
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
21-23
18-28
17-25
21-15
19-26
24-23
15-12
18-21
29-31
15-26
22-17
15-23
14-24
20-20
17-7
22-18
21-15
12-21
12-19
15-15
26-23
26-18
14-17
27-27
13-18
20-18
25-24
32-25
21-10
16-15
21-15
16-17
19-24
17-15
30-18
20-25
158.7Avg total
80.6Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.072.5163.5+18.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)91.072.5163.5+18.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.678.1158.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)80.675.8156.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.084.7154.7-14.70%
vs Similar (9)75.276.1151.3-0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.270.1151.2+11.182%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#9
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 75
H09/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#13
W
93-78
93
78
+15
no box
H13/11
Belgian Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
82-70
82
70
+12
76avg 75
A17/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 75
A29/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
87-65
87
65
+22
89avg 75
H01/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 75
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
75-48
75
48
+27
72avg 75
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 75
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
76-65
76
65
+11
65avg 75
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
20-16
20-17
22-17
–
–
–
–
14-24
27-10
19-28
22-8
20-32
19-20
25-25
20-18
21-24
20-10
31-17
15-14
19-8
23-24
24-18
15-19
14-9
22-15
20-14
19-10
23-19
21-31
30-19
26-24
21-18
21-17
19-14
15-16
24-19
15-17
18-30
25-20
157.6Avg total
83.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.582.0169.5+5.550%
Season at home (2)87.582.0169.5+5.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.973.7157.6+10.280%
Last 5 (5)82.872.2155.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)82.089.7171.7-7.733%
vs Similar (11)77.777.7155.5+0.055%
vs Weaker (15)86.171.4157.5+14.787%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
Leuven BearsMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H09/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A13/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A16/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A15/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H26/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A03/01
Belgian Cup
81.0Avg total
39.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.638.478.0+1.252%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.835.174.8+4.762%-
Last 30 away (16)39.441.180.6-1.744%-
Last 10 (9)39.042.081.0-3.022%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.473.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.048.785.7-11.70%-
vs Similar (9)38.141.179.2-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.835.276.0+5.671%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belfius Mons
#9
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/11
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A29/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/01
Belgian Cup
76.9Avg total
40.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.636.979.5+5.779%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.235.478.6+7.887%-
Last 30 away (14)42.038.580.5+3.571%-
Last 10 (9)40.136.876.9+3.378%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.476.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.740.782.3+1.067%-
vs Similar (11)41.337.578.8+3.773%-
vs Weaker (15)43.835.779.5+8.187%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
41%
38%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
52.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
34.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.614.2
62.8%
68.0%14.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 49%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
41%
38%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.5
54.4%
52.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.4
32.7%
34.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.116.1
76.3%
68.0%16.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 49%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WWWWLWLLLW
Mechelen
LWWWWWLWWW
#2
League position
#8
+1.2
Net rating
+12.7
103.3
Offensive rating
109.6
102.1
Defensive rating
96.9
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
21.1%
Turnover %
18.3%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.4%
3-point %
32.7%
64.8%
Assist %
54.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 109.6Defence102.1 · 96.9Shooting51.3% · 52.5%3-point %34.4% · 32.7%Ball care21.1% · 18.3%Off. rebounds33.9% · 31.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Leuven Bears wins
7
Mechelen wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AMechelen86-82
26/12/24HBAL Weert74-57
20/12/24HQSTA Utd90-85
15/12/24AFeyenoord93-85
07/12/24HBelfius Mons60-70
01/12/24HSpirou Charleroi73-69
16/11/24ALWD Basket81-97
13/11/24ADen Bosch76-82
09/11/24HOostende77-91
06/11/24AFalco Gent96-63
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HLeuven Bears82-86
26/12/24HLimburg76-65
21/12/24HFeyenoord100-93
14/12/24ADen Helder75-48
07/12/24ALeiden81-69
01/12/24HBAL Weert87-65
29/11/24ADen Bosch84-95
17/11/24AQSTA Utd82-70
13/11/24HBelfius Mons93-78
09/11/24HBelfius Mons79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
Belgian Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game91.0-91.0
Allowed / game72.5-72.5
Point differential+18.5-+18.5
Avg total163.5-163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Mechelen
Belgian Cup 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game87.587.5-
Allowed / game82.082.0-
Point differential+5.5+5.5-
Avg total169.5169.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende220100%99.571.0+28.5
2 Kortrijk220100%105.582.0+23.5
3 Leuven Bears220100%91.072.5+18.5
4 Limburg220100%86.068.0+18.0
5 Mechelen21150%87.582.0+5.5
6 Antwerp Giants21150%72.072.0+0.0
7 Spirou Charleroi21150%70.076.0-6.0
8 Okapi Aalst21150%77.592.0-14.5
9 Mailleux Comblain1010%73.076.0-3.0
10 Brussels Basketball1010%95.099.0-4.0
11 SKT Ieper1010%63.072.0-9.0
12 Avanti Brugge1010%72.086.0-14.0
13 Belfius Mons1010%78.093.0-15.0
14 Falco Gent1010%63.096.0-33.0
15 Leuven Bears B1010%68.0101.0-33.0
16 Croonen Lommel1010%74.0110.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears1728112278
Mechelen1715261573
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