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CSKA Sofia vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-88
25-24 16-25 19-14 18-25
Position#5
Record12-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#4
Record12-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game77.5
BulgariaNBLRound 21· Hall Sofia
Other2023-24
Meetings · CSKA Sofia v Balkan
10 Feb 2027
CSKA v BAL
upcoming
01 May 2024
CSKA82
BAL77
06 Apr 2024
CSKA80
BAL92
12 Feb 2024
CSKA78
BAL88
19 May 2023
CSKA83
BAL92
17 May 2023
CSKA70
BAL85
22 Mar 2023
CSKA82
BAL80
22 Oct 2022
CSKA78
BAL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
W
99-86
99
86
+13
97avg 80
H09/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
82avg 80
A17/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-74
93
74
+19
87avg 80
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 80
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 80
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 80
A14/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
87avg 80
H17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 80
H28/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
82-86
82
86
-4
72avg 80
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 80
A07/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
29-25
16-23
27-18
26-23
26-15
23-21
15-16
19-25
29-21
22-10
23-18
16-18
22-21
28-15
16-22
18-17
20-15
21-15
22-20
20-30
17-26
24-22
23-13
31-21
14-20
20-20
20-25
24-17
17-23
20-22
18-22
24-24
15-19
15-26
28-17
16-24
16-21
24-15
20-20
165.6Avg total
85.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.478.5163.9+7.060%
Season at home (10)86.775.9162.6+10.870%
Season away (10)84.181.0165.1+3.150%
Last 10 (10)85.180.5165.6+4.650%
Last 5 (5)81.285.4166.6-4.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.981.8162.8-0.933%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.275.9164.1+12.389%
vs Weaker (9)86.680.2166.8+6.367%
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
64-69
64
69
-5
55avg 69
A07/01
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
62-94
62
94
-32
56avg 69
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 69
A13/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
88avg 69
A17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
85-77
85
77
+8
63avg 69
H20/01
NBL
FC Porto
#12
L
80-92
80
92
-12
76avg 69
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
63avg 69
A27/01
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
75-101
75
101
-26
69avg 69
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
97-60
97
60
+37
94avg 69
H03/02
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
50avg 69
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
17-19
10-15
27-15
15-20
17-23
15-32
15-19
23-20
17-29
19-22
19-17
22-19
23-15
24-10
16-23
19-23
24-13
19-16
23-25
19-23
21-30
13-27
27-12
16-24
15-20
29-13
15-15
15-25
24-29
14-24
22-23
27-14
22-20
31-14
17-12
23-24
15-18
13-34
12-14
157.4Avg total
76.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.477.5158.9+3.960%
Season at home (10)85.776.6162.3+9.190%
Season away (10)77.178.4155.5-1.330%
Last 10 (10)76.481.0157.4-4.640%
Last 5 (5)78.083.0161.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.083.1158.1-8.136%
vs Similar ◀ (5)87.488.2175.6-0.860%
vs Weaker (11)80.073.0153.0+7.064%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
CSKA SofiaBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A14/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H28/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/02
NBL
85.1Avg total
42.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.381.6+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.439.382.7+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)39.441.180.6-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.585.1+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.845.083.8-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.740.279.9-0.650%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.437.380.8+6.167%-
vs Weaker (9)41.343.284.6-1.944%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A07/01
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H20/01
NBL
FC Porto
#12
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A27/01
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H03/02
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
81.2Avg total
38.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.381.4-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.383.3+2.867%-
Last 30 away (15)37.142.379.4-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.881.2-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.484.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.942.981.7-4.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.642.685.2+0.060%-
vs Weaker (11)40.538.679.2+1.955%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.3
53.4%
54.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.3
29.8%
31.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.513.8
70.8%
71.1%13.8
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.3
53.6%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.8
30.8%
31.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.910.3
69.1%
71.1%10.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Sofia
LLLLLWWWWW
Balkan
LWLWLWWLLL
#5
League position
#4
+6.2
Net rating
-6.6
109.2
Offensive rating
100.9
103.0
Defensive rating
107.4
49.6%
Effective FG%
50.3%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.6%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.8%
3-point %
30.8%
65.7%
Assist %
57.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 100.9Defence103.0 · 107.4Shooting49.6% · 50.3%3-point %29.8% · 30.8%Ball care16.6% · 19.6%Off. rebounds36.3% · 28.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ CSKA Sofia   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
CSKA Sofia wins
4
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia86-95
19/05/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan83-92
17/05/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan70-85
14/05/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia80-71
12/05/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia79-90
22/03/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan82-80 OT
15/03/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia71-81
07/01/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia81-67
22/10/22CSKA Sofia v Balkan78-72
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24ASpartak Pleven76-80
03/02/24AShumen82-86
28/01/24HChernomorets79-84
17/01/24HRilski Sportist85-86
14/01/24ACherno More84-91
08/01/24HLevski81-67
29/12/23AMinyor82-76
22/12/23HAcademic Plovdiv93-74
17/12/23AYambol90-75
09/12/23HBeroe99-86
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24ABilbao63-90
03/02/24HBeroe97-60
31/01/24HGottingen75-101
27/01/24AYambol75-72
23/01/24AFC Porto80-92
20/01/24HChernomorets85-77
17/01/24AMinyor85-67
13/01/24ASpartak Pleven78-88
10/01/24HBilbao62-94
07/01/24ARilski Sportist64-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL60%
HomeWWWLL70%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%70%50%
Points / game85.486.784.1
Allowed / game78.575.981.0
Point differential+7.0+10.8+3.1
Avg total163.8162.6165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayLLLWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%90%30%
Points / game81.485.777.1
Allowed / game77.576.678.4
Point differential+3.9+9.1-1.3
Avg total158.9162.3155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2118386%85.074.5+10.5
2 Rilski Sportist2116576%83.174.0+9.1
3 Spartak Pleven2116576%86.878.4+8.3
4 CSKA Sofia2012860%85.478.5+7.0
5 Balkan2012860%81.477.5+3.9
6 Cherno More2191243%82.786.5-3.9
7 Beroe2181338%81.186.5-5.4
8 Shumen2171433%82.884.8-2.0
9 Academic Plovdiv2171433%78.784.5-5.8
10 Yambol2171433%78.085.2-7.2
11 Minyor2171433%74.083.1-9.1
12 Levski2161529%72.577.5-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Sofia2516191878
Balkan2425142588
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