PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mechelen vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-86
24-19 15-17 18-30 25-20
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game78.0
Mechelen
Belgium
vs
Leuven Bears 🏆
Belgium
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game63.0
BelgiumBelgian CupBelgian Cup - Quarter-finals· Stedelijke Sporthal Winketkaai
Other2024
Meetings · Mechelen v Leuven Bears
13 Mar 2027
MECH v LEUV
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
MECH57
LEUV81
03 Jan 2025
MECH82
LEUV86
02 Nov 2024
MECH72
LEUV67
10 Apr 2024
MECH90
LEUV76
16 Dec 2023
MECH72
LEUV69
07 May 2023
MECH98
LEUV89
03 May 2023
MECH75
LEUV62
21 Jan 2023
MECH91
LEUV75
18 May 2022
MECH77
LEUV69
14 May 2022
MECH78
LEUV75
10 May 2022
MECH63
LEUV72
29 Jan 2022
MECH74
LEUV65
05 Feb 2021
MECH70
LEUV79
06 Dec 2019
MECH63
LEUV73
13 Apr 2019
MECH77
LEUV68
12 Jan 2019
MECH75
LEUV92
26 Sep 2018
MECH74
LEUV90
17 Mar 2018
MECH88
LEUV85
03 Dec 2017
MECH90
LEUV86
22 Apr 2017
MECH78
LEUV67
26 Dec 2016
MECH100
LEUV67
08 Apr 2016
MECH84
LEUV63
03 Dec 2015
MECH85
LEUV80
06 Mar 2015
MECH79
LEUV73
08 Oct 2014
MECH80
LEUV86
30 Mar 2014
MECH86
LEUV94
05 Oct 2013
MECH79
LEUV88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mechelen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MechelenBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
W
72-67
72
67
+5
70avg 75
H02/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 75
H09/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#13
W
93-78
93
78
+15
no box
H13/11
Belgian Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
82-70
82
70
+12
76avg 75
A17/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 75
A29/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
87-65
87
65
+22
89avg 75
H01/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 75
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
75-48
75
48
+27
72avg 75
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 75
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
76-65
76
65
+11
65avg 75
H26/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
21-13
24-20
12-15
17-18
20-16
20-17
22-17
–
–
–
–
14-24
27-10
19-28
22-8
20-32
19-20
25-25
20-18
21-24
20-10
31-17
15-14
19-8
23-24
24-18
15-19
14-9
22-15
20-14
19-10
23-19
21-31
30-19
26-24
21-18
21-17
19-14
15-16
154.7Avg total
82.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.078.0171.0+15.0100%
Season at home (1)93.078.0171.0+15.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.971.8154.7+11.190%
Last 5 (5)83.868.0151.8+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)82.091.5173.5-9.550%
vs Similar (11)77.777.7155.5+0.055%
vs Weaker (16)85.172.6157.8+12.581%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
L
67-72
67
72
-5
52avg 70
A02/11
BNXT League
Falco Gent
#14
W
96-63
96
63
+33
no box
A06/11
Belgian Cup
Oostende
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 70
H09/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 70
A13/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
81-97
81
97
-16
70avg 70
A16/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 70
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
60-70
60
70
-10
52avg 70
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
93-85
93
85
+8
99avg 70
A15/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
90-85
90
85
+5
81avg 70
H20/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
74-57
74
57
+17
69avg 70
H26/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
13-21
20-24
15-12
–
–
–
–
21-23
18-28
17-25
21-15
19-26
24-23
15-12
18-21
29-31
15-26
22-17
15-23
14-24
20-20
17-7
22-18
21-15
12-21
12-19
15-15
26-23
26-18
14-17
27-27
13-18
20-18
25-24
32-25
21-10
16-15
21-15
16-17
155.8Avg total
78.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)96.063.0159.0+33.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)96.063.0159.0+33.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.777.1155.8+1.650%
Last 5 (5)78.073.2151.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.084.7154.7-14.70%
vs Similar (9)75.276.1151.3-0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.969.9151.8+12.082%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
MechelenLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H02/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/11
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A17/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A29/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H01/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A14/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H21/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/12
BNXT League
76.1Avg total
39.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.537.379.8+5.176%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.535.478.9+8.186%-
Last 30 away (15)41.539.280.7+2.367%-
Last 10 (9)39.836.376.1+3.478%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.076.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (11)41.337.578.8+3.773%-
vs Weaker (16)43.236.579.8+6.881%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A02/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H09/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A13/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A16/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H01/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A15/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H26/12
BNXT League
80.2Avg total
38.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.138.378.3+1.855%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.535.175.6+5.464%-
Last 30 away (15)39.741.380.9-1.647%-
Last 10 (9)38.641.780.2-3.122%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.474.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.048.785.7-11.70%-
vs Similar (9)38.141.179.2-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.634.976.6+6.776%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
41%
38%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.5
54.4%
52.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.4
32.7%
34.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.116.1
76.3%
68.0%16.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 49%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
41%
38%
22%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
52.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
34.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.614.2
62.8%
68.0%14.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 49%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mechelen
WWWWWLWWWW
Leuven Bears
WWWLWLLLWL
#8
League position
#2
+12.7
Net rating
+1.2
109.6
Offensive rating
103.3
96.9
Defensive rating
102.1
52.5%
Effective FG%
51.3%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
21.1%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.7%
3-point %
34.4%
54.0%
Assist %
64.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 103.3Defence96.9 · 102.1Shooting52.5% · 51.3%3-point %32.7% · 34.4%Ball care18.3% · 21.1%Off. rebounds31.3% · 33.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Mechelen   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Mechelen wins
2
Leuven Bears wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24Mechelen v Leuven Bears72-67
10/04/24Mechelen v Leuven Bears90-76
16/12/23Mechelen v Leuven Bears72-69
31/10/23Leuven Bears v Mechelen73-84
07/05/23Mechelen v Leuven Bears98-89
05/05/23Leuven Bears v Mechelen86-62
03/05/23Mechelen v Leuven Bears75-62
04/02/23Leuven Bears v Mechelen72-68
21/01/23Mechelen v Leuven Bears91-75
18/05/22Mechelen v Leuven Bears77-69
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/24HLimburg76-65
21/12/24HFeyenoord100-93
14/12/24ADen Helder75-48
07/12/24ALeiden81-69
01/12/24HBAL Weert87-65
29/11/24ADen Bosch84-95
17/11/24AQSTA Utd82-70
13/11/24HBelfius Mons93-78
09/11/24HBelfius Mons79-68
02/11/24HLeuven Bears72-67
Leuven Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/24HBAL Weert74-57
20/12/24HQSTA Utd90-85
15/12/24AFeyenoord93-85
07/12/24HBelfius Mons60-70
01/12/24HSpirou Charleroi73-69
16/11/24ALWD Basket81-97
13/11/24ADen Bosch76-82
09/11/24HOostende77-91
06/11/24AFalco Gent96-63
02/11/24AMechelen67-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mechelen
Belgian Cup 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game93.093.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total171.0171.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Leuven Bears
Belgian Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game96.0-96.0
Allowed / game63.0-63.0
Point differential+33.0-+33.0
Avg total159.0-159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende110100%110.074.0+36.0
2 Leuven Bears110100%96.063.0+33.0
3 Limburg110100%101.068.0+33.0
4 Mechelen110100%93.078.0+15.0
5 Okapi Aalst110100%86.072.0+14.0
6 Spirou Charleroi110100%72.063.0+9.0
7 Kortrijk110100%99.095.0+4.0
8 Antwerp Giants110100%76.073.0+3.0
9 Mailleux Comblain1010%73.076.0-3.0
10 Brussels Basketball1010%95.099.0-4.0
11 SKT Ieper1010%63.072.0-9.0
12 Avanti Brugge1010%72.086.0-14.0
13 Belfius Mons1010%78.093.0-15.0
14 Falco Gent1010%63.096.0-33.0
15 Leuven Bears B1010%68.0101.0-33.0
16 Croonen Lommel1010%74.0110.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mechelen2415182582
Leuven Bears1917302086
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.