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Balkan vs CSKA Sofia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-59
23-23 23-13 26-15 14-8
Position#4
Record15-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game79.1
Balkan 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
Position#5
Record13-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game80.0
BulgariaNBLRound 1· Arena Botevgrad
Other2023-24
Meetings · Balkan v CSKA Sofia
30 Oct 2026
BAL94
CSKA65
03 May 2024
BAL94
CSKA74
29 Apr 2024
BAL91
CSKA76
28 Mar 2024
BAL86
CSKA59
03 Dec 2023
BAL86
CSKA95
14 May 2023
BAL80
CSKA71
12 May 2023
BAL79
CSKA90
15 Mar 2023
BAL71
CSKA81
07 Jan 2023
BAL81
CSKA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balkan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#8
L
75-101
75
101
-26
69avg 69
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
97-60
97
60
+37
94avg 69
H03/02
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
50avg 69
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
88avg 69
A12/02
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
86-85
86
85
+1
77avg 69
H16/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 69
A05/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
95-79
95
79
+16
88avg 69
A09/03
NBL
Cherno More
#7
W
88-69
88
69
+19
74avg 69
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
42avg 69
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets
#2
L
71-95
71
95
-24
62avg 69
H25/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
24-29
14-24
22-23
27-14
22-20
31-14
17-12
23-24
15-18
13-34
12-14
24-25
25-16
14-19
25-18
26-22
23-24
20-24
17-15
18-22
20-25
21-17
22-26
24-25
26-21
23-19
22-14
15-18
23-15
28-16
22-20
15-20
20-16
15-18
10-22
18-22
14-30
24-20
15-23
162.7Avg total
80.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.079.1161.0+2.960%
Season at home (12)84.578.8163.3+5.783%
Season away (13)79.679.3158.9+0.338%
Last 10 (10)80.482.3162.7-1.950%
Last 5 (5)79.081.8160.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.686.8159.3-14.217%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.586.2167.7-4.733%
vs Weaker (11)82.874.4157.2+8.573%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
87avg 78
H17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 78
H28/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
82-86
82
86
-4
72avg 78
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 78
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 78
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
98-92
98
92
+6
94avg 78
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
79avg 78
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
60avg 78
A09/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#1
L
66-92
66
92
-26
50avg 78
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 78
H24/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
14-20
20-20
20-25
24-17
17-23
20-22
18-22
24-24
15-19
15-26
28-17
16-24
16-21
24-15
20-20
25-24
16-25
19-14
18-25
30-20
22-29
22-23
24-20
23-20
21-28
18-27
22-17
18-20
19-18
12-29
19-11
19-12
12-22
12-27
23-31
20-26
22-21
14-23
22-12
165.4Avg total
79.4Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.680.0164.6+4.552%
Season at home (12)85.277.4162.7+7.858%
Season away (13)83.982.5166.4+1.546%
Last 10 (10)79.486.0165.4-6.610%
Last 5 (5)78.887.2166.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.082.7162.7-2.723%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.476.9163.2+9.575%
vs Weaker (8)88.878.9167.6+9.975%
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
BalkanCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#8
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H03/02
NBL
Bilbao
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A12/02
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H16/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A05/03
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A09/03
NBL
Cherno More
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H16/03
Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets
#2
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H25/03
NBL
84.8Avg total
41.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.582.1-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.942.183.0-1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)38.342.981.2-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.184.8-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.881.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.445.681.0-10.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.843.585.3-1.733%-
vs Weaker (11)42.939.582.5+3.473%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H28/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H12/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A16/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/03
NBL
Chernomorets
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/03
Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H24/03
NBL
83.8Avg total
40.4Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.481.8+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.940.683.5+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.380.1-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.483.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.284.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.341.081.3-0.738%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.039.481.4+2.650%-
vs Weaker (8)43.941.485.2+2.562%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.4
55.0%
54.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.6
29.0%
31.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.712.0
67.8%
71.1%12.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.8
52.7%
54.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.0
29.0%
31.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.312.9
66.8%
71.1%12.9
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balkan
LLWWLWWLWL
CSKA Sofia
LLLLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#5
-2.0
Net rating
-9.0
103.8
Offensive rating
102.7
105.8
Defensive rating
111.7
50.5%
Effective FG%
48.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.0%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.0%
3-point %
29.0%
57.0%
Assist %
62.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 102.7Defence105.8 · 111.7Shooting50.5% · 48.9%3-point %29.0% · 29.0%Ball care16.7% · 18.0%Off. rebounds27.3% · 32.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Balkan   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Balkan wins
5
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
12/02/24CSKA Sofia v Balkan78-88
03/12/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia86-95
19/05/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan83-92
17/05/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan70-85
14/05/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia80-71
12/05/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia79-90
22/03/23CSKA Sofia v Balkan82-80 OT
15/03/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia71-81
07/01/23Balkan v CSKA Sofia81-67
22/10/22CSKA Sofia v Balkan78-72
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24HChernomorets71-95
16/03/24HSpartak Pleven60-76
15/03/24HCherno More88-69
09/03/24ACherno More95-79
05/03/24ASpartak Pleven81-90
16/02/24HAcademic Plovdiv86-85
12/02/24ACSKA Sofia88-78
07/02/24ABilbao63-90
03/02/24HBeroe97-60
31/01/24HGottingen75-101
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HSpartak Pleven78-82
15/03/24AChernomorets66-92
09/03/24AChernomorets68-78
06/03/24ARilski Sportist84-92
16/02/24ABeroe98-92
12/02/24HBalkan78-88
07/02/24ASpartak Pleven76-80
03/02/24AShumen82-86
28/01/24HChernomorets79-84
17/01/24HRilski Sportist85-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %60%83%38%
Points / game82.084.579.6
Allowed / game79.178.879.3
Point differential+2.9+5.7+0.3
Avg total161.0163.3158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL52%
HomeWLLLL58%
AwayLLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%58%46%
Points / game84.685.283.9
Allowed / game80.077.482.5
Point differential+4.5+7.8+1.5
Avg total164.6162.7166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist2621581%84.774.7+9.9
2 Chernomorets2621581%84.975.1+9.8
3 Spartak Pleven2619773%87.879.1+8.7
4 Balkan25151060%82.079.1+2.9
5 CSKA Sofia25131252%84.680.0+4.5
6 Cherno More26111542%81.788.1-6.3
7 Shumen27111641%84.382.9+1.4
8 Yambol27111641%79.784.6-4.9
9 Levski2691735%74.277.5-3.3
10 Academic Plovdiv2691735%79.884.8-5.1
11 Minyor2681831%74.782.7-7.9
12 Beroe2681831%80.589.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Balkan2323261486
CSKA Sofia231315859
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